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Today's AFL Prop Bets — Free Player Props for Every Game

Free AFL player props — disposals, goals and marks. Every prop shows how likely it is, the best price on offer, and the reasoning behind it — in plain English.

Today's player props

Strongest plays first · updated daily

207 props on the board, and the 3 strongest are free

The prop we'd back first · Geelong Cats at Fremantle Dockers
Max Holmes Over 18.5 disposals -400
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win98.7%
The price says79.0%
$50 returns$62.50
The rest of the boardfull reasoning on each prop below
GEE v FRE Max Holmes Over 18.5 disposals High99% chance -400
GEE v FRE Patrick Voss Over 2.5 marks High80% chance -156
ADE v BRI Luke Nankervis Over 14.5 disposals High73% chance -119
GEE v FRE High72% chance
GEE v FRE High72% chance
GEE v FRE High70% chance
GEE v FRE High70% chance
GEE v FRE High75% chance
GEE v FRE High80% chance
GEE v FRE High92% chance
GEE v FRE High71% chance
GEE v FRE High80% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
The model's call on 204 more props
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Max Holmes Over 18.5 Disposals
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 9 of the last 10 games
Chance to win: 98.7% The price says 79.0%

Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 18.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 18.5 Disposals. It was priced at -400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Chance to win: 80.5% The price says 60.9%

Patrick Voss (Fremantle) Over 2.5 player_marks_over (-156)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Patrick Voss (Fremantle) Over 2.5 player_marks_over. It was priced at -156 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Oisin Mullin Over 12.5 Disposals
-114 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Oisin Mullin average?
Chance to win: 71.7% The price says 53.1%

