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Live MLB odds · Model vs implied

Today's MLB Odds, with the value already flagged

Every moneyline, run line, total and team prop in one table — each price shown next to our model probability and the book's implied probability, so the edge is obvious at a glance. Updated live as prices move.

Today's odds board

Model probability in green = our edge
Odds checked in the last few minutes · 30 bookmakers

Next Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves · best Atlanta Braves price 1.89 (-113) at Kalshi

Tomorrow · Thursday, Sep 10
Tampa Bay Rays logoTampa Bay RaysatAtlanta Braves logoAtlanta Braves
28 books
Best Atlanta Braves price: +$4 per $100 vs average
Winner price, last 48hTampa Bay Rays 1.99 · Sep 10 03:00 UTCTampa Bay Rays 1.97 · Sep 10 07:00 UTCTampa Bay Rays 1.98 · Sep 10 11:00 UTCTampa Bay Rays 1.98 · Sep 10 12:00 UTCAtlanta Braves 1.86 · Sep 10 03:00 UTCAtlanta Braves 1.85 · Sep 10 07:00 UTCAtlanta Braves 1.85 · Sep 10 11:00 UTCAtlanta Braves 1.85 · Sep 10 12:00 UTCTampa Bay Rays 1.98Atlanta Braves 1.85
Winner
Tampa Bay Rays2.05+105BetUSshould cost ~2.06
Atlanta Braves1.89-113Kalshishould cost ~1.94
Run line
Tampa Bay Rays-1.52.78+178Kalshishould cost ~2.75
Atlanta Braves+1.51.54-186Kalshishould cost ~1.57
Total runs
Over8.52.08+108Kalshishould cost ~2.04
Under8.51.89-113Kalshishould cost ~1.96
Compare all 28 bookmakers on this game
BookmakerTampa Bay Rays winAtlanta Braves winTampa Bay Rays lineAtlanta Braves lineOverUnder
Bally Bet1.961.85+1 1.64-1 2.288.5 1.938.5 1.88
BetMGM1.981.858.5 1.988.5 1.85
BetOnline2.041.87+1.5 1.50-1.5 2.748.5 1.958.5 1.87
betPARX1.961.85+1 1.64-1 2.288.5 1.938.5 1.88
Betr1.961.85
BetRight1.971.85
BetRivers1.971.85+1 1.64-1 2.288.5 1.938.5 1.88
BetUS2.051.87+1.5 1.50-1.5 2.728.5 1.958.5 1.87
Bovada1.971.85-1.5 2.65+1.5 1.518.5 1.958.5 1.87
DraftKings1.981.85-1.5 2.61+1.5 1.518.5 1.978.5 1.85
ESPN BET2.001.83-1.5 2.65+1.5 1.508.5 1.958.5 1.87
Fanatics2.001.83-1.5 2.65+1.5 1.498.5 1.958.5 1.87
FanDuel1.981.86-1.5 2.64+1.5 1.508.5 1.968.5 1.85
Fliff1.951.83-1.5 2.55+1.5 1.488.5 1.958.5 1.83
Hard Rock Bet1.951.87-1.5 2.60+1.5 1.518.5 1.958.5 1.87
Kalshi2.041.89-1.5 2.78+1.5 1.548.5 2.088.5 1.89
Ladbrokes1.961.85
LowVig2.041.87+1.5 1.50-1.5 2.758.5 1.988.5 1.88
MyBookie1.991.86-1.5 2.64+1.5 1.518.5 1.968.5 1.85
Neds1.961.85
PlayUp1.951.85-1.5 2.55+1.5 1.528.5 1.908.5 1.87
PointsBet1.951.87+1.5 1.50-1.5 2.658.5 1.958.5 1.87
Polymarket2.111.91-1.5 2.82+1.5 1.558.5 2.118.5 1.91
ReBet1.951.83+1 1.63-1 2.178.5 1.928.5 1.82
Sportsbet1.961.85-1.5 2.62+1.5 1.508.5 1.958.5 1.82
TABtouch1.951.83+1 1.64-1 2.288.5 1.928.5 1.88
Unibet1.961.85+1 1.64-1 2.288.5 1.938.5 1.88
