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Today's EPL Picks & Predictions — Free Picks for Every Match

Free EPL picks across match result, handicaps, totals and player props. Every pick shows how likely it is, the best price on offer, and the reasoning behind it — in plain English.

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11 matches coming up, and the first pick of every match is free

Best EPL bet today: Ipswich Town at Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace Spread -1 at +155, lean confidence. As Crystal Palace prepares to host Ipswich Town, recent form tells a compelling story. 11 games on the board.

The one we'd back first · Ipswich Town v Crystal Palace
Ipswich Town at Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace Spread -1 +155
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win52.7%
$50 returns$127.50
The rest of the boardfull reasoning on each game below
Ipswich Town v Crystal PalaceIPS v CRY Ipswich Town at Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace Spread -1 Lean53% chance +155
Fulham v LiverpoolFUL v LIV Fulham at Liverpool: Fulham Spread 1 Lean53% chance +115
Nottingham Forest v Aston VillaNOT v AVL Nottingham Forest at Aston Villa: Nottingham Forest Spread 3.5 High97% chance -10000
Everton v Tottenham HotspurEVE v TOT Everton at Tottenham Hotspur: Everton Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Everton_NA Lean49% chance +170
Manchester City v Manchester UnitedMCI v MUN Manchester City at Manchester United: Manchester City Spread 0 High67% chance -175
Newcastle United v Leeds UnitedNEW v LEE Newcastle United at Leeds United: Newcastle United Spread 0.5 High65% chance -185
Chelsea v BrentfordCHE v BRE Chelsea at Brentford: Brentford Spread 0 Lean56% chance -110
Aston Villa v Tottenham HotspurAVL v TOT Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur: Aston Villa Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Aston Villa_NA Lean55% chance +174
Ipswich Town v EvertonIPS v EVE Ipswich Town at Everton: Everton Spread -1 Lean56% chance +130
Crystal Palace v Leeds UnitedCRY v LEE Crystal Palace at Leeds United: Crystal Palace Spread 3.5 High97% chance -5000
Manchester United v FulhamMUN v FUL Manchester United at Fulham: Fulham Spread 0.75 High67% chance -179
Ipswich Town v Crystal PalaceIPS v CRY Head to Head (3-Way) High63% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
64 more picks on the board
Unlock all picks
EPLIPS vs. CRY 2026-09-12 14:00
Full preview: Ipswich Town at Crystal Palace →
Show Picks
Ipswich Town at Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace Spread -1
Chance to win 52.7%
The price says 35.9%
Best price +155

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town: Crystal Palace -1 Goal Handicap (+155)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Crystal Palace prepares to host Ipswich Town, recent form tells a compelling story. Palace may be struggling with just one win in their last five at home, but their past two encounters against Ipswich resulted in victories, showcasing a psychological edge. Their attacking stats, averaging 1.2 goals at home, may seem modest, yet they come against a backdrop of a 1.8 goals conceded average—indicating both vulnerability and resilience. Meanwhile, Ipswich has had a rough patch, managing just one point from their last five away matches, with a staggering 2.8 goals conceded on average. With Palace's recent xG figures indicating potential for improvement, and Ipswich’s defensive frailties, a -1 handicap looks promising. Expect Palace to capitalize on their home advantage and secure a comfortable win, making this a compelling wager.

Ipswich Town at Crystal Palace · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 50.3%
Ipswich Town at Crystal Palace · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 69.2%
Ipswich Town at Crystal Palace · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 52.0%
EPLFUL vs. LIV 2026-09-12 14:00
Fulham Away
vs.
Home Liverpool
Last 5FulhamLLLWDLiverpoolWDDDL
Full preview: Fulham at Liverpool →
Show Picks
Fulham at Liverpool: Fulham Spread 1
Chance to win 53.1%
The price says 42.8%
Best price +115

Liverpool vs Fulham: Fulham +1 Goal Handicap (+115)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Liverpool gears up to host Fulham, recent form suggests a compelling opportunity for the away side. The Reds have stumbled at home, managing just one win in their last five matches, and their inconsistent defense has let in an average of 1.8 goals per game. In contrast, Fulham has shown resilience, even if results have been mixed, including a gritty draw against Liverpool in their last encounter. What’s particularly telling is Fulham's away scoring woes; they’ve averaged just 0.2 goals in their last five away matches. But with Liverpool's defense leaking goals, Fulham has a real chance to exceed expectations here. Given the handicap of +1, a draw or a narrow loss for Fulham could still yield a winning bet. With the odds leaning in Fulham’s favor, it’s a smart play to back them to keep it competitive against a Liverpool side still searching for form.

