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Model picks & player props
Green Bay Packers
VS
Minnesota Vikings

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 3:57AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
Minnesota
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 8:25PM
20
Game markets graded
32
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 13.5 Alternate Totals Q1 +254

The model graded 52 markets for Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $354 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 13 Sep 2026, 8:25PM at Minnesota.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win42.9%
The price says26.4%
Best price+254
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Totals Q1 Over 13.5 Lean43% chance +254
Moneyline 3 Way Q3 Lean55% chance —
Alternate Totals H2 Lean40% chance —
Totals H1 Lean60% chance —
Alternate Totals Q1 Lean43% chance —
Alternate Totals H2 Lean40% chance —
Moneyline 3 Way Q2 Lean55% chance —
Alternate Spreads H2 High62% chance —
Totals H1 Lean60% chance —
Rushing Yards × 2 props Highup to 73% —
Rushing Yards (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 93% —
Last Touchdown Scorer × 9 props Long-shotup to 30% —
Receiving Yards × 2 props Highup to 70% —
Receptions (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 61% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
Minnesota Vikings are the model's favourite to beat Green Bay Packers, with a 61% chance to win. Predicted score: Minnesota Vikings 25.7 – Green Bay Packers 21.6. Kick-off Sun 13 Sep, 8:25PM at Minnesota. Best bet: Over 13.5 at +254.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 22 bookmakers compared
Winner
Packers2.13+113Kalshi
Vikings1.85-117Kalshi
Total points
Over46.52.04+104Kalshi
Under46.51.92-108Kalshi

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings odds by bookmaker

22 books · best price in green
BookPackers winVikings winVikings -1.5Over 46.5Under 46.5
Bally Bet2.02+1021.82-1221.92-109——
BetAnySports2.05+1051.80-1251.91-1101.91-1101.91-110
BetMGM2.00+1001.83-1201.93-108——
BetOnline2.03+1031.81-123———
betPARX2.02+1021.82-1221.92-109——
BetRivers2.02+1021.82-1221.92-109——
BetUS2.05+1051.80-125———
Bovada2.05+1051.80-1251.91-110——
DraftKings2.00+1001.83-1201.93-1081.93-1081.89-112
ESPN BET2.05+1051.80-1251.91-110——
Fanatics2.05+1051.80-1251.91-1101.91-1101.91-110
FanDuel2.04+1041.82-1221.91-1101.91-1101.91-110
Hard Rock Bet2.00+1001.83-120—1.91-1101.91-110
Hard Rock Bet (FL)2.00+1001.83-120—1.91-1101.91-110

Since the market opened: Vikings to win opened 1.83, best now 1.87; the over 46.5 opened 1.93, best now 2.06 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
Our call on this game: 1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Totals Q1
Over
13.5
+254
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsMoneyline 3 Way Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsMoneyline 3 Way Q2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Green Bay PackersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsSpreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota VikingsAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Green Bay Packers on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Green Bay Packers
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Over
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Green Bay Packers

  • Devonte Wyatt DTQuestionable
  • Barryn Sorrell DEQuestionable
  • Javon Hargrave DTQuestionable
  • Ty'Ron Hopper LBQuestionable
  • Jordan Morgan GQuestionable
  • Aaron Banks GQuestionable
  • Zach Bako-Bewele OTQuestionable
  • Savion Williams WROut
  • Jordon Riley DTOut
  • Josh Jacobs RBOut
  • Collin Oliver DEOut
  • Luke Musgrave TEOut
  • Micah Parsons DEOut
  • Trey Dean III SOut

Minnesota Vikings

  • Ben Yurosek TEOut
  • Jakobe Thomas SQuestionable
  • Jermar Jefferson RBOut
  • Michael Jurgens COut
  • Tyler Batty LBOut
  • Jacob Thomas SQuestionable
  • Caleb Tiernan OTQuestionable
  • Jamal Adams LBOut
Availability updated Sep 10, 1:02AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings: The game is played indoor dome, so wind and rain won't touch the passing or kicking game, and 22 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueindoor dome
Surfaceartificial turf
Wind / weatherIndoors — wind and precipitation are not a factor
Availability22 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: indoor and domed games remove wind and rain from the equation, which tends to support passing totals and kicking accuracy versus an exposed outdoor game.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jordan Mason MIN Rushing Yards
Aaron Jones MIN Rushing Yards (Alt)
Justin Jefferson MIN Last Touchdown Scorer
Aaron Jones MIN Receiving Yards
Justin Jefferson MIN Receptions (Alt)

+ 32 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineMinnesota Vikings to win-116
61%model win %

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadMinnesota Vikings spread-1.5 -102
66%cover %

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsPackers @ VikingsUnder 45.5 -105
65%under %

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings — what the model found

Our model graded 52 betting markets for Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings — 20 on the game itself and 32 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
32
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 52 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 51 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings — recent results

Minnesota Vikings have won 2 of their last 4 games; Green Bay Packers have won 2 of their last 5.

Minnesota Vikings — last 4
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L6–34DENAway
L3–13BALHome
W13–10NYGAway
W16–3GBHome
Green Bay Packers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W42–38ARIHome
W33–13DENAway
L9–28PITAway
L27–31CHIAway
L3–16MINAway

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Minnesota Vikings won 1, Green Bay Packers won 0.

DateMinnesota VikingsGreen Bay PackersWinner
Jan 4163Minnesota Vikings

Who’s out or in doubt

22 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Minnesota Vikings
PlayerStatus
Ben Yurosek TEOUT
Jakobe Thomas SQUESTIONABLE
Jermar Jefferson RBOUT
Michael Jurgens COUT
Tyler Batty LBOUT
Jacob Thomas SQUESTIONABLE
Caleb Tiernan OTQUESTIONABLE
Jamal Adams LBOUT
Green Bay Packers
PlayerStatus
Devonte Wyatt DTQUESTIONABLE
Barryn Sorrell DEQUESTIONABLE
Javon Hargrave DTQUESTIONABLE
Ty'Ron Hopper LBQUESTIONABLE
Jordan Morgan GQUESTIONABLE
Aaron Banks GQUESTIONABLE
Zach Bako-Bewele OTQUESTIONABLE
Savion Williams WROUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings — where the money went

Since betting opened on Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings, the market has moved away from Green Bay Packers across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Green Bay Packers▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Green Bay Packers -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Minnesota Vikings▲ Money came for this
Spread — Green Bay Packers 1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Minnesota Vikings -1.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Minnesota Vikings 1.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Green Bay Packers 0▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 45.5▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Packers vs Vikings, or as Vikings vs Packers. The next scheduled game is Sunday 13 September 2026 at Minnesota. The model has generated 20 game picks and 32 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 22 meetings on record
Minnesota Vikings 12–9 across the last 22 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 43.3 points (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
4 Jan 2026Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings16–3Minnesota Vikings
23 Nov 2025Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers23–6Green Bay Packers
29 Dec 2024Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings27–25Minnesota Vikings
29 Sep 2024Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers29–31Minnesota Vikings
31 Dec 2023Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings10–33Green Bay Packers
29 Oct 2023Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers10–24Minnesota Vikings
1 Jan 2023Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers41–17Green Bay Packers
11 Sep 2022Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings23–7Minnesota Vikings
2 Jan 2022Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers37–10Green Bay Packers
21 Nov 2021Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings34–31Minnesota Vikings

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 22 meetings on file.

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