William Hill2.001.83+1.5 1.49-1.5 2.708.5 1.958.5 1.87
Houston Astros logoHouston AstrosatPhiladelphia Phillies logoPhiladelphia Phillies
29 books
Winner price, last 48hHouston Astros 2.44 · Sep 10 03:00 UTCHouston Astros 2.43 · Sep 10 07:00 UTCHouston Astros 2.45 · Sep 10 11:00 UTCHouston Astros 2.46 · Sep 10 12:00 UTCPhillies 1.57 · Sep 10 03:00 UTCPhillies 1.57 · Sep 10 07:00 UTCPhillies 1.57 · Sep 10 11:00 UTCPhillies 1.57 · Sep 10 12:00 UTCHouston Astros 2.46Phillies 1.57
Winner
Houston Astros2.63+163Kalshishould cost ~2.60
Phillies1.59-169BetOnlineshould cost ~1.63
Run line
Houston Astros+1.51.76-132MyBookieshould cost ~1.78
Phillies-1.52.27+127Kalshishould cost ~2.29
Total runs
Over8.52.00+100Kalshishould cost ~2.00
Under8.51.96-104Kalshishould cost ~2.00
Compare all 29 bookmakers on this game
BookmakerHouston Astros winPhillies winHouston Astros linePhillies lineOverUnder
Bally Bet2.451.56+1 2.02-1 1.818.5 1.928.5 1.89
BetMGM2.501.54+1.5 1.69-1.5 2.188.5 1.918.5 1.91
BetOnline2.541.59+1.5 1.71-1.5 2.208.5 1.918.5 1.91
betPARX2.451.56+1 2.02-1 1.818.5 1.928.5 1.89
Betr2.451.55
BetRight2.451.56
BetRivers2.451.56+1 2.02-1 1.818.5 1.928.5 1.89
BetUS2.501.59+1.5 1.71-1.5 2.208.5 1.918.5 1.91
Bovada2.491.55+1.5 1.69-1.5 2.258.5 1.918.5 1.91
DraftKings2.521.54+1.5 1.73-1.5 2.148.5 1.938.5 1.89
ESPN BET2.501.57+1.5 1.69-1.5 2.208.5 1.918.5 1.91
Fanatics2.501.56+1.5 1.67-1.5 2.258.5 1.918.5 1.91
FanDuel2.501.56+1.5 1.68-1.5 2.228.5 1.918.5 1.91
Fliff2.501.53+1.5 1.65-1.5 2.158.5 1.918.5 1.87
Hard Rock Bet2.451.57+1.5 1.69-1.5 2.208.5 1.918.5 1.91
Kalshi2.631.56+1.5 1.75-1.5 2.278.5 2.008.5 1.96
Ladbrokes2.401.58
LowVig2.541.59+1.5 1.72-1.5 2.228.5 1.938.5 1.93
MyBookie2.511.56+1.5 1.76-1.5 2.128.5 1.928.5 1.89
Neds2.401.58
PlayUp2.451.55+1.5 1.72-1.5 2.128.5 1.858.5 1.92
PointsBet2.451.57+1.5 1.74-1.5 2.158.5 1.908.5 1.90
Polymarket2.601.63+1.5 1.77-1.5 2.308.5 2.028.5 1.98
ReBet2.451.54+1 2.07-1 1.738.5 1.888.5 1.86
Sportsbet2.461.53+1.5 1.68-1.5 2.198.5 1.888.5 1.88
TAB2.501.58
TABtouch2.431.56+1 2.02-1 1.808.5 1.918.5 1.88
Unibet2.451.56+1 2.02-1 1.818.5 1.928.5 1.89
William Hill2.501.56+1.5 1.71-1.5 2.188.5 1.918.5 1.91
Texas Rangers logoTexas RangersatSeattle Mariners logoSeattle Mariners
30 books
Best Mariners price: +$5 per $100 vs average
Winner price, last 48hTexas Rangers 2.10 · Sep 10 03:00 UTCTexas Rangers 2.09 · Sep 10 07:00 UTCTexas Rangers 2.09 · Sep 10 11:00 UTCTexas Rangers 2.09 · Sep 10 12:00 UTCMariners 1.76 · Sep 10 03:00 UTCMariners 1.76 · Sep 10 07:00 UTCMariners 1.76 · Sep 10 11:00 UTCMariners 1.77 · Sep 10 12:00 UTCTexas Rangers 2.09Mariners 1.77
Winner
Texas Rangers2.17+117Kalshishould cost ~2.18
Mariners1.82-122Kalshishould cost ~1.84
Run line
Texas Rangers+1.51.50-200PlayUpshould cost ~1.53