Fulham at Liverpool · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 17.3%
Fulham at Liverpool · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 55.6%
Fulham at Liverpool · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 14.6%
Fulham at Liverpool · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 14.6%
Fulham at Liverpool · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 19.4%
EPLNOT vs. AVL 2026-09-12 14:00
Full preview: Nottingham Forest at Aston Villa →
Show Picks
Nottingham Forest at Aston Villa: Nottingham Forest Spread 3.5
Chance to win 97.2%
The price says 94.2%
Best price -10000

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest +3.5 Goal Handicap (-10000)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As we dive into this intriguing matchup, Aston Villa’s recent form paints a complex picture. They've struggled to score consistently at home, averaging just 1.2 goals in their last five games, while their defense has allowed an average of 1.6. In contrast, Nottingham Forest has shown resilience away from home, netting an impressive three goals in their last five matches despite their overall lackluster results. Their attacking stats suggest they are capable of causing problems, with an average of 12.4 shots per game. Given Aston Villa's shaky home record and Nottingham’s potential to exploit defensive gaps, betting on Forest to cover a 3.5 handicap seems wise. They’ve proven they can score and with Villa's home woes, this could lead to a tighter contest than expected. With Nottingham aiming to rebound, they might just surprise us all.

Nottingham Forest at Aston Villa · Spread 0.25 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 50.4%
Nottingham Forest at Aston Villa · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 44.2%
Nottingham Forest at Aston Villa · Total Corners 8.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 66.0%
Nottingham Forest at Aston Villa · Total Goals 5.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 93.2%
Nottingham Forest at Aston Villa · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 59.3%
Nottingham Forest at Aston Villa · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 73.9%
EPLEVE vs. TOT 2026-09-12 16:30
Everton Away
vs.
Last 5EvertonDDWLLTottenham HotspurDLLWL
Full preview: Everton at Tottenham Hotspur →
Show Picks
Everton at Tottenham Hotspur: Everton Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Everton_NA
Chance to win 49.1%
The price says 35.7%
Best price +170

Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton: Everton Draw No Bet (+170)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Tottenham Hotspur host Everton, the dynamics of this matchup tilt in favor of the Toffees, especially with the Draw No Bet market in play. Spurs have been struggling at home, only managing one win in their last five outings, while averaging a meager 0.8 goals scored per game. Their defense has also shown vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.6 goals at home. Conversely, Everton has found some resilience despite a mixed bag of results. They’ve managed to score 1.2 goals away, which, while not explosive, is more than enough against a faltering Spurs side. With an implied probability favoring Everton, this bet offers a shield against a draw. Given their recent head-to-head success against Tottenham and Spurs’ current form, backing Everton here feels both strategic and sensible.

Everton at Tottenham Hotspur · Spread 0.75 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 59.4%
Everton at Tottenham Hotspur · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 26.3%
Everton at Tottenham Hotspur · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 26.3%
Everton at Tottenham Hotspur · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 50.0%
Everton at Tottenham Hotspur · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 26.3%
Everton at Tottenham Hotspur · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 26.3%
Everton at Tottenham Hotspur · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 92.4%
Everton at Tottenham Hotspur · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 45.9%
EPLMCI vs. MUN 2026-09-13 15:30
Full preview: Manchester City at Manchester United →
Show Picks
Manchester City at Manchester United: Manchester City Spread 0
Chance to win 66.7%
The price says 58.4%
Best price -175

Manchester United vs Manchester City: Manchester City +0 Goal Handicap (-175)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

When Manchester City steps onto the pitch against their fierce rivals Manchester United, history and current form suggest they’re poised for success. Despite the Old Trafford atmosphere, City has been in formidable shape, averaging 2.4 goals away, while United's defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding 1.8 at home. Recent trends highlight City's ability to dominate possession, generating 19.8 shots per match, compared to United's 22.2 but with a more effective conversion rate. The xG stats tell a similar story, as City consistently outpaces United in creating quality chances. The last five encounters between these two have seen City take two wins, with both teams sharing the spoils twice. With City's recent away form showing a steady progression, backing them to avoid defeat seems like a wise move—especially given the implied probability of nearly 58.4% favoring City in this high-stakes matchup.

