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Model picks & player props
New Orleans Saints
VS
Detroit Lions

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 3:58AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
Detroit
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 5:00PM
20
Game markets graded
40
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Detroit Lions -1.5 Spreads Q1 -104

The model graded 60 markets for New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $196 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 13 Sep 2026, 5:00PM at Detroit.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win69.4%
The price says51.0%
Best price-104
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spreads Q1 Detroit Lions -1.5 High69% chance -104
Alternate Spreads H2 High75% chance —
Spreads Q2 High69% chance —
Spreads Q1 High69% chance —
Alternate Totals H2 Lean43% chance —
Alternate Totals Q1 Lean55% chance —
Alternate Spreads H1 High76% chance —
Alternate Totals H2 Lean43% chance —
Alternate Totals H2 Lean57% chance —
Receptions × 4 props Highup to 82% —
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 99% —
Receptions (Alt) × 4 props Highup to 98% —
Receiving Yards × 3 props Highup to 72% —
Interceptions Thrown × 1 prop Highup to 61% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
Detroit Lions are the model's favourite to beat New Orleans Saints, with a 72% chance to win. Predicted score: Detroit Lions 28.9 – New Orleans Saints 19.7. Kick-off Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM at Detroit. Best bet: Detroit Lions -1.5 at -104.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 22 bookmakers compared
Winner
Saints3.85+285Kalshi
Detroit Lions1.33-300Kalshi
Total points
Over501.93-108LowVig
Under501.93-108betPARX

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions odds by bookmaker

22 books · best price in green
BookSaints winDetroit Lions winDetroit Lions -7Over 50Under 50
Bally Bet——1.93-1081.88-1141.93-108
BetAnySports——1.95-1051.91-1101.91-110
BetMGM——1.93-108——
BetOnline——1.96-1041.91-1101.91-110
betPARX——1.93-1081.88-1141.93-108
BetRivers——1.93-1081.88-1141.93-108
BetUS——1.95-1051.91-1101.91-110
Bovada——1.91-110——
DraftKings——1.93-108——
ESPN BET——1.91-110——
Fanatics——1.91-1101.91-1101.91-110
FanDuel—————
Fliff—————
Hard Rock Bet——1.91-1101.91-1101.91-110

Since the market opened: Detroit Lions to win opened 1.30, best now 1.34; the over 50 opened 1.91, best now 1.93 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
Our call on this game: 1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spreads Q1
Detroit Lions
-1.5
-104
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Detroit LionsSpreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit LionsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit LionsSpreads Q2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit LionsSpreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit LionsAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit LionsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit LionsMoneyline 3 Way Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit LionsAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Orleans SaintsMoneyline 3 Way Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit LionsMoneyline 3 Way H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit LionsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Orleans SaintsMoneyline 3 Way H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Under on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Under
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on New Orleans Saints
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New Orleans Saints

  • Cameron Jordan DEOut
  • Oscar Delp TEQuestionable
  • Audric Estime RBQuestionable
  • Alvin Kamara RBQuestionable
  • Lorenzo Styles Jr. SOut
  • Dillon Radunz GOut
  • Jaylan Ford LBOut
  • David Long Jr. CBOut
  • Mason Tipton WROut
  • Jordyn Tyson WROut

Detroit Lions

  • Christian Izien SQuestionable
  • Cade Mays COut
  • Payton Turner DEOut
  • Derrick Moore DEQuestionable
  • Isiah Pacheco RBOut
  • Giovanni Manu OTOut
  • Kerby Joseph SOut
  • Brian Branch SOut
  • Damone Clark LBOut
Availability updated Sep 10, 1:43AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Isaac TeSlaa DET Receptions
Sam LaPorta DET Receiving Yards (Alt)
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET Receiving Yards (Alt)
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET Receptions (Alt)
Isaac TeSlaa DET Receptions (Alt)

+ 40 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineNew Orleans Saints to win+290

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadDetroit Lions spread-7 -108
57%cover %

Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsSaints @ LionsOver 49.5 -105
59%over %

Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions — what the model found

Our model graded 60 betting markets for New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions — 20 on the game itself and 40 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
40
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 60 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 59 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions — recent results

Detroit Lions have won 3 of their last 4 games; New Orleans Saints have won 1 of their last 4.

Detroit Lions — last 4
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W25–16INDAway
W17–13WSHHome
L14–16CINAway
W19–16CHIAway
New Orleans Saints — last 4
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W27–24DALAway
L0–34LARAway
L20–24JAXHome
L17–19ATLAway

Who’s out or in doubt

19 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Detroit Lions
PlayerStatus
Christian Izien SQUESTIONABLE
Cade Mays COUT
Payton Turner DEOUT
Derrick Moore DEQUESTIONABLE
Isiah Pacheco RBOUT
Giovanni Manu OTOUT
Kerby Joseph SOUT
Brian Branch SOUT
New Orleans Saints
PlayerStatus
Cameron Jordan DEOUT
Oscar Delp TEQUESTIONABLE
Audric Estime RBQUESTIONABLE
Alvin Kamara RBQUESTIONABLE
Lorenzo Styles Jr. SOUT
Dillon Radunz GOUT
Jaylan Ford LBOUT
David Long Jr. CBOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions — where the money went

Since betting opened on New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions, the market has moved away from Under across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Total Points — Under 48.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 48.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 50.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 50.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 49.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 47.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Detroit Lions -7.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 49.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Saints vs Lions, or as Lions vs Saints. The next scheduled game is Sunday 13 September 2026 at Detroit. The model has generated 20 game picks and 40 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 5 meetings on record
Detroit Lions 3–2 across the last 5 meetings · these games average 63.6 points (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
3 Dec 2023Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints28–33Detroit Lions
4 Oct 2020New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions29–35New Orleans Saints
15 Oct 2017Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints52–38New Orleans Saints
4 Dec 2016Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints13–28Detroit Lions
21 Dec 2015Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints27–35Detroit Lions

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