Mariners-1.52.88+188FanDuelshould cost ~2.87
Total runs
Over6.51.85-117Kalshishould cost ~1.88
Under6.52.13+113Kalshishould cost ~2.13
Compare all 30 bookmakers on this game
BookmakerTexas Rangers winMariners winTexas Rangers lineMariners lineOverUnder
Bally Bet2.071.77+1 1.68-1 2.236.5 1.826.5 2.00
BetMGM2.051.77+1.5 1.45-1.5 2.807 2.057 1.80
BetOnline2.131.80+1.5 1.49-1.5 2.777 2.007 1.83
betPARX2.071.77+1 1.68-1 2.236.5 1.826.5 2.00
Betr2.101.73
BetRight2.101.75
BetRivers2.081.78+1 1.68-1 2.236.5 1.826.5 2.00
BetUS2.141.80+1.5 1.49-1.5 2.767 2.007 1.83
Bovada2.091.76+1.5 1.44-1.5 2.856.5 1.806.5 2.05
Dabble2.051.78
DraftKings2.091.76+1.5 1.48-1.5 2.697 2.047 1.80
ESPN BET2.101.77+1.5 1.44-1.5 2.756.5 1.776.5 2.10
Fanatics2.101.77+1.5 1.49-1.5 2.657 2.007 1.83
FanDuel2.101.77+1.5 1.43-1.5 2.886.5 1.786.5 2.04
Fliff2.051.74+1.5 1.43-1.5 2.656.5 1.776.5 2.00
Hard Rock Bet2.101.77+1.5 1.45-1.5 2.806.5 1.806.5 2.05
Kalshi2.171.82-1.5 3.03+1.5 1.476.5 1.856.5 2.13
Ladbrokes2.021.80
LowVig2.131.80+1.5 1.49-1.5 2.797 2.037 1.85
MyBookie2.101.78+1.5 1.50-1.5 2.677 2.017 1.81
Neds2.021.80
PlayUp2.081.75+1.5 1.50-1.5 2.606.5 1.726.5 2.08
PointsBet2.151.74+1.5 1.48-1.5 2.757 1.957 1.87
Polymarket2.201.84+1.5 1.55-1.5 2.826.5 1.876.5 2.15
ReBet2.051.74+1 1.67-1 2.137 1.977 1.78
Sportsbet2.081.75+1.5 1.43-1.5 2.856.5 1.776.5 2.01
TAB2.101.75
TABtouch2.061.76+1 1.67-1 2.206.5 1.826.5 2.00
Unibet2.071.77+1 1.68-1 2.236.5 1.826.5 2.00
William Hill2.121.76+1.5 1.47-1.5 2.776.5 1.806.5 2.05
Colorado Rockies logoColorado RockiesatNew York Yankees logoNew York Yankees
29 books
Winner price, last 48hRockies 3.77 · Sep 10 03:00 UTCRockies 3.71 · Sep 10 07:00 UTCRockies 3.63 · Sep 10 11:00 UTCRockies 3.62 · Sep 10 12:00 UTCYankees 1.29 · Sep 10 03:00 UTCYankees 1.29 · Sep 10 07:00 UTCYankees 1.30 · Sep 10 11:00 UTCYankees 1.30 · Sep 10 12:00 UTCRockies 3.62Yankees 1.30
Winner
Rockies3.85+285Kalshishould cost ~3.81
Yankees1.32-312Dabbleshould cost ~1.36
Run line
Rockies+1.52.33+133Kalshishould cost ~2.38
Yankees-1.51.72-138Kalshishould cost ~1.73
Total runs
Over8.51.89-113Kalshishould cost ~1.91
Under8.52.08+108Kalshishould cost ~2.10
Compare all 29 bookmakers on this game
BookmakerRockies winYankees winRockies lineYankees lineOverUnder
Bally Bet3.551.30+2 1.97-2 1.858.5 1.838.5 1.97
BetMGM3.801.29+1.5 2.25-1.5 1.678.5 1.838.5 2.00
BetOnline3.751.32+1.5 2.30-1.5 1.678.5 1.808.5 2.05
betPARX3.551.30+2 1.97-2 1.858.5 1.838.5 1.97
Betr3.651.29
BetRight3.601.30
BetRivers3.551.30+2 1.97-2 1.858.5 1.838.5 1.97
BetUS3.641.32+1.5 2.30-1.5 1.678.5 1.808.5 2.05
Bovada3.701.29+2.5 1.77-2.5 2.108.5 1.808.5 2.05
Dabble3.301.32
DraftKings3.701.29+1.5 2.28-1.5 1.659 1.979 1.85