Manchester City at Manchester United · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 58.9%
Manchester City at Manchester United · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 44.3%
Manchester City at Manchester United · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 44.3%
Manchester City at Manchester United · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 33.6%
Manchester City at Manchester United · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 57.5%
Manchester City at Manchester United · Total Corners 8.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 66.2%
EPLNEW vs. LEE 2026-09-14 19:00
Full preview: Newcastle United at Leeds United →
Show Picks
Newcastle United at Leeds United: Newcastle United Spread 0.5
Chance to win 64.7%
The price says 59.4%
Best price -185

Leeds United vs Newcastle United: Newcastle United +0.5 Goal Handicap (-185)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Leeds United prepares to host Newcastle United, recent form and historical matchups paint a compelling picture favoring the visitors. Leeds has been inconsistent at home, managing just two wins in their last five games, while Newcastle’s away record shows resilience despite some struggles. They’ve scored 1.8 goals per game recently, showcasing their attacking potential, while Leeds has only averaged 0.8 goals in their last five outings. Moreover, Leeds has struggled against Newcastle historically, failing to win in their last five encounters against them, with a record of 0-3-2. With Newcastle's superior scoring average and Leeds' inability to generate consistent offensive threats—evident in their low xG stats—betting on Newcastle to cover a 0.5 handicap feels prudent. The Magpies are poised to capitalize on Leeds’ vulnerabilities and add another notch to their belt in this crucial clash.

Newcastle United at Leeds United · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 47.0%
Newcastle United at Leeds United · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 33.6%
Newcastle United at Leeds United · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 33.6%
Newcastle United at Leeds United · Total Goals 6.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 95.0%
Newcastle United at Leeds United · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 77.1%
EPLCHE vs. BRE 2026-09-18 19:00
Chelsea Away
vs.
Home Brentford
Last 5ChelseaLWWLWBrentfordDDWDD
Full preview: Chelsea at Brentford →
Show Picks
Chelsea at Brentford: Brentford Spread 0
Chance to win 55.8%
The price says 47.2%
Best price -110

Brentford vs Chelsea: Brentford +0 Goal Handicap (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Brentford prepares to host Chelsea, the narrative speaks volumes about recent form and trends. Brentford's home strength, marked by an average of 1.8 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded in their last five games at Gtech Community Stadium, paints a promising picture. Chelsea, despite being traditional giants, have struggled on the road, averaging just 1.2 goals scored away from home and facing a concerning 2 goals conceded per game. Brentford’s sharp shooting—averaging nearly 16 attempts per game—combined with Chelsea’s defensive inconsistencies, creates a ripe opportunity for the Bees. The xG numbers suggest both sides are underperforming, yet Brentford’s solid home performances could tip the scales. With a recent record of 2-3-0 against Chelsea, they’ll be eager to turn the tide, making the bet on Brentford at 0 an enticing prospect. Expect a tightly contested match where the Bees could very well snag a point, if not more.

Chelsea at Brentford · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 47.5%
Chelsea at Brentford · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 35.5%
Chelsea at Brentford · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 35.5%
Chelsea at Brentford · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 94.5%
Chelsea at Brentford · Total Goals 6.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 94.3%
Chelsea at Brentford · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 81.3%
EPLAVL vs. TOT 2026-09-19 11:30
Full preview: Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur →
Show Picks
Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur: Aston Villa Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Aston Villa_NA
Chance to win 54.5%
The price says 35.2%
Best price +174

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa: Aston Villa Draw No Bet (+174)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

When Tottenham Hotspur hosts Aston Villa, recent form paints a compelling picture for the visitors. Spurs have struggled at home, managing just one win in their last five matches, and they're averaging a meager 0.4 expected goals over that span—an alarming statistic for a team of their caliber. Meanwhile, Villa enters this matchup with a more balanced approach, having scored an average of 1.2 goals in their last five outings. Historically, Villa has shown resilience against Spurs, with a solid record of two wins in their last five encounters. With Spurs conceding an average of 1.4 goals at home lately, it’s clear that Aston Villa has the potential to capitalize on this vulnerability. Betting on Aston Villa in the Draw No Bet market offers a smart hedge against a draw, considering their upward trajectory and Spurs' ongoing struggles. The value here is unmistakable.

Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 36.9%
Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 26.5%
Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 26.5%
Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 57.0%
Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 77.2%
Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 25.4%
Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 25.4%
EPLIPS vs. EVE 2026-09-19 14:00
vs.
Home Everton
Show Picks
Ipswich Town at Everton: Everton Spread -1
Chance to win 55.9%
The price says 39.3%
Best price +130

Everton vs Ipswich Town: Everton -1 Goal Handicap (+130)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Everton prepares to face Ipswich Town, the signs point toward a home victory by more than one goal. Despite a shaky home record recently, the Toffees have showcased their potential, averaging 1.8 goals at home in their last five games. Ipswich, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, managing just a single win in their last five and conceding an alarming 2.8 goals per game away from home. Everton's recent xG stats reveal they’ve been creating chances, with a solid shot average of 13.6 at home. Meanwhile, Ipswich has faltered, failing to find the back of the net with any regularity, reflected in their low xG and overall scoring prowess. With Everton needing to regain momentum, a handicap bet at -1 seems justified—expect them to capitalize on Ipswich’s defensive frailties and secure a convincing win.

Ipswich Town at Everton · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 53.1%
Ipswich Town at Everton · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 53.1%
Ipswich Town at Everton · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 71.4%
Ipswich Town at Everton · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 52.0%
Ipswich Town at Everton · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 46.7%
EPLCRY vs. LEE 2026-09-20 13:00
Show Picks
Crystal Palace at Leeds United: Crystal Palace Spread 3.5
Chance to win 97.3%
The price says 92.2%
Best price -5000

Leeds United vs Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace +3.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Leeds United gears up to host Crystal Palace, the betting landscape heavily tilts in favor of the visitors. Leeds has struggled recently, averaging a paltry 0.8 goals in their last five games, making it hard to envision them keeping pace against a Palace side that, despite its own inconsistencies, has shown flashes of quality. The Eagles have been more potent on the road, averaging 1.4 goals in their last five away matches, while Leeds’ defense has faltered, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. What’s telling is Leeds' recent home form—2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss—combined with their lack of scoring firepower, suggests they may struggle to break through Palace’s backline. Given the discrepancy in scoring and defensive records, backing Crystal Palace to cover that 3.5 handicap feels like a wise move in this matchup.

Crystal Palace at Leeds United · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 50.0%
Crystal Palace at Leeds United · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 45.3%
Crystal Palace at Leeds United · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 27.0%
Crystal Palace at Leeds United · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 27.0%
Crystal Palace at Leeds United · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 61.2%
EPLMUN vs. FUL 2026-09-20 15:30
vs.
Home Fulham
Show Picks
Manchester United at Fulham: Fulham Spread 0.75
Chance to win 66.8%
The price says 58.0%
Best price -179

Fulham vs Manchester United: Fulham +0.75 Goal Handicap (-179)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Fulham prepares to host Manchester United, they find themselves in a prime position to upset the odds. While United boasts a solid away record, their last five encounters against Fulham show a more even contest, with the Cottagers managing to hold their own historically. Fulham’s home form has been resilient, averaging 1.4 goals scored and an impressive 17.4 shots per game, reflecting their ability to create chances. Manchester United, on the other hand, has struggled defensively on the road, conceding 1.6 goals per match against teams that, like Fulham, thrive on home turf. With the expected goals (xG) suggesting a tighter game, backing Fulham with a 0.75 handicap feels like a smart play. The home crowd will be crucial, and Fulham’s ability to squeeze out results, even while under pressure, makes this an enticing option to consider.

Manchester United at Fulham · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 36.4%
Manchester United at Fulham · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 28.0%
Manchester United at Fulham · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 28.0%
Manchester United at Fulham · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 60.7%
Manchester United at Fulham · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 90.5%
Manchester United at Fulham · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 24.4%
Manchester United at Fulham · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 24.4%
Manchester United at Fulham · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 38.0%

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Quick answer

What are EPL picks?

EPL picks are model-generated predictions for Premier League betting markets including 1X2 (match result), Asian Handicap, totals (over/under goals) and player props. Bet Better makes its picks with a model that works out how often each result happens, compares that to the bookmakers' prices, and lists the bets where the price looks too generous, with the reasoning written in plain English on every pick.

