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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
New York Yankees

Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 5:28AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Thu 10 Sep 2026, 11:05PM
20
Game markets graded
7
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Colorado Rockies Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings +245

The model graded 27 markets for Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $345 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 10 Sep 2026, 11:05PM at Yankee Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win44.1%
The price says27.8%
Best price+245
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Colorado Rockies Lean44% chance +245
Spread Long-shot28% chance —
Total Runs Long-shot5% chance —
Total Runs High95% chance —
Spread - 1st 5 Innings High76% chance —
Total Runs High90% chance —
Total Runs High88% chance —
Total Runs Long-shot22% chance —
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Lean50% chance —
Batter - Total Bases × 1 prop Leanup to 42% —
Batter - RBIs × 1 prop Long-shotup to 26% —
Batter - Runs Scored × 4 props Long-shotup to 11% —
Batter - Home Runs × 1 prop Long-shotup to 10% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every MLB game on today's board →
New York Yankees are the model's favourite to beat Colorado Rockies, with a 62% chance to win. Predicted score: New York Yankees 4.4 – Colorado Rockies 3.9. Kick-off Thu 10 Sep, 11:05PM at Yankee Stadium. Best bet: Colorado Rockies at +245.
How they've been scoring this season
Colorado RockiesNew York Yankees
Won-lost55-8982-62
Runs scored per game4.74.5
Runs allowed per game5.73.7
On the road / at home25-48 away38-31 at home
Last 5 gamesWLWLLWLWLW
Their games average 9.3 total runs this season.
From the 144 Colorado Rockies and 144 New York Yankees games on our books this season.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 31 bookmakers compared
Winner
Rockies3.90+290Betfair Exchange
Yankees1.32-312Dabble
Total runs
Over8.51.85-117Kalshi
Under8.52.13+113Kalshi

Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees odds by bookmaker

31 books · best price in green
BookRockies winYankees winYankees -1.5Over 8.5Under 8.5
Bally Bet3.55+2551.30-333—1.80-1252.02+102
BetMGM3.80+2801.29-3451.67-1491.83-1202.00+100
BetOnline3.75+2751.32-3121.69-1451.80-1252.05+105
betPARX3.55+2551.30-333—1.80-1252.02+102
BetRivers3.55+2551.30-333—1.80-1252.02+102
BetUS3.64+2641.32-3121.69-1451.80-1252.05+105
Bovada3.60+2601.30-3331.69-145——
DraftKings3.70+2701.29-3451.67-149——
ESPN BET3.70+2701.29-345—1.80-1252.05+105
Fanatics3.60+2601.30-3331.67-1491.83-1202.00+100
FanDuel3.70+2701.30-3331.68-1471.82-1222.00+100
Fliff3.80+2801.28-357—1.80-1252.00+100
Hard Rock Bet3.75+2751.29-345—1.83-1202.00+100
Kalshi3.85+2851.32-3161.72-1381.85-1172.13+113

Since the market opened: Yankees to win opened 1.30, best now 1.34; the over 8.5 opened 1.83, best now 1.91 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Corbin Burnes Under 2.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
Colorado Rockies
+245
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Colorado RockiesMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from New York Yankees on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward New York Yankees
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

PointsBet
on Colorado Rockies
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro

Closing line

Snapshot logged
We store the closing number to grade every pick's CLV.
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Willi Castro 2BOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Tomoyuki Sugano SP

New York Yankees

  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2BOut
  • Ryan Weathers SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Trent Grisham CFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut

Probable pitcher

Will Warren SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 11:05PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The plate umpire

Behind the plate: Todd Tichenor. Games he has called average 8.6 runs across 23 games on record — the league average this season is 9.2. Full umpire record →

The preview

Written 10 Sep

New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies Prediction and Picks, September 10, 2026

On September 10, 2026 our model has run Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies: Over 3.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-233), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies: Over 5.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (+132)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies: Over 5.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (+132). That is a alternate totals 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at +132 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies: Over 4.5 totals 1st 5 innings (-128)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies: Over 4.5 totals 1st 5 innings (-128). That is a totals 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at -128 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.81 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies: Over 4.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies: Over 4.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-130). That is a alternate totals 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at -130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.69 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies: Over 3.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-233)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies: Over 3.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-233). That is a alternate totals 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at -233 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jake McCarthy (COL) Over 1.5 Total Bases (+145)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jake McCarthy (COL) Over 1.5 Total Bases (+145). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at +145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Hunter Goodman Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+130)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Hunter Goodman Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+130). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Same game parlay

