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Model picks & player props
New England Patriots
VS
Seattle Seahawks

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 3:07AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
Seattle
Thu 10 Sep 2026, 12:20AM
20
Game markets graded
38
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 26.5 Alternate Totals H1 +196

The model graded 58 markets for New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $296 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 10 Sep 2026, 12:20AM at Seattle.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win51.9%
The price says31.8%
Best price+196
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Totals H1 Over 26.5 Lean52% chance +196
Spreads Q1 High61% chance —
Alternate Totals H1 Lean52% chance —
Spreads Q3 High61% chance —
Alternate Totals H1 Lean52% chance —
Spreads Q1 High61% chance —
Alternate Totals Q1 Lean49% chance —
Spreads H1 High65% chance —
Alternate Spreads H1 High65% chance —
Receiving Yards × 4 props Highup to 71% —
Receptions (Alt) × 3 props Leanup to 60% —
Receptions × 4 props Highup to 73% —
Last Touchdown Scorer × 11 props Long-shotup to 25% —
Rushing Yards × 2 props Highup to 65% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks last met on Thu 10 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Totals H1
Over
25.5
+169
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 38 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,727+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle SeahawksSpreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle SeahawksSpreads Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle SeahawksSpreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle SeahawksSpreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle SeahawksAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle SeahawksAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle SeahawksMoneyline 3 Way H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle SeahawksMoneyline 3 Way H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New England PatriotsMoneyline 3 Way Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New England PatriotsSpreads Q4The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle SeahawksMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward New England Patriots on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward New England Patriots
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Over
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New England Patriots

  • A.J. Brown WROut
  • Behren Morton QBOut
  • Efton Chism III WROut
  • Karon Prunty CBOut
  • Walter Rouse OLOut
  • TreVeyon Henderson RBOut
  • Erick Hunter LBOut
  • Ben Brown COut
  • Brenden Schooler SOut
  • Bryce Baringer POut
  • Khalil Jacobs LBOut
  • Marcus Bryant OTOut
  • Harold Landry III LBOut

Seattle Seahawks

  • Sam Darnold QBOut
  • Nick Emmanwori SOut
  • Jalen Milroe QBOut
  • Tory Horton WROut
  • Beau Stephens GOut
  • Mike Morris DEOut
  • Ty Okada SOut
  • Nick Kallerup TEOut
  • Zach Charbonnet RBOut
  • Irv Charles WROut
  • Terrion Arnold CBOut
Availability updated Sep 10, 2:41AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 24 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability24 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Elijah Arroyo SEA Receiving Yards
Cooper Kupp SEA Receptions (Alt)
Rashid Shaheed SEA Receiving Yards
AJ Barner SEA Receptions (Alt)
Elijah Arroyo SEA Receptions

+ 38 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSeattle Seahawks to winNo line posted

Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadSeattle Seahawks spreadNo line posted

Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsPatriots @ SeahawksNo line posted

Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks — what the model found

Our model graded 58 betting markets for New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks — 20 on the game itself and 38 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
38
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 58 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 57 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks — recent results

Seattle Seahawks have won 2 of their last 5 games; New England Patriots have won 2 of their last 5.

Seattle Seahawks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
D9–9KCAway
L16–19TENAway
L7–17DALHome
W29–13NEAway
W31–27LARHome
New England Patriots — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L13–37CLEAway
W24–21PHIHome
D13–13INDHome
L13–29SEAHome
W10–7DENAway

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Seattle Seahawks won 1, New England Patriots won 0.

DateSeattle SeahawksNew England PatriotsWinner
Feb 82913Seattle Seahawks

Who’s out or in doubt

24 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Seattle Seahawks
PlayerStatus
Sam Darnold QBOUT
Nick Emmanwori SOUT
Jalen Milroe QBOUT
Tory Horton WROUT
Beau Stephens GOUT
Mike Morris DEOUT
Ty Okada SOUT
Nick Kallerup TEOUT
New England Patriots
PlayerStatus
A.J. Brown WROUT
Behren Morton QBOUT
Efton Chism III WROUT
Karon Prunty CBOUT
Walter Rouse OLOUT
TreVeyon Henderson RBOUT
Erick Hunter LBOUT
Ben Brown COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks — where the money went

Since betting opened on New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks, the market has moved toward New England Patriots across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — New England Patriots▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Seattle Seahawks▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 43.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 43.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Seattle Seahawks -3.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — New England Patriots 3.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — New England Patriots 3▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Seattle Seahawks -4▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Patriots vs Seahawks, or as Seahawks vs Patriots. The most recent game between them was Thursday 10 September 2026 at Seattle. The model has generated 20 game picks and 38 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 4 meetings on record
Seattle Seahawks 4–0 across the last 4 meetings · these games average 51.3 points (meetings on record since 2016)
DateGameScoreWinner
8 Feb 2026Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots13–29Seattle Seahawks
15 Sep 2024Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots20–23Seattle Seahawks
20 Sep 2020New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks35–30Seattle Seahawks
13 Nov 2016Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots24–31Seattle Seahawks

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Today's selected board

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