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Fulham
VS
Sunderland

Fulham vs Sunderland Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 3:56AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Outdoor
Sun 30 Aug 2026, 1:00PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 2.5 Total Goals -123

The model graded 20 markets for Fulham vs Sunderland (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $181 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 30 Aug 2026, 1:00PM at Stadium of Light.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win53.1%
The price says52.9%
Best price-123
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Goals Under 2.5 Lean53% chance -123
Total Goals High75% chance
Both Teams to Score Lean46% chance
Spread High94% chance
Total Corners High61% chance
Spread High93% chance
Total Corners High73% chance
Total Corners Lean49% chance
Total Goals Long-shot27% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Fulham and Sunderland last met on Sun 30 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Under 2.5 · $100 returned $181

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 57 of 117 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 7
Cagliari
Lecce @ Cagliari
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $162
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Goals
Under
3.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SunderlandSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
FulhamSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SunderlandSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
FulhamSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
FulhamSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
FulhamDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Fulham

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Sunderland

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Fulham vs Sunderland: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 29 Aug

Sunderland vs Fulham Prediction & Picks (EPL): Odds Analysis & Top Props

On August 30, 2026 our model has run Fulham at Sunderland and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Sunderland -0.25 Goal Handicap (+110), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Sunderland vs Fulham: Sunderland -0.25 Goal Handicap (+110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Sunderland prepares to host Fulham, there's a compelling case for backing the Black Cats with a -0.25 handicap. Sunderland's recent home form, including a 2-1-2 record, suggests they can hold their own, especially against an away Fulham side that has struggled significantly on the road. With Fulham averaging just 0.2 goals per game away and a concerning xG that mirrors that low output, their attacking woes are palpable. While Sunderland's scoring has dipped to 0.6 goals at home, they’ve managed to generate a solid average of 15.4 shots, indicating potential for creativity and conversion. Fulham's defensive lapses, coupled with Sunderland’s need to capitalize on home advantage, create fertile ground for Sunderland to edge this matchup. Given their historical encounters, Sunderland seems poised to grab the win, making this bet on Sunderland -0.25 attractive in the context of their recent performances.

Sunderland vs Fulham: Sunderland Draw No Bet (-116)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Sunderland prepares to host Fulham, the recent form of both teams leans in favor of the home side. Sunderland's last five games at home show a respectable 2-1-2 record, with an average of 1.4 goals scored. While their defense allows 1.4 goals, they’ve consistently created chances, averaging 15.4 shots per game. Fulham, on the other hand, struggles on the road, managing just 0.2 goals in their last five away games, with a dismal xG average that reflects their lackluster attacking prowess. Despite Fulham's historical edge with two wins in their last five meetings, recent trends suggest Sunderland is due for a breakthrough. Their home advantage, combined with Fulham's difficulties away, makes a Draw No Bet on Sunderland a compelling wager. If they can capitalize on their shooting while tightening up defensively, they could very well secure a win at the Stadium of Light.

Sunderland vs Fulham: Both Teams To Score: No (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Sunderland prepares to host Fulham, the trend points to a low-scoring affair. Both teams have struggled in front of goal lately, with Sunderland averaging just 0.6 goals at home over their last five matches, while Fulham's away form has been dismal, netting a mere 0.2 goals in their last five trips. Additionally, Sunderland's defense has held opponents to an average of 1.4 goals at home, suggesting they can stifle Fulham's lackluster attack. On the contrary, Fulham’s xG numbers indicate they’re not creating much, which aligns with their recent scoring woes against Sunderland. With both sides failing to find the net consistently, betting on "No" for both teams to score seems a savvy play. The stats back it up, and the current form hints at a match where goals might be at a premium.

That is our read — no bet on this board is a sure thing. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineFulham @ SunderlandNo line posted
2-4-14Sunderland form 2016-17
Home form2-4-14Away form8-3-9

Sunderland vs Fulham moneyline. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreFulham @ SunderlandNo line posted

Both teams scored in 25% of Sunderland's and 65% of Fulham's recent matches. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsFulham @ SunderlandNo line posted

Sunderland vs Fulham total-goals angle. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

SpreadFulham @ SunderlandNo line posted

Sunderland on the -0.25 goal handicap; the model prices this cover at 45%. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Fulham @ Sunderland — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Fulham at Sunderland — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Fulham @ Sunderland — model preview

Sunderland v Fulham, 29 August 2026. Top of the list: Sunderland vs Fulham: Under 2.5 Total Goals. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On August 30, 2026 our model has run Fulham at Sunderland and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Sunderland -0.25 Goal Handicap (+110), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
30 Aug 26 Both Teams to Score No ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Total Goals Under 3.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Total Goals Under 1.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Total Goals Under 4.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Total Goals Under 5.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Total Goals Under 2.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Spread Sunderland +1.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Spread Sunderland +2.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Spread Fulham +2.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Spread Fulham +1.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Fulham vs Sunderland in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 30 August 2026 at Stadium of Light. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 17 meetings on record
Fulham 6–5 across the last 17 meetings · 6 draws · these games average 2.0 goals (meetings on record since 2007)
DateGameScoreWinner
30 Aug 2026Fulham @ Sunderland1–0Sunderland
22 Feb 2026Fulham @ Sunderland1–3Fulham
22 Nov 2025Sunderland @ Fulham1–0Fulham
11 Jan 2014Sunderland @ Fulham1–4Sunderland
17 Aug 2013Fulham @ Sunderland0–1Fulham
2 Mar 2013Fulham @ Sunderland2–2Draw
18 Nov 2012Sunderland @ Fulham1–3Sunderland
6 May 2012Sunderland @ Fulham2–1Fulham
19 Nov 2011Fulham @ Sunderland0–0Draw
30 Apr 2011Fulham @ Sunderland0–3Fulham

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 17 meetings on file.

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