Oisin Mullin (Geelong Cats) Over 12.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Oisin Mullin (Geelong Cats) Over 12.5 Disposals. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Unlock 204 more premium prop picks.
Nathan O'DriscollDisposals · line 14.5
-108 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 games
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 51.8%
Nathan O'DriscollDisposals · line 14.5
-108 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 games
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 51.8%
Oliver WiltshireGoals · line 0.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 57.5%
Karl WornerDisposals · line 16.5
-118 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Karl Worner average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 62.1%
Connor O'SullivanDisposals · line 9.5
-109 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 7 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Connor O'Sullivan average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 74.6%
Patrick VossDisposals · line 9.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 54.3%
Lawson HumphriesDisposals · line 16.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 7 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Lawson Humphries average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 62.9%
Oisin MullinDisposals · line 11.5
-114 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Oisin Mullin average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 62.5%
Tom AtkinsDisposals · line 15.5
-123 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 8 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Tom Atkins average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 66.7%
Matthew JohnsonDisposals · line 14.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 71.9%
Lawson HumphriesKicks · line 11.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 60.2%
Nathan O'DriscollDisposals · line 13.5
-108 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 games
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 60.9%
Josh TreacyGoals · line 1.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 62.1%
Shai BoltonHandballs · line 7.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 60.2%
Max HolmesDisposals · line 17.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 9 of the last 10 games
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 84.5%
Karl WornerDisposals · line 15.5
-118 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Karl Worner average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 70.9%
Shai BoltonDisposals · line 18.5
-112 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Shai Bolton average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 59.9%
Sam De KoningDisposals · line 10.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 62.1%
Oisin MullinDisposals · line 10.5
-114 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Oisin Mullin average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 71.4%
Lawson HumphriesDisposals · line 15.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 7 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Lawson Humphries average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 71.9%
Nathan O'DriscollDisposals · line 12.5
-108 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 games
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 69.5%
Max HolmesKicks · line 9.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 86.2%
Connor O'SullivanMarks · line 4.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 67.1%
Josh TreacyDisposals · line 9.5
-112 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Josh Treacy average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 62.5%
Max HolmesHandballs · line 7.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 75.8%
Matthew JohnsonDisposals · line 13.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 80.0%
Tom AtkinsDisposals · line 14.5
-123 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 8 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Tom Atkins average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 76.4%
Shai BoltonDisposals · line 17.5
-112 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Shai Bolton average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 67.5%
Karl WornerDisposals · line 14.5
-118 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Karl Worner average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 78.1%
Mark O'ConnorMarks · line 1.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 80.6%
Corey WagnerMarks · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 60.2%
Nathan O'DriscollDisposals · line 11.5
-108 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 games
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 76.9%
Sam De KoningDisposals · line 9.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 72.0%
Isaiah DudleyDisposals · line 9.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 7 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Isaiah Dudley average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 65.4%
Mark O'ConnorDisposals · line 11.5
-122 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 games
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 64.9%
Gryan MiersTackles · line 1.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 62.5%
Oisin MullinDisposals · line 9.5
-114 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Oisin Mullin average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 80.0%
Lawson HumphriesDisposals · line 14.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 7 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Lawson Humphries average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 80.0%
Murphy ReidMarks · line 1.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 75.2%
Murphy ReidKicks · line 9.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 66.2%
Shai BoltonDisposals · line 16.5
-112 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Shai Bolton average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 75.1%
Tom StewartDisposals · line 18.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 64.1%
Tom AtkinsDisposals · line 13.5
-123 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 8 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Tom Atkins average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 83.3%
Isaiah DudleyGoals · line 0.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 64.9%
Matthew JohnsonDisposals · line 12.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 86.2%
Karl WornerFantasy · line 69.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 64.5%
Matthew JohnsonHandballs · line 7.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 75.8%
Oliver DempseyGoals · line 0.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 64.9%
Tanner BruhnDisposals · line 17.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 69.0%
Karl WornerDisposals · line 13.5
-118 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Karl Worner average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 85.5%
Matthew JohnsonMarks · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 71.4%
Zach GuthrieDisposals · line 13.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 games3 in a rowHow many disposals does Zach Guthrie average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 64.1%