Written 10 Sep

New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies Prediction and Same Game Parlay picks, September 10, 2026

On September 10, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip LONG-SHOT confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Cole Carrigg Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+165)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Cole Carrigg Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+165). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +165 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jake McCarthy (COL) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+160)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jake McCarthy (COL) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+160). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +160 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Hunter Goodman Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+130)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Hunter Goodman Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+130). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jake McCarthy COL Batter - Total Bases
Jake McCarthy COL Batter - RBIs
Cole Carrigg Batter - Runs Scored
Jake McCarthy COL Batter - Runs Scored
Hunter Goodman Batter - Runs Scored

+ 7 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineColorado Rockies to win+274
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA1.4Away L52-3vs New York Yankees L52-3

Colorado Rockies moneyline vs New York Yankees is live and our model makes it 38% (LONG-SHOT); L5 record 4-1.

Run LineColorado Rockies run line+5.5 -455
90%cover %
+0.4proj. margin
L5 RF3.6L5 RA1.4Away L52-3vs New York Yankees L52-3

Colorado Rockies spread vs New York Yankees is live and our model makes it 90% (HIGH); proj. margin +0.4.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Colorado RockiesUnder 2.5 +1700
8.3proj. runs
L5 RF1.6L5 RA0.8Home L51-4vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

New York Yankees total runs vs Colorado Rockies is live and our model makes it 6% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 8.3.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
1.5runs we expect
L5 RF1.6L5 RA0.8Home L51-4vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 27 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 7 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
7
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 27 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 26 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 1 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–1COLHome
W5–3COLHome
L3–4SDAway
L2–3SDAway
W5–1SDAway
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–6NYYAway
L3–5NYYAway
W10–7STLHome
L8–10STLHome
L6–7STLHome

Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 1.6 runs per game (2-3) while Colorado Rockies are at 3.6 (4-1); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 0.8 earned runs per game versus 1.4 for Colorado Rockies.

1.6
New York Yankees runs/G
3.6
Colorado Rockies runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesColorado Rockies
Runs / game1.63.6
Hits / game3.24.2
Home runs / game0.20.4
Walks drawn / game1.60.6
Batter K / game2.82.2
Earned runs allowed / game0.81.4
Pitching K / game2.82.2
Walks allowed / game0.60.4
L5 record2-34-1

Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: New York Yankees won 2, Colorado Rockies won 0.

DateNew York YankeesColorado RockiesWinner
Sep 961New York Yankees
Sep 853New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2BOUT
Ryan Weathers SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Trent Grisham CFOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Willi Castro 2BOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees — where the money went

Since betting opened on Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees, the market has moved away from New York Yankees across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — New York Yankees -2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Colorado Rockies 1.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Colorado Rockies 2.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — New York Yankees -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 8.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 8.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Colorado Rockies 1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — New York Yankees -1.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees — model preview

Our Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees prediction for September 10, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 10, 2026 our model has run Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies: Over 3.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-233), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Rockies. The next scheduled game is Thursday 10 September 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 7 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 10 meetings on record
New York Yankees 6–4 across the last 10 meetings · these games average 9.6 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
8 Sep 2026Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees5–3New York Yankees
25 May 2025New York Yankees @ Colorado Rockies4–5New York Yankees
24 May 2025New York Yankees @ Colorado Rockies1–13New York Yankees
23 May 2025New York Yankees @ Colorado Rockies3–2Colorado Rockies
25 Aug 2024Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees10–3New York Yankees
24 Aug 2024Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees2–9Colorado Rockies
23 Aug 2024Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees3–0New York Yankees
16 Jul 2023New York Yankees @ Colorado Rockies8–7Colorado Rockies
15 Jul 2023New York Yankees @ Colorado Rockies3–6New York Yankees
14 Jul 2023New York Yankees @ Colorado Rockies7–2Colorado Rockies
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