ESPN BET3.801.28+2.5 1.77-2.5 2.108.5 1.838.5 2.00
Fanatics3.601.30+1.5 2.30-1.5 1.629 2.009 1.83
FanDuel3.701.30+1.5 2.26-1.5 1.668.5 1.828.5 2.00
Fliff3.701.29+2.5 1.74-2.5 2.058.5 1.808.5 2.00
Hard Rock Bet3.751.29+2.5 1.80-2.5 2.058.5 1.838.5 2.00
Kalshi3.851.32+1.5 2.33-1.5 1.728.5 1.898.5 2.08
Ladbrokes3.451.32
LowVig3.751.32+1.5 2.32-1.5 1.678.5 1.818.5 2.07
MyBookie3.651.30+2.5 1.86-2.5 1.998.5 1.838.5 1.99
Neds3.451.32
PlayUp3.551.30+2.5 1.75-2.5 2.088.5 1.778.5 2.02
PointsBet3.501.31+1.5 2.30-1.5 1.679 2.009 1.83
Polymarket3.921.34+1.5 2.33-1.5 1.758.5 1.918.5 2.11
ReBet3.501.29+2.5 1.81-2.5 1.949 1.959 1.79
Sportsbet3.751.26+1.5 2.23-1.5 1.668.5 1.798.5 1.99
TABtouch3.551.30+2 1.96-2 1.858.5 1.828.5 1.97
Unibet3.551.30+2 1.97-2 1.858.5 1.838.5 1.97
William Hill3.701.29+1.5 2.30-1.5 1.658.5 1.808.5 2.05
Pittsburgh Pirates logoPittsburgh PiratesatChicago White Sox logoChicago White Sox
27 books
Best Pirates price: +$4 per $100 vs average
Winner price, last 48hPirates 1.94 · Sep 10 03:00 UTCPirates 1.91 · Sep 10 07:00 UTCPirates 1.91 · Sep 10 11:00 UTCPirates 1.91 · Sep 10 12:00 UTCSox 1.88 · Sep 10 03:00 UTCSox 1.90 · Sep 10 07:00 UTCSox 1.90 · Sep 10 11:00 UTCSox 1.91 · Sep 10 12:00 UTCPirates 1.91Sox 1.91
Winner
Pirates1.95-105ESPN BETshould cost ~2.00
Sox1.95-105BetOnlineshould cost ~2.00
Run line
Pirates-1.51.14-735Kalshi
Sox+1.57.69+669Kalshi
Total runs
Over7.51.93-108LowVigshould cost ~1.99
Under7.51.95-105Hard Rock Betshould cost ~2.01
Compare all 27 bookmakers on this game
BookmakerPirates winSox winPirates lineSox lineOverUnder
Bally Bet1.891.927.5 1.917.5 1.91
BetMGM1.911.917.5 1.917.5 1.91
BetOnline1.951.957.5 1.917.5 1.91
betPARX1.891.927.5 1.917.5 1.91
Betr1.911.89
BetRight1.921.90
BetRivers1.911.937.5 1.917.5 1.91
Bovada1.911.917.5 1.877.5 1.95
Dabble1.851.95
DraftKings1.911.917.5 1.897.5 1.93
ESPN BET1.951.877.5 1.877.5 1.95
Fanatics1.911.917.5 1.917.5 1.91
FanDuel1.931.937.5 1.877.5 1.95
Fliff1.911.917.5 1.877.5 1.91
Hard Rock Bet1.911.917.5 1.877.5 1.95
Kalshi-1.5 1.14+1.5 7.69
Ladbrokes1.901.90
LowVig1.951.957.5 1.937.5 1.93
Neds1.901.90
PlayUp1.911.907.5 1.837.5 1.95
PointsBet1.901.907.5 1.877.5 1.95
Polymarket2.021.98-1.5 2.74+1.5 1.587.5 1.967.5 2.04
ReBet1.911.877.5 1.847.5 1.90
Sportsbet1.901.907.5 1.837.5 1.93
TABtouch1.881.917.5 1.897.5 1.89
Unibet1.891.927.5 1.917.5 1.91
William Hill1.911.917.5 1.917.5 1.91
What's moving today
  • Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees · Market cooling on New York Yankees: 2.04 → 2.18 (5 books)
  • Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners · Market backing the under: 2.00 → 1.94 (7 books)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox · Market backing Pittsburgh Pirates: 2.76 → 2.69 (11 books)