Lawson HumphriesDisposals · line 13.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 7 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Lawson Humphries average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 85.4%
Mark BlicavsDisposals · line 11.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 games
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 64.5%
Patrick VossMarks · line 1.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 84.7%
Mark O'ConnorDisposals · line 10.5
-122 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 games
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 74.6%
Michael FrederickMarks · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 71.4%
Karl WornerMarks · line 4.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 74.6%
Oscar McDonaldDisposals · line 10.5
-110 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 7 of the last 10 games
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 70.5%
Lawson HumphriesKicks · line 9.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 82.0%
Shai BoltonDisposals · line 15.5
-112 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Shai Bolton average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 82.0%
Bailey SmithMarks · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 71.4%
Max HolmesMarks · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 75.8%
Nathan O'DriscollDisposals · line 10.5
-108 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 games
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 85.5%
Oscar McDonaldDisposals · line 9.5
-110 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 7 of the last 10 games
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 78.1%
Isaiah DudleyTackles · line 1.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 69.4%
Caleb SerongMarks · line 1.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 80.0%
Tanner BruhnDisposals · line 16.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 76.3%
Tanner BruhnKicks · line 9.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 75.7%
Max HolmesClearances · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 76.3%
Zach GuthrieDisposals · line 12.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 games3 in a rowHow many disposals does Zach Guthrie average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 74.1%
Tom StewartDisposals · line 17.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 74.0%
Shai BoltonMarks · line 1.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 80.0%
Connor O'SullivanMarks · line 3.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 84.0%
Gryan MiersMarks · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 76.3%
Oisin MullinMarks · line 1.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 80.0%
Oliver WiltshireDisposals · line 9.5
-108 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 games
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 67.1%
Lawson HumphriesMarks · line 3.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 73.6%
Judd McVeeMarks · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 75.2%
Mark BlicavsDisposals · line 10.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 games
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 74.6%
Zach GuthrieMarks · line 3.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 73.0%
Tanner BruhnDisposals · line 15.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 82.0%
Bailey SmithClearances · line 3.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 77.5%
Andrew BrayshawDisposals · line 22.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Andrew Brayshaw average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 70.5%
Jeremy CameronGoals · line 0.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 85.5%
Max HolmesTackles · line 1.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 79.4%
Patrick VossGoals · line 0.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 83.4%
Mark O'ConnorDisposals · line 9.5
-122 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 games
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 83.3%
Shai BoltonDisposals · line 14.5
-112 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Shai Bolton average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 87.7%
Judd McVeeDisposals · line 11.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 73.5%
Zach GuthrieDisposals · line 11.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 games3 in a rowHow many disposals does Zach Guthrie average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 82.0%
Karl WornerKicks · line 9.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 80.0%
Andrew BrayshawDisposals · line 21.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Andrew Brayshaw average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 76.9%
Tanner BruhnMarks · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 80.0%
Alex PearceMarks · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 76.3%
Tom StewartDisposals · line 16.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 81.9%
Tanner BruhnDisposals · line 14.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 87.7%
Corey WagnerDisposals · line 13.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 74.1%
Luke RyanDisposals · line 17.5
-115 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Luke Ryan average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 72.4%
Zach GuthrieDisposals · line 10.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 games3 in a rowHow many disposals does Zach Guthrie average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 88.5%
Mark BlicavsMarks · line 1.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 84.8%
Oliver DempseyDisposals · line 17.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 70.4%
Andrew BrayshawMarks · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 76.3%
Karl WornerMarks · line 3.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 88.5%
Mark BlicavsDisposals · line 9.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 games
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 83.3%
Luke RyanDisposals · line 16.5
-115 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Luke Ryan average?
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 80.0%
Luke NankervisDisposals · line 14.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 54.4%
Luke NankervisDisposals · line 14.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 54.4%
Noah AnswerthDisposals · line 11.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 52.9%
Logan MorrisDisposals · line 11.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 53.2%
Sam BerryDisposals · line 19.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 55.9%
Sam BerryDisposals · line 19.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 55.9%
Noah AnswerthDisposals · line 10.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 62.1%
Luke NankervisDisposals · line 13.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 63.7%
Isaac CummingDisposals · line 12.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 61.8%
Daniel CurtinMarks · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 66.7%
Conor McKennaGoals · line 0.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 59.1%
Hugh McCluggageClearances · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 56.5%
Sam BerryDisposals · line 18.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 64.6%
