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Model picks & player props
Cleveland Guardians
VS
Colorado Rockies

Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 5:28AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Coors Field, Denver
Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 7:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 3.5 Total Runs +1500

The model graded 70 markets for Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $1,600 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 23 Aug 2026, 7:10PM at Coors Field.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win5.3%
The price says6.3%
Best price+1500
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Under 3.5 Long-shot5% chance +1500
Total Runs Long-shot22% chance
Total Runs High90% chance
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot12% chance
Total Runs Long-shot38% chance
Total Runs High84% chance
Total Runs Long-shot38% chance
Spread Long-shot11% chance
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings High89% chance
Pitcher - Walks × 4 props Highup to 84%
Batter - Walks × 14 props Highup to 98%
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 2 props Highup to 75%
Batter - Runs Scored × 2 props Highup to 62%
Batter - Total Bases × 7 props Highup to 68%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Cleveland Guardians and Colorado Rockies last met on Sun 23 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Corbin Burnes Under 2.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Under
12
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Cleveland Guardians

  • Colin Holderman RPOut
  • Rhys Hoskins 1BOut
  • Shawn Armstrong RPOut

Probable pitcher

Foster Griffin SP

Colorado Rockies

  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Willi Castro 2BOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Tomoyuki Sugano SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 11:05PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Tomoyuki Sugano BAL Pitcher - Walks
Tanner Bibee Pitcher - Walks
Gabriel Hughes Pitcher - Walks
Jo Adell Batter - Walks
Austin Hedges CLE Batter - Walks

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineColorado RockiesNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs Cleveland Guardians L52-3

Colorado Rockies moneyline form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Run LineColorado Rockies run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs Cleveland Guardians L52-3

Colorado Rockies spread form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland GuardiansNo line posted

Colorado Rockies total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsColorado Rockies team totalNo line posted
3.2runs we expect
L5 RF3.6L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs Cleveland Guardians L52-3

Colorado Rockies team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.6 runs/gm.

Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Cleveland Guardians at Colorado Rockies — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies — recent results

Colorado Rockies have won 1 of their last 5 games; Cleveland Guardians have won 2 of their last 5.

Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–6NYYAway
L3–5NYYAway
W10–7STLHome
L8–10STLHome
L6–7STLHome
Cleveland Guardians — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L5–9BALAway
W9–5BALAway
L4–6BALAway
W3–2DETHome
L0–6DETHome

Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Colorado Rockies are scoring 2.2 runs per game (1-4) while Cleveland Guardians are at 3.6 (3-2); Colorado Rockies pitchers are allowing 4.8 earned runs per game versus 1.4 for Cleveland Guardians.

2.2
Colorado Rockies runs/G
3.6
Cleveland Guardians runs/G
Last 5 gamesColorado RockiesCleveland Guardians
Runs / game2.23.6
Hits / game3.85.4
Home runs / game0.40.4
Walks drawn / game1.61.4
Batter K / game2.41.4
Earned runs allowed / game4.81.4
Pitching K / game2.02.0
Walks allowed / game1.81.2
L5 record1-43-2

Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Colorado Rockies won 0, Cleveland Guardians won 4.

DateColorado RockiesCleveland GuardiansWinner
Aug 2334Cleveland Guardians
Aug 2327Cleveland Guardians
Aug 2219Cleveland Guardians
Mar 844Draw
Mar 138Cleveland Guardians

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Willi Castro 2BOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT
Cleveland Guardians
PlayerStatus
Colin Holderman RPOUT
Rhys Hoskins 1BOUT
Shawn Armstrong RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies — model preview

Our Cleveland Guardians at Colorado Rockies prediction for August 24, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 24, 2026 our model has run Cleveland Guardians at Colorado Rockies and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Brayan Rocchio (CLE) Under 0.5 RBIs (-233), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 12 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 13 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 9.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 14.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 9.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 10 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 10.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 10.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 14 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 11 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Guardians vs Rockies, or as Rockies vs Guardians. The most recent game between them was Sunday 23 August 2026 at Coors Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 20 meetings on record
Cleveland Guardians 12–6 across the last 20 meetings · 2 draws · these games average 10.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies3–4Cleveland Guardians
22 Aug 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies1–9Cleveland Guardians
21 Aug 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies1–9Cleveland Guardians
8 Mar 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies4–4Draw
1 Mar 2026Colorado Rockies @ Cleveland Guardians8–3Cleveland Guardians
30 Jul 2025Colorado Rockies @ Cleveland Guardians5–0Cleveland Guardians
29 Jul 2025Colorado Rockies @ Cleveland Guardians10–4Cleveland Guardians
28 Jul 2025Colorado Rockies @ Cleveland Guardians6–8Colorado Rockies
13 Mar 2025Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies6–4Colorado Rockies
28 Feb 2025Colorado Rockies @ Cleveland Guardians3–1Cleveland Guardians

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 20 meetings on file.

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