Today's MLB lines in one look

  • Atlanta Braves are the favourite over Tampa Bay Rays at 1.87 (PointsBet), run line +1.5; total 8.5. Preview →
  • Philadelphia Phillies are the favourite over Houston Astros at 1.58 (TAB), run line -1.5; total 8.5. Preview →
  • Seattle Mariners are the favourite over Texas Rangers at 1.80 (Neds), run line -1.5; total 6.5 (opened 1.76). Preview →
  • New York Yankees are the favourite over Colorado Rockies at 1.32 (Dabble), run line -1.5; total 8.5. Preview →
  • Chicago White Sox are the favourite over Pittsburgh Pirates at 1.95 (Dabble), run line +1.5; total 7.5 (opened 1.89). Preview →

Decimal prices, best book named. A price that opened higher or lower is shown in brackets.

Biggest moves since the market opened

SideOpenedBest nowMove
Houston Astros to win (Houston Astros @ Phillies)2.432.63drifted 8%
Rockies to win (Rockies @ Yankees)3.673.85drifted 5%
Texas Rangers to win (Texas Rangers @ Mariners)2.092.17drifted 4%
Tampa Bay Rays to win (Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves)1.982.05drifted 4%
Mariners to win (Texas Rangers @ Mariners)1.761.82drifted 3%

Shortened = more money on that side since open; drifted = less.

Who had the best price most often

BookBest priceShare
Polymarket27 of 3090%
Kalshi3 of 3010%
FanDuel1 of 303%

Across every market on today's board. Ties count for each book.

What each book keeps on the winner market

BookAverage holdGames
Polymarket0.0%5
Kalshi1.7%4
LowVig2.5%5
BetOnline2.5%5
BetUS2.7%4
FanDuel4.0%5
MyBookie4.0%4
TAB4.0%2

Lower is better for you: it is the margin built into the two prices on the winner market.

The crowd vs the apps · 10 Sep 2026

As of 10 Sep 2026, traders on Kalshi and the sportsbooks disagree by 5 points or more on none of the 5 MLB games still to be played; the biggest difference is Philadelphia Phillies (crowd 63%, sportsbooks 61%).

  • Philadelphia Phillies to beat Houston Astros: the crowd on Kalshi has them 63% likely; the sportsbooks say 61% (best 1.58 at TAB). crowd 2 points higher. Preview →
  • New York Yankees to beat Colorado Rockies: the crowd on Kalshi has them 75% likely; the sportsbooks say 74% (best 1.32 at Dabble). in step. Preview →
  • Atlanta Braves to beat Tampa Bay Rays: the crowd on Kalshi has them 52% likely; the sportsbooks say 52% (best 1.87 at PointsBet). in step. Preview →
  • Seattle Mariners to beat Texas Rangers: the crowd on Kalshi has them 54% likely; the sportsbooks say 54% (best 1.80 at Neds). in step. Preview →
  • Chicago White Sox to beat Pittsburgh Pirates: the crowd on Polymarket has them 50% likely; the sportsbooks say 50% (best 1.95 at Dabble). in step. Preview →

The crowd number is what people are paying on a prediction exchange, turned into a chance to win. The sportsbook number is the best regulated price with the bookmaker's margin taken out. A big gap means the two markets see the game differently. Every exchange and sportsbook price, live →

