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Model picks & player props
Baltimore Orioles
VS
Colorado Rockies

Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 4:40AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Coors Field, Denver
Outdoor
Wed 2 Sep 2026, 7:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
54.5%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 9.5 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings -556

The model graded 70 markets for Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $118 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 2 Sep 2026, 7:10PM at Coors Field.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win81.7%
The price says78.5%
Best price-556
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 9.5 High82% chance -556
Total Runs High82% chance —
Total Runs High86% chance —
Total Runs High77% chance —
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings High93% chance —
Total Runs High66% chance —
Total Runs Lean59% chance —
Total Runs Lean59% chance —
Total Runs Long-shot31% chance —
Batter - Total Bases × 9 props Highup to 67% —
Batter - Stolen Bases × 2 props Long-shotup to 28% —
Batter - Walks × 6 props Highup to 98% —
Pitcher - Walks × 2 props Highup to 88% —
Batter - Home Runs × 1 prop Long-shotup to 31% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every MLB game on today's board →

Baltimore Orioles and Colorado Rockies last met on Wed 2 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Under 9.5 · $100 returned $118

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Corbin Burnes Under 2.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $240
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings
Under
9.5
-556
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,727+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Baltimore Orioles

  • Blaze Alexander 3BOut
  • Gunnar Henderson SSDay-to-day
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Christian Franklin CFOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Felix Bautista RPOut
  • Tyler O'Neill RFOut
  • Luis Robert Jr. CFOut
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut

Probable pitcher

Shane Baz SP

Colorado Rockies

  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Willi Castro 2BOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Tomoyuki Sugano SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 11:05PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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The preview

Written 3 Sep

Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction and Picks, September 3, 2026

On September 3, 2026 our model has run Baltimore Orioles at Colorado Rockies and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Pete Alonso (NYM) Under 0.5 Doubles (-370), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

Gunnar Henderson (BAL) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (+103)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Gunnar Henderson (BAL) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (+103). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +103 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Coby Mayo Under 0.5 RBIs (-159)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Coby Mayo Under 0.5 RBIs (-159). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Pete Alonso (NYM) Under 0.5 Doubles (-370)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Pete Alonso (NYM) Under 0.5 Doubles (-370). That is a Doubles bet. It was priced at -370 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore Orioles: Under 11 Total Runs (-103)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore Orioles: Under 11 Total Runs (-103). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at -103 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.71 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore Orioles: Under 4.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (+178)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore Orioles: Under 4.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (+178). That is a alternate totals 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at +178 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $27.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore Orioles: Under 10 Total Runs (+138)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore Orioles: Under 10 Total Runs (+138). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at +138 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Same game parlay

Written 3 Sep

Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction and Same Game Parlay picks, September 3, 2026

On September 3, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for Baltimore Orioles at Colorado Rockies is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip HIGH confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Walks (-286)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Walks (-286). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -286 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jordan Beck Under 0.5 Walks (-455)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jordan Beck Under 0.5 Walks (-455). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -455 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Cole Carrigg (COL) Under 0.5 Walks (-400)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Cole Carrigg (COL) Under 0.5 Walks (-400). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
TJ Rumfield Batter - Total Bases
TJ Rumfield Batter - Stolen Bases
Coby Mayo Batter - Walks
Trevor Rogers Pitcher - Walks
Samuel Basallo Batter - Stolen Bases

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineColorado RockiesNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs Baltimore Orioles L52-3

Colorado Rockies moneyline form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Run LineColorado Rockies run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs Baltimore Orioles L52-3

Colorado Rockies spread form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore OriolesNo line posted

Colorado Rockies total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsColorado Rockies team totalNo line posted
2.8runs we expect
L5 RF3.6L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs Baltimore Orioles L52-3

Colorado Rockies team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Baltimore Orioles at Colorado Rockies — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies — recent results

Colorado Rockies have won 1 of their last 5 games; Baltimore Orioles have won 2 of their last 5.

Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–6NYYAway
L3–5NYYAway
W10–7STLHome
L8–10STLHome
L6–7STLHome
Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W9–5CLEHome
L5–9CLEHome
W6–4CLEHome
L1–3BOSHome
L0–5BOSHome

Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Colorado Rockies are scoring 1.4 runs per game (3-2) while Baltimore Orioles are at 1.4 (1-4); Colorado Rockies pitchers are allowing 0.4 earned runs per game versus 2.0 for Baltimore Orioles.

1.4
Colorado Rockies runs/G
1.4
Baltimore Orioles runs/G
Last 5 gamesColorado RockiesBaltimore Orioles
Runs / game1.41.4
Hits / game3.42.6
Home runs / game0.60.4
Walks drawn / game0.81.0
Batter K / game1.82.2
Earned runs allowed / game0.42.0
Pitching K / game1.41.6
Walks allowed / game1.61.0
L5 record3-21-4

Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Colorado Rockies won 2, Baltimore Orioles won 1.

DateColorado RockiesBaltimore OriolesWinner
Sep 242Colorado Rockies
Sep 265Colorado Rockies
Sep 112Baltimore Orioles

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Willi Castro 2BOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT
Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Blaze Alexander 3BOUT
Gunnar Henderson SSDAY-TO-DAY
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT
Christian Franklin CFOUT
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Felix Bautista RPOUT
Tyler O'Neill RFOUT
Luis Robert Jr. CFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies — model preview

Our Baltimore Orioles at Colorado Rockies prediction for September 3, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 3, 2026 our model has run Baltimore Orioles at Colorado Rockies and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Pete Alonso (NYM) Under 0.5 Doubles (-370), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
Recent form: won 4 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
DateMarketPickResult
02 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Colorado Rockies 1.5 ✓ HIT
02 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 11.5 ✓ HIT
02 Sep 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 9.5 ✓ HIT
02 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 9 ✓ HIT
02 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Baltimore Orioles 1.5 ✓ HIT
02 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 11 ✓ HIT
02 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 14.5 ✓ HIT
02 Sep 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 6.5 ✓ HIT
02 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 12.5 ✓ HIT
02 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 10 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Orioles vs Rockies, or as Rockies vs Orioles. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 2 September 2026 at Coors Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 54.5% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Baltimore Orioles 8–4 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 8.3 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
2 Sep 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies4–2Colorado Rockies
1 Sep 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies1–2Baltimore Orioles
31 Aug 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies1–2Baltimore Orioles
27 Jul 2025Colorado Rockies @ Baltimore Orioles5–1Baltimore Orioles
26 Jul 2025Colorado Rockies @ Baltimore Orioles18–0Baltimore Orioles
25 Jul 2025Colorado Rockies @ Baltimore Orioles5–6Colorado Rockies
1 Sep 2024Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies1–6Baltimore Orioles
31 Aug 2024Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies7–5Colorado Rockies
30 Aug 2024Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies3–5Baltimore Orioles
27 Aug 2023Colorado Rockies @ Baltimore Orioles3–4Colorado Rockies

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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