What you get on this page

Every upcoming EPL match with predictions across all major markets. Expand any match to see picks ranked strongest first, with probability, best odds, and the model's full reasoning. For player markets, jump to Props.

Probability Model

The model's estimated chance the outcome wins. A probability of 65% means the model thinks it wins 65 times in 100 equivalent scenarios.

Edge Value

The gap between model probability and the bookmaker's chance the price suggests from odds. A pick means the model thinks the true chance is higher than the price suggests.

Best Odds Market

The top available decimal odds at the time of calculation. Odds move — always verify at your sportsbook before placing a bet.

EPL pick types — what's on this page?

Market reference
Market What it means Best used for
1X2 (Match Result) Home win, draw or away win over the full match. Simple single bet or a low-risk multi leg.
Asian Handicap Win by more than a handicap margin, with the draw removed. When one side is expected to dominate or the match should be close.
Totals (O/U Goals) Over or under the combined goals scored in the match. Match tempo, attacking form, defensive matchups and scoring trends.
Player Props Individual stats — shots, goals, assists, cards. Exploit role changes, matchup edges or recent form streaks.

How to read EPL picks in 4 steps

  1. Find a match. Matches are listed in chronological order. Tap "Show Picks" to expand markets and reasoning for that fixture.
  2. Check model probability. This is the model's estimated chance the outcome wins. Compare it against the chance suggested by odds to judge value yourself.
  3. Read the gap. A pick is stronger when the model's chance is clearly higher than the bookmaker's price suggests. The bigger that gap, the more the price is in your favour.
  4. Verify best odds. Odds displayed are a snapshot — always confirm at your sportsbook before placing. Line shopping across books on a strong pick makes a real difference to your long-run results.
Note: This page shows all model-generated EPL picks — the strongest plays are sorted to the top of each game. All betting involves risk — always bet within your limits.
Data first

The model's chance, a value call, and best odds are shown for every pick — so you judge each selection on numbers rather than feel.

Monte Carlo models

20,000+ simulations per match estimate true outcome probabilities across every major EPL market, updated as odds move daily.

Responsible betting

Picks are informational only. Betting involves risk and variance. Use stake limits and only wager what you can afford to lose.

EPL Picks FAQ

Quick answers
What are EPL picks?

EPL picks are model-generated predictions for Premier League betting markets including match result, handicaps, totals and player props. Bet Better makes its picks with a model that works out how often each result happens, compares that to the bookmakers' prices, and lists the bets where the price looks too generous, with the reasoning written in plain English on every pick.

What is the difference between EPL picks and EPL best bets?

EPL Picks shows the full set of model-generated predictions across every market for all upcoming matches. EPL Best Bets is a curated shortlist — the subset of picks the model rates as highest confidence and strongest edge for that day. If you want everything, use Picks. If you want the model's top selections only, use Picks.

What types of EPL picks are available?

The model generates picks across four major market types: 1X2 (match result), Asian Handicap, totals (over/under goals), and player props (individual stats such as shots and goals). Match markets and player markets are displayed together within each fixture, ranked so the strongest picks surface first.

How often are EPL picks updated?

Picks are updated daily and re-run whenever bookmaker odds move significantly. As kick-off approaches, market liquidity increases and line movement can change the numbers on a pick. Between gameweeks or when no upcoming matches qualify, the page displays a notification and picks return automatically once new market data is available.

What makes something a pick here?

A pick happens when the model's number and the bookmaker's price disagree: the model works out how likely the result really is, and when that chance is clearly higher than the price gives credit for, the gap is what makes it a pick. The bigger the gap, the stronger the pick — over many bets, not as a guarantee on any single one.

Can I use EPL picks as legs in multi bets?

Yes — individual picks can be combined as legs in a multi or same game multi. However, risk compounds with every leg added, so starting with 2–3 high-confidence selections is more efficient than building large multis around marginal picks. For structured multi recommendations with a combined chance shown, use the EPL Multis page.

Does Bet Better guarantee EPL picks will win?

No. EPL picks are statistical predictions intended to help inform betting decisions — no outcome is ever guaranteed. All betting involves variance and risk; even high-confidence selections lose a proportion of the time. If gambling is affecting your health or finances, contact the National Gambling Helpline on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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