Sam BerryFantasy · line 79.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 63.3%
James BorlaseMarks · line 3.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 58.1%
Noah AnswerthDisposals · line 9.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 71.9%
Isaac CummingDisposals · line 11.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 70.9%
Luke NankervisDisposals · line 12.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 73.0%
Oscar AllenMarks · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 61.3%
Sam BerryDisposals · line 17.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 73.0%
Lachlan McAndrewDisposals · line 9.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 60.9%
Max MichalanneyDisposals · line 12.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 64.5%
Jake SoligoDisposals · line 15.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 61.7%
Cam RaynerGoals · line 0.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 62.9%
Josh RacheleTackles · line 1.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 62.9%
Sam BerryFantasy · line 74.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 73.5%
Isaac CummingDisposals · line 10.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 78.1%
Mark KeaneDisposals · line 13.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 65.4%
Wayne MileraDisposals · line 21.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 61.7%
Conor McKennaMarks · line 1.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 68.5%
Callum Ah CheeMarks · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 72.0%
Jake SoligoDisposals · line 14.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 70.4%
James BorlaseMarks · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 78.8%
Sam BerryDisposals · line 16.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 80.0%
Hugh McCluggageHandballs · line 7.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 65.8%
Wayne MileraDisposals · line 20.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 69.5%
Luke NankervisDisposals · line 11.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 81.9%
Jake SoligoDisposals · line 13.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 77.0%
Max MichalanneyDisposals · line 11.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 74.7%
Daniel CurtinDisposals · line 15.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 63.7%
Sam BerryFantasy · line 69.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 81.9%
Cam RaynerDisposals · line 13.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 67.1%
Rory LairdKicks · line 9.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 69.4%
Rory LairdMarks · line 4.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 67.6%
Sam BerryDisposals · line 15.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 85.4%
Isaac CummingDisposals · line 9.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 85.5%
Mark KeaneDisposals · line 12.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 75.2%
Wayne MileraDisposals · line 19.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 76.9%
Jake SoligoDisposals · line 12.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 83.3%
Jaspa FletcherKicks · line 11.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 65.8%
Max MichalanneyDisposals · line 10.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 82.0%
Harris AndrewsDisposals · line 12.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 71.5%
Luke NankervisDisposals · line 10.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 87.7%
Daniel CurtinDisposals · line 14.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 72.4%
Lachie NealeTackles · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 67.1%
Darcy WilmotFantasy · line 69.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 68.4%
Kai LohmannGoals · line 0.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 84.1%
Harris AndrewsDisposals · line 11.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 80.0%
Wayne MileraFantasy · line 79.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 68.5%
Zac BaileyGoals · line 0.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 71.4%
Jake SoligoDisposals · line 11.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 88.5%
Cam RaynerDisposals · line 12.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 76.4%
Josh RacheleGoals · line 0.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 77.5%
Wayne MileraDisposals · line 18.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 83.3%
Josh RacheleDisposals · line 10.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 71.9%
Darcy WilmotDisposals · line 17.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 69.9%
Mark KeaneDisposals · line 11.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 83.3%
Daniel CurtinDisposals · line 13.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 80.0%
Max MichalanneyDisposals · line 9.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 88.5%
Brayden CookDisposals · line 13.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 72.9%
Luke NankervisMarks · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 76.4%
Taylor WalkerGoals · line 0.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 79.4%
Josh RacheleDisposals · line 9.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 80.0%
Mark KeaneMarks · line 3.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 73.5%
Wayne MileraDisposals · line 17.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 87.7%
Darcy WilmotMarks · line 4.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 71.4%
Harris AndrewsDisposals · line 10.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 87.8%
Wayne MileraFantasy · line 74.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 77.5%
Lachlan McAndrewTackles · line 2.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 80.0%
Darcy WilmotDisposals · line 16.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 76.9%
Wayne MileraMarks · line 3.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 77.6%
Mark KeaneDisposals · line 10.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 88.5%
Daniel CurtinMarks · line 1.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 88.5%
Ryan LesterMarks · line 4.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 75.8%
Wayne MileraKicks · line 13.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 72.5%
Cam RaynerDisposals · line 11.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 83.3%
Josh RacheleMarks · line 1.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 81.3%
Ty GallopMarks · line 3.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 76.9%
Izak RankineMarks · line 3.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 69.4%
Oscar AllenMarks · line 1.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 84.8%
Kai LohmannDisposals · line 9.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 76.9%
Rory LairdDisposals · line 18.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 71.5%
Ben KeaysDisposals · line 10.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 76.9%
Rory LairdMarks · line 3.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 84.1%
Rory LairdFantasy · line 69.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 75.2%
Darcy WilmotDisposals · line 15.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 83.3%
Alex Neal-BullenDisposals · line 13.5
Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win: High The price says 72.5%