Live MLB odds · model probability vs implied probability across bookmakers
Game Market Outcome Bookmaker Odds (Dec / US) Model Prob Implied Prob Prediction
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (1.0) 2.69 / +169 49.6% 37.2% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (1.5) 2.09 / +109 55.6% 47.8% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds 3.32 / +232 41.6% 30.1% Cincinnati Reds
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (-1.0) 4.13 / +313 27.5% 24.2% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds 3.20 / +220 44.9% 31.3% 0.4
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (1.5) 2.00 / +100 55.6% 50.0% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (2.0) 1.83 / -120 61.5% 54.6% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over (0.5) 1.88 / -114 47.1% 53.2% 1.1
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (-2.0) 5.96 / +496 18.9% 16.8% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (2.5) 1.66 / -152 67.1% 60.2% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds (-0.5) 3.70 / +270 28.3% 27.0% 0.4
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) 4.47 / +347 23.0% 22.4% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (3.0) 1.51 / -196 72.3% 66.2% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (3.5) 1.43 / -233 77.2% 69.9% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds (0.5) 2.40 / +140 41.5% 41.7% 0.4
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) 5.70 / +470 17.7% 17.5% 0.4
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds (1.5) 1.80 / -125 56.2% 55.6% 0.4
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (-2.5) 6.28 / +528 15.4% 15.9% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (4.5) 1.28 / -357 85.2% 78.1% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds (1.5) 1.77 / -130 56.2% 56.5% 0.4
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (4.0) 1.31 / -323 81.4% 76.3% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (-3.5) 9.00 / +800 9.7% 11.1% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds (-2.5) 9.00 / +800 10.3% 11.1% 0.4
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (5.5) 1.17 / -588 91.1% 85.5% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds (2.5) 1.41 / -244 70.2% 70.9% 0.4
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (5.0) 1.19 / -526 88.4% 84.0% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (6.5) 1.11 / -909 95.0% 90.1% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds (3.5) 1.24 / -417 81.8% 80.6% 0.4
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (7.5) 1.07 / -1429 97.3% 93.5% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (8.5) 1.05 / -2000 98.6% 95.2% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (-4.5) 11.60 / +1060 5.9% 8.6% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (6.0) 1.11 / -909 93.2% 90.1% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
@
Reds @ Dodgers
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under (0.5) 13.80 / +1280 8.4% 7.2% 4.4
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
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Reds @ Dodgers
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under (1.5) 6.50 / +550 13.3% 15.4% 4.4
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
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Reds @ Dodgers
Spread Cincinnati Reds (7.0) 1.06 / -1667 96.3% 94.3% 0.2
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
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Reds @ Dodgers
Total Runs Under (2.5) 16.00 / +1500 6.0% 6.3% 8.3
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
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Reds @ Dodgers
Total Runs Under (14.5) 1.08 / -1250 88.0% 92.6% 8.3
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
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Reds @ Dodgers
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under (9.5) 1.06 / -1667 87.0% 94.3% 4.4
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
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Reds @ Dodgers
Total Runs Under (15.5) 1.05 / -2000 92.2% 95.2% 8.3
Sep 10, 2:10 AM
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Reds @ Dodgers
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under (11.5) 1.02 / -5000 96.2% 98.0% 4.4
Sep 10, 4:15 PM
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Rays @ Braves
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over (0.5) 1.83 / -120 44.4% 54.6% 0.9
Sep 10, 4:15 PM
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Rays @ Braves
Total Runs Over (9.5) 2.50 / +150 35.3% 40.0% 9.1
Sep 10, 4:15 PM
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Rays @ Braves
Total Runs Over (7.5) 1.68 / -147 53.0% 59.5% 9.1
Sep 10, 4:15 PM
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Rays @ Braves
Moneyline Atlanta Braves 1.86 / -116 49.8% 53.8% Atlanta Braves
Sep 10, 4:15 PM
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Rays @ Braves
Total Runs Over (8.5) 1.97 / -103 43.9% 50.8% 9.1
Sep 10, 4:15 PM
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Rays @ Braves
Spread Atlanta Braves (-1.5) 2.90 / +190 28.8% 34.5% 0.4
Sep 10, 4:15 PM
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Rays @ Braves
Spread Atlanta Braves (-2.5) 3.90 / +290 20.0% 25.6% 0.4
Sep 10, 4:15 PM
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Rays @ Braves
Total Runs Over (8.5) 1.94 / -106 43.9% 51.5% 9.1
Sep 10, 4:15 PM
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Rays @ Braves
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Atlanta Braves (-1.5) 3.30 / +230 23.8% 30.3% 0.2
Sep 10, 4:15 PM
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Rays @ Braves
Spread Atlanta Braves (-3.5) 5.40 / +440 13.1% 18.5% 0.4
Model probability & prediction are Pro-only
Quick answer

What are MLB odds and how do you use them?

MLB odds are the prices sportsbooks offer on baseball markets including moneyline (winner), run line (±1.5 run spread), totals (over/under combined score), and team props. To spot value, convert the odds to implied probability (1 ÷ decimal odds) and compare to your own or a model's estimate. When the model probability is meaningfully higher than the implied probability, the price may offer positive expected value.

