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AFL

Brisbane Lions

Today's best bet on this team, checked by our model — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Adelaide Crows (Home) Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM Gabba, Brisbane · Outdoor

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 14 bookmakers compared
Winner
Adelaide Crows3.70+270Kalshi
Brisbane Lions1.36-278Betfair Exchange

Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions odds by bookmaker

14 books · best price in green
BookAdelaide Crows winBrisbane Lions winBrisbane Lions -21.5
Betr3.50+2501.31-3231.90-111
BetRight3.35+2351.33-3031.90-111
Dabble3.40+2401.30-3331.90-111
PlayUp3.50+2501.30-3331.90-111
PointsBet3.30+2301.32-3121.90-111
Sportsbet3.35+2351.33-3031.90-111
TAB3.60+2601.29-3451.90-111
TABtouch3.55+2551.30-3331.89-112
Betfair Exchange3.70+2701.36-278—
Kalshi3.70+2701.33-300—
Ladbrokes3.35+2351.33-303—
Neds3.35+2351.33-303—
Polymarket3.45+2451.41-245—
Unibet3.40+2401.30-333—

Since the market opened: Brisbane Lions to win opened 1.36, best now 1.41 (decimal, best book).

Model updated Sep 10, 3:56AM UTC
Answer
The Brisbane Lions model is leaning the under in the Team Total Points H1 market vs Adelaide Crows.
21 tracked player props · the full numbers on every bet unlock with a subscription.

Scoring profile

Points scored per game111.3
Points allowed per game93.6

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Today's Game Pick

Our call
Team Total Points H1
Under 49.5
Odds: -122
Our numbers say this wins about 56 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $182 if it lands
+1.4%
Free pick — today's headline bet on this team

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Today's Player Props

Best value in green
PlayerStatModel output
Noah Answerth Disposals With Pro
Logan Morris Disposals With Pro
Conor McKenna Goals With Pro
Hugh McCluggage Clearances With Pro
Oscar Allen Marks With Pro
Cam Rayner Goals With Pro

Every player bet for this team — the line, the call and how much to put on — is ready for subscribers. Today's headline game pick above is free.

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Upcoming Games

Next 1
DateOpponentWhereVenuePrediction
Sat 12 SepAdelaide CrowsHomeGabbaPreview →

Recent Results

7–3 in the last 10
DateOpponentWhereScoreResultRecap
5 SepSydney SwansAway88–141LRecap →
21 AugCollingwoodAway159–96WRecap →
15 AugGold Coast SUNSHome95–53WRecap →
7 AugHawthornHome125–58WRecap →
1 AugCarltonAway78–154LRecap →
26 JulPort AdelaideHome126–67WRecap →
2 JulGeelong CatsAway123–101WRecap →
25 JunSydney SwansHome126–83WRecap →
14 JunRichmondAway115–80WRecap →
30 MayFremantleHome78–103LRecap →

Every Game Bet, Graded

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Spread Q3With Pro
Spread Q4With Pro
Team Total Points Q1With Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Team Total Points H1With Pro
SpreadWith Pro

The model has graded 6 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Typical conditions recorded at this team's matches:
Mostly Sunny
36% of games
Rain
23% of games
Overcast
15% of games
Sunny
13% of games
Clear Night
9% of games
Mostly Clear
4% of games
Average 20°C at these grounds
Historical ground conditions (not a live forecast).

Cashed picks for this team

All results →
DateOpponentMarketPickResult
05 Sep 26 Sydney Swans Team Total Points Q1 Over 20.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Sydney Swans Team Total Points H1 Over 40.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Sydney Swans Team Total Points H1 Over 39.5 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns Spread Q4 Brisbane Lions -7.5 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns Team Total Points Q1 Under 27.5 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns Spread Q2 Brisbane Lions -7.5 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns Spread Q3 Brisbane Lions -8.5 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns Spread Q4 Brisbane Lions -8.5 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks Moneyline Brisbane Lions ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks Team Total Points Q1 Under 23.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

Betting angles

6 markets live
Moneylinevs Adelaide Crows+235
+8.8avg margin (L5)
Model pickAdelaide Crows to winPF/G107.0PA/G98.2L50-5

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows on Sep 12 - Moneyline: the model's pick is Adelaide Crows to win at +235, a 32% model win % (LONG-SHOT). Brisbane Lions are averaging 107.0 points for and 98.2 against over their last five games.

Linevs Adelaide Crows18.5 -111
54%cover %
+8.8avg margin (L5)
Model pickAdelaide Crows +18.5PF/G107.0PA/G98.2L50-5

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows on Sep 12 - Line: the model's pick is Adelaide Crows +18.5 at -111, a 54% cover % (LEAN). Brisbane Lions are averaging 107.0 points for and 98.2 against over their last five games.

Team total 1st halfvs Adelaide Crows49.5 -122
56%under %
47.1proj. team pts (half)
Model pickBrisbane Lions Under 49.5PF/G107.0PA/G98.2L50-5

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows on Sep 12 - Team total 1st half: the model's pick is Brisbane Lions Under 49.5 at -122, a 56% under % (LEAN). Brisbane Lions are averaging 107.0 points for and 98.2 against over their last five games.

Team total Q1vs Adelaide Crows25.5 -118
57%under %
23.5proj. team pts (quarter)
Model pickBrisbane Lions Under 25.5PF/G107.0PA/G98.2L50-5

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows on Sep 12 - Team total Q1: the model's pick is Brisbane Lions Under 25.5 at -118, a 57% under % (LEAN). Brisbane Lions are averaging 107.0 points for and 98.2 against over their last five games.

Line Q3vs Adelaide Crows-5.5 -118
74%cover %
+8.8avg margin (L5)
Model pickBrisbane Lions -5.5PF/G107.0PA/G98.2L50-5

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows on Sep 12 - Line Q3: the model's pick is Brisbane Lions -5.5 at -118, a 74% cover % (HIGH). Brisbane Lions are averaging 107.0 points for and 98.2 against over their last five games.

Line Q4vs Adelaide Crows-5.5 -118
74%cover %
+8.8avg margin (L5)
Model pickBrisbane Lions -5.5PF/G107.0PA/G98.2L50-5

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows on Sep 12 - Line Q4: the model's pick is Brisbane Lions -5.5 at -118, a 74% cover % (HIGH). Brisbane Lions are averaging 107.0 points for and 98.2 against over their last five games.

For & against (last 5 games)

Brisbane Lions are averaging 107.0 points for and 98.2 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.

0-5
Last 5
107.0
Points For / G
98.2
Points Against / G
+8.8
Margin / G
16.2
Goals / G
9.8
Behinds / G
54.0
Inside 50s / G

About This Team

Brisbane Lions are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Adelaide Crows on Saturday 12 September at Gabba. The model currently tracks 21 player props for Brisbane Lions in this game. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Brisbane Lions.

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