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Model picks & player props
Miami Dolphins
VS
Las Vegas Raiders

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 3:57AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
Las Vegas
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 8:25PM
20
Game markets graded
24
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Miami Dolphins -5.5 Alternate Spreads Q1 +379

The model graded 44 markets for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $479 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 13 Sep 2026, 8:25PM at Las Vegas.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win40.1%
The price says42.8%
Best price+379
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Spreads Q1 Miami Dolphins -5.5 Lean40% chance +379
Alternate Spreads Q1 Lean40% chance —
Alternate Totals H2 High62% chance —
Alternate Spreads H1 High63% chance —
Moneyline 3 Way Q4 Lean59% chance —
Alternate Totals H2 High62% chance —
Alternate Spreads H2 High64% chance —
Spreads H1 High64% chance —
Alternate Spreads H1 High64% chance —
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 96% —
Last Touchdown Scorer × 5 props Long-shotup to 30% —
Receptions × 4 props Highup to 71% —
Receptions (Alt) × 2 props Leanup to 59% —
Receiving Yards × 1 prop Highup to 65% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
Las Vegas Raiders are the model's favourite to beat Miami Dolphins, with a 62% chance to win. Predicted score: Las Vegas Raiders 24 – Miami Dolphins 21. Kick-off Sun 13 Sep, 8:25PM at Las Vegas. Best bet: Miami Dolphins -5.5 at +379.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 2 bookmakers compared
Winner
Miami Dolphins2.50+150Kalshi
Raiders1.67-150Kalshi

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders odds by bookmaker

2 books · best price in green
BookMiami Dolphins winRaiders win
Kalshi2.50+1501.67-150
Polymarket2.53+1531.65-153

Since the market opened: Raiders to win opened 1.52, best now 1.67 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
Our call on this game: 1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Spreads Q1
Miami Dolphins
-4.5
+374
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 24 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,727+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Miami DolphinsAlternate Spreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsAlternate Spreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsMoneyline 3 Way Q4The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersSpreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersSpreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersMoneyline 3 Way Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsMoneyline 3 Way Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsMoneyline H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Las Vegas Raiders on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Las Vegas Raiders
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Las Vegas Raiders
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Miami Dolphins

  • Will Kacmarek TEQuestionable
  • Ronnie Harrison Jr. LBQuestionable
  • Trey Moore LBOut
  • Kenneth Grant DTOut
  • Ben Sims TEOut
  • Storm Duck CBOut
  • Darrell Baker Jr. CBOut
  • Cole Turner TEOut

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Brock Bowers TEDoubtful
  • Dont'e Thornton Jr. WROut
  • Carter Runyon TEOut
  • Keyron Crawford DEOut
  • Chigozie Anusiem CBOut
  • Justin Pickett GOut
  • Brennan Jackson LBOut
  • Chris Collier RBOut
Availability updated Sep 10, 1:29AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Michael Mayer LV Receiving Yards (Alt)
Brock Bowers LV Last Touchdown Scorer
Brock Bowers LV Receiving Yards (Alt)
Brock Bowers LV Receptions
Michael Mayer LV Receptions

+ 24 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineMiami Dolphins to win+170

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadLas Vegas Raiders spread-3.5 -102
69%cover %

Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsDolphins @ RaidersOver 41.5 -102
67%over %

Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders — what the model found

Our model graded 44 betting markets for Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders — 20 on the game itself and 24 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
24
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 44 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 43 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders — recent results

Las Vegas Raiders have won 2 of their last 4 games; Miami Dolphins have won 0 of their last 4.

Las Vegas Raiders — last 4
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L12–18SFHome
W22–20HOUAway
L14–27ARIHome
W14–12KCHome
Miami Dolphins — last 4
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L12–17ATLHome
L3–26NYGHome
L7–20WSHAway
L10–38NEAway

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Las Vegas Raiders
PlayerStatus
Brock Bowers TEDOUBTFUL
Dont'e Thornton Jr. WROUT
Carter Runyon TEOUT
Keyron Crawford DEOUT
Chigozie Anusiem CBOUT
Justin Pickett GOUT
Brennan Jackson LBOUT
Chris Collier RBOUT
Miami Dolphins
PlayerStatus
Will Kacmarek TEQUESTIONABLE
Ronnie Harrison Jr. LBQUESTIONABLE
Trey Moore LBOUT
Kenneth Grant DTOUT
Ben Sims TEOUT
Storm Duck CBOUT
Darrell Baker Jr. CBOUT
Cole Turner TEOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders — where the money went

Since betting opened on Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders, the market has moved away from Las Vegas Raiders across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Las Vegas Raiders -3.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Las Vegas Raiders -4.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Miami Dolphins 3.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Miami Dolphins 4.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Miami Dolphins▲ Money came for this
Spread — Miami Dolphins 3▲ Money came for this
Spread — Las Vegas Raiders -3▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Las Vegas Raiders▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Dolphins vs Raiders, or as Raiders vs Dolphins. The next scheduled game is Sunday 13 September 2026 at Las Vegas. The model has generated 20 game picks and 24 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 6 meetings on record
Miami Dolphins 4–2 across the last 6 meetings · these games average 49.2 points (meetings on record since 2017)
DateGameScoreWinner
17 Nov 2024Las Vegas Raiders @ Miami Dolphins34–19Miami Dolphins
19 Nov 2023Las Vegas Raiders @ Miami Dolphins20–13Miami Dolphins
26 Sep 2021Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders31–28Las Vegas Raiders
26 Dec 2020Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders25–26Miami Dolphins
23 Sep 2018Las Vegas Raiders @ Miami Dolphins28–20Miami Dolphins
5 Nov 2017Las Vegas Raiders @ Miami Dolphins24–27Las Vegas Raiders

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