Quick formula: implied % = 1 ÷ decimal odds. Example: 2.20 = 45.5% implied.
What you can do in 30 seconds
  1. Scan the table for your market — moneyline, run line, totals, or props.
  2. Compare model vs implied probability for a pricing mismatch.
  3. Jump to picks or props using the links below for context and reasoning.
Focus
Odds comparison
Across bookmakers
Edge lens
Model vs implied
Value identification

The method behind the numbers

The board pairs each price with two numbers that matter: model probability (what our model estimates should happen) and implied probability (what the bookmaker's odds suggest). Reading them side by side is how you judge pricing in seconds and isolate genuine value from noise.

Read any price in four steps

  1. Pick a market — Moneyline, Run Line, Totals, or a team prop.
  2. Read the price in decimal and American format.
  3. Compare model vs implied — if model probability is higher, the price may be value.
  4. Use the prediction column — moneyline shows the projected winner, other markets show the predicted number.
Value is not a guarantee — it is a pricing mismatch signal. Manage bankroll and avoid overexposure on any single selection.

MLB betting markets explained

Use this table to match a market type to what it means and what to compare.

Market What it means What to compare
Moneyline Pick the outright winner of the game. Model win probability vs implied probability from the odds.
Run Line Handicap market, commonly -1.5 or +1.5 runs. Model margin prediction and how the handicap changes the true win chance.
Totals Over or under the combined runs line. Model total runs prediction vs the posted line and odds price.
Team Props Team-level markets — alt run lines, team totals, specials. Model output for the specific prop vs the bookmaker's implied probability.

Why model vs implied probability matters

Sportsbooks build margin into every price. Implied probability shows what the market is charging for an outcome. Model probability is an independent estimate. When the gap between them is meaningful, it may indicate positive expected value — but only bet when the margin is large enough to overcome the bookmaker's vig and normal variance.

Keep going

Official MLB information: MLB.com. Bet responsibly — outcomes are uncertain and this page is for informational purposes only.

MLB Odds FAQ

Quick answers
What are MLB odds?

MLB odds are the prices sportsbooks offer on baseball outcomes including moneyline (outright winner), run line (1.5-run spread), totals (over/under combined score), and team props. Odds reflect the implied probability of each outcome occurring — converting them to a percentage lets you compare against your own or a model's estimate to identify potential value.

How do I convert MLB odds to implied probability?

For decimal odds, implied probability equals 1 ÷ decimal odds. A price of 1.80 implies approximately 55.6%. A price of 2.20 implies approximately 45.5%. For American odds, convert to decimal first: positive odds use (100 ÷ odds) + 1, negative odds use (|odds| + 100) ÷ |odds|, then apply the same formula.

What is the difference between moneyline and run line?

Moneyline is simply which team wins the game outright — no margin required. The run line adds a fixed 1.5-run spread: the favourite at -1.5 must win by 2 or more runs, and the underdog at +1.5 covers by losing by 1 run or winning outright. Because baseball is low-scoring, this 1.5-run margin significantly changes the implied probability and odds compared to the moneyline on the same game.

What are MLB totals in betting?

MLB totals (over/under) are bets on the combined runs scored by both teams. The sportsbook sets a total runs line and you choose whether the final combined score will go over or under that number. Key inputs affecting totals are starting pitcher quality, park factors (altitude, dimensions), wind direction and speed, and lineup run-scoring rates against the opposing pitcher type. All runs including extra innings count unless you are specifically betting a First 5 Innings total.

How does Bet Better find value in MLB odds?

Bet Better runs Monte Carlo simulations and statistical models to estimate true outcome probabilities for each MLB market. These model probabilities are displayed alongside the bookmaker's implied probability so you can see the gap directly. When model probability is meaningfully higher than implied probability after accounting for the bookmaker's margin (vig), the price may offer positive expected value. Small gaps can be noise — a meaningful margin is typically required before acting on any edge.

How often are MLB odds updated on this page?

This page is designed to reflect the latest available odds from bookmakers as they move. Odds change frequently as starting pitchers are confirmed, lineups are announced, injury news breaks, and betting volume shifts the market. Always verify the current price at your sportsbook before placing a bet, as prices displayed here may have moved since the last update.

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