Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Callum Ah Chee is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 80 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 80%, implied 72%, edge +7.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
AFL
Callum Ah Chee
Adelaide Crows
Latest Model Pick
Marks
Over 2.5
-256 (1.39) · $100→$139
+7.7% Edge
Adelaide Crows
@
Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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How often this wins
80 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 79.7% · the book's price implies 71.9% · gap +7.7%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Marks | 79.7% | — | 71.9% | 1.26 | +7.7% |
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Callum Ah Chee (Adelaide Crows) Over 2.5 player_marks_over (-256)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Brisbane Lions play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Callum Ah Chee (Adelaide Crows) Over 2.5 player_marks_over. It was priced at -256 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Callum Ah Chee's lines for Sat 12 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Marks 2.5
Callum Ah Chee's marks line is 2.5.
Season averages (2024)
Callum Ah Chee averaged 13.4 disposals, 1.0 goals and 4.7 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.
Hit-rate ladder: Disposals
Callum Ah Chee has cleared 9.5 disposals in 70% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.
o9.570%
o10.570%
o11.540%
o12.530%
o13.560%
o14.530%
o15.520%
o16.520%
o17.520%
o18.510%
o19.50%
o20.50%
Home / away and opponent splits
Callum Ah Chee is averaging 10.4 disposals per game over his last 5.
Recent game log
In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Callum Ah Chee recorded 14 disposals and 4 goals.
| Date | Opp | Disp | Goals | Marks | Tackles |
|---|
| 28 Sep 24 | Sydney Swans | 14 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 21 Sep 24 | Geelong Cats | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 Sep 24 | GWS GIANTS | 17 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 Sep 24 | Carlton | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 24 Aug 24 | Essendon | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug 24 | Collingwood | 16 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug 24 | GWS GIANTS | 13 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 4 Aug 24 | St Kilda | 16 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 27 Jul 24 | Gold Coast SUNS | 18 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 21 Jul 24 | Sydney Swans | 15 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
Callum Ah Chee (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Callum Ah Chee is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.7% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
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