New to props? Everything below explains how to read them.

Quick answer

What is an AFL player prop bet?

An AFL player prop bet is a wager on an individual player's match statistics rather than the final score. Common markets include disposals, goals, marks and AFL Fantasy points, typically structured as over or under a listed line. Bet Better estimates the true probability of each prop outcome and shows the edge versus bookmaker odds — helping you identify props that may offer value before you place.

What you get on this page

Every upcoming AFL player prop, strongest plays first — each with its chance to win, the best price and the reasoning. Click any player name to view their full pick history and profile. For full game picks, use AFL Picks. For the highest-confidence shortlist, use Picks.

Probability Model

The model's estimated chance the prop outcome hits. A 70% probability means the model thinks it succeeds 70 times in 100 equivalent scenarios.

Edge Value

The gap between model probability and the bookmaker's chance the price suggests from posted odds. A gap in your favour means the model rates the outcome higher than the market is pricing it.

Odds Market

The market price at time of calculation. Odds move throughout the day — always verify at your sportsbook before placing. If odds shorten, your advantage shrinks.

AFL player prop markets — what's available?

Market reference
Market What it means Best used for
Disposals Over or under a player's total kicks and handballs. Midfielders in high-disposal roles with consistent output and clear matchup edges.
Goals Whether a forward kicks at least one (or a set number of) goals. Key forwards with strong lead patterns against specific defensive matchups.
Marks Over or under a player's total contested and uncontested marks. Tall forwards and key defenders whose role produces reliable marking volume.
Fantasy Points Over or under a player's combined AFL Fantasy score for the game. Versatile players whose output is consistent across multiple stat categories.

How to read AFL player props in 4 steps

  1. Check probability first. The model's estimated chance the prop hits. Compare this against the chance the odds suggest to judge value independently before reading the value call.
  2. Read the gap. A gap in your favour means the model rates the chance higher than the bookmaker's price implies. The larger the gap, the more the price is on your side.
  3. Verify odds before placing. Odds displayed are a snapshot and change as the market moves. A prop that shows +12% value at $1.85 is meaningless if you're placing at $1.65 — always check your sportsbook.
  4. Read the reasoning. Expand the AI reasoning section for context on why the model rates this prop — matchup factors, role context, recent form signals. Use it as a starting point for your own analysis, not a replacement for it.
Note: The chances and value calls are statistical estimates — they do not guarantee outcomes. For the same-game multi version of these props, see AFL Multis. Always bet responsibly and within your limits.
Data first

The chance, a value call and odds are shown for every prop — so you evaluate each selection on numbers rather than feel.

AI reasoning

Every prop includes an AI-written reasoning summary covering matchup context, role factors and form signals relevant to the outcome.

Responsible betting

Props are informational only. Betting involves risk. Use stake limits and only wager what you can afford to lose. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.

AFL Player Props FAQ

Quick answers
What is an AFL player prop bet?

An AFL player prop bet is a wager on an individual player's match statistics — such as disposals, goals, marks or AFL Fantasy points — rather than the game result. Props are typically structured as over or under a bookmaker's listed line, meaning you bet whether the player will exceed or fall short of a specific statistical threshold for that game.

What do “chance to win” and “the price says” mean?

The chance is the model's estimate of how likely the prop is to hit, as a percentage. Next to it, the value call tells you whether the current price is generous for that chance — that comparison is what you act on.

What are the most common AFL player prop markets?

The most common AFL player prop markets are disposals (over/under total kicks and handballs), goals (whether a player scores one or more), marks (over/under contested and uncontested marks), and AFL Fantasy points (over/under combined fantasy score). Some bookmakers also offer combination props such as 25-plus disposals and a goal, or player milestone markets.

Can I use AFL player props in a Same Game Multi?

Yes — most Australian sportsbooks allow player props as legs in a Same Game Multi for AFL. Bet Better focuses on individual prop value, which you can combine based on your own risk preference and the SGM odds offered by your bookmaker. For model-ranked multi recommendations with combined probability shown, use the AFL Multis page.

Can I view a team's full player prop history?

Yes. Click any team name on a prop card to go to that team's profile page, which includes their upcoming game pick, today's player props, model performance history, and a full player directory. Team profiles are updated automatically as new props are generated each week.

Can I view a player's full pick history?

Yes. Click any player name on a prop card to view their individual profile, which shows their latest pick, the model's chance and value call, AI reasoning, and their complete track record of past picks with results. Player profiles are a useful reference for assessing model consistency on a specific player over time.

Does Bet Better guarantee AFL player props will win?

No. AFL player props are statistical predictions intended to inform betting decisions — no outcome is guaranteed. All betting involves variance and risk, and even high-probability props fail a proportion of the time. If gambling is affecting your health or finances, contact the National Gambling Helpline on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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