What is a prop hit rate?

It's how often a player has actually cleared tonight's line in their recent games. Hit in 9 of 10 means the player went over that number in nine of their last ten games. It's real form from real box scores — not a prediction.

Does a high hit rate mean the bet will win?

No. It means the player has been clearing that number a lot lately. Books set prices knowing this, so a high hit rate usually comes with a shorter price. Use it as a starting point, then check the matchup and the price.

How fresh is this screen?

It rebuilds throughout the day from tonight's posted lines and each player's latest game logs, covering games in the next 36 hours.

Free Tool · Rebuilds all day

Players who keep hitting their lines

Tonight's player props, screened against real game logs. We only show players who have cleared tonight's number in at least 7 of their last 10 games — with the streak and the price.

MLB

All MLB props →

Liam Hicks

TBR · TBR @ ATL

Hits (Alt) Over 0.5

hit in 8 of 10

1.59

Liam Hicks

TBR · TBR @ ATL

Hits Over 0.5

hit in 8 of 10

1.57

Liam Hicks

TBR · TBR @ ATL

H+R+RBI (Alt) Over 0.5

hit in 8 of 10

1.42

Mickey Moniak

COL · COL @ NYY

Hits Over 0.5

hit in 8 of 10

1.56

Mickey Moniak

COL · COL @ NYY

Hits (Alt) Over 0.5

hit in 8 of 10

1.55

Mickey Moniak

COL · COL @ NYY

H+R+RBI (Alt) Over 0.5

hit in 8 of 10

1.46

Bryson Stott

PHI · HOU @ PHI

Strikeouts (Alt) Over 0.5

hit in 7 of 105 in a row

1.69

Ryan McMahon

COL · COL @ NYY

Hits Over 0.5

hit in 7 of 103 in a row

1.66

Ryan McMahon

COL · COL @ NYY

Hits (Alt) Over 0.5

hit in 7 of 103 in a row

1.66

Ryan McMahon

COL · COL @ NYY

H+R+RBI (Alt) Over 0.5

hit in 7 of 103 in a row

1.44

AFL

All AFL props →

Max Holmes

Geelong Cats · Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers

Disposals Over 20.5

hit in 10 of 10

1.47

Connor O'Sullivan

Geelong Cats · Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers

Disposals Over 10.5

hit in 10 of 10

1.50

Sam De Koning

Geelong Cats · Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers

Disposals Over 10.5

hit in 10 of 10

1.63

Matthew Johnson

Fremantle · Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers

Disposals Over 15.5

hit in 9 of 10

1.57

Josh Treacy

Fremantle · Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers

Disposals Over 9.5

hit in 9 of 10

1.58

Corey Wagner

Fremantle · Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers

Disposals Over 14.5

hit in 9 of 10

1.54

Judd McVee

Fremantle · Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers

Disposals Over 12.5

hit in 9 of 10

1.56

Isaiah Dudley

Fremantle · Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers

Goals Over 0.5

hit in 9 of 10

1.54

Shannon Neale

Geelong Cats · Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers

Goals Over 1.5

hit in 8 of 10

1.88

Tom Atkins

Geelong Cats · Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers

Disposals Over 15.5

hit in 8 of 10

1.52

Form is what happened, not a promise — lines and prices move, always check your book.

Form finds candidates. The model picks bets.

A hot streak isn't a pick — the price matters. Our model weighs the form, the matchup and the price on every game and shows its one best call.

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Players who keep hitting their lines

MLB

AFL

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MLB

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Form finds candidates. The model picks bets.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

One clear bet
at a time.