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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Chargers
VS
New England Patriots

Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 3:58AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
New England
Mon 12 Jan 2026, 1:00AM
4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 45.5 Total Points -110

The model graded 4 markets for Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 12 Jan 2026, 1:00AM at New England.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win55.0%
The price says52.4%
Best price-110
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Over 45.5 Lean55% chance -110
Moneyline High69% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Los Angeles Chargers and New England Patriots last met on Mon 12 Jan 2026. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Rhamondre Stevenson Over 29.5 · $100 returned $410

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
Our call on this game: 1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Over
45.5
-110
+ 3 more markets
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🔒
🔒

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New England PatriotsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Tuli Tuipulotu LBQuestionable
  • Brenen Thompson WRQuestionable
  • Deane Leonard CBQuestionable
  • RJ Mickens SQuestionable
  • Keaton Mitchell RBQuestionable
  • Isaiah World OTOut
  • Denzel Perryman LBOut
  • Scott Matlock FBOut
  • Branson Taylor GOut
  • Tyler Biadasz COut

New England Patriots

  • A.J. Brown WROut
  • Behren Morton QBOut
  • Efton Chism III WROut
  • Karon Prunty CBOut
  • Walter Rouse OLOut
  • TreVeyon Henderson RBOut
  • Erick Hunter LBOut
  • Ben Brown COut
  • Brenden Schooler SOut
  • Bryce Baringer POut
  • Khalil Jacobs LBOut
  • Marcus Bryant OTOut
  • Harold Landry III LBOut
Availability updated Sep 10, 2:41AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots: Outdoors with 4 mph wind, 40°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 23 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfaceartificial turf
Wind4 mph
Temperature40°F
Availability23 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

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See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew England Patriots to winNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadNew England Patriots spreadNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsChargers @ PatriotsNo line posted
5-5Free board · overs and unders
Last 105-5Home5-4
Free board · recent overs and unders5-5

New England Patriots game total — on our free board this call has landed 5 of 10 times, updated every game week on BetBetter.

Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots — recent results

New England Patriots have won 2 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Chargers have won 1 of their last 5.

New England Patriots — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L13–37CLEAway
W24–21PHIHome
D13–13INDHome
L13–29SEAHome
W10–7DENAway
Los Angeles Chargers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L18–20LARHome
L17–41SFHome
W27–7HOUAway
L3–16NEAway
L3–19DENAway

Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: New England Patriots won 1, Los Angeles Chargers won 0.

DateNew England PatriotsLos Angeles ChargersWinner
Jan 12163New England Patriots

Who’s out or in doubt

23 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New England Patriots
PlayerStatus
A.J. Brown WROUT
Behren Morton QBOUT
Efton Chism III WROUT
Karon Prunty CBOUT
Walter Rouse OLOUT
TreVeyon Henderson RBOUT
Erick Hunter LBOUT
Ben Brown COUT
Los Angeles Chargers
PlayerStatus
Tuli Tuipulotu LBQUESTIONABLE
Brenen Thompson WRQUESTIONABLE
Deane Leonard CBQUESTIONABLE
RJ Mickens SQUESTIONABLE
Keaton Mitchell RBQUESTIONABLE
Isaiah World OTOUT
Denzel Perryman LBOUT
Scott Matlock FBOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
12 Jan 26 Moneyline New England Patriots ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Chargers vs Patriots, or as Patriots vs Chargers. The most recent game between them was Monday 12 January 2026 at New England. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 8 meetings on record
New England Patriots 6–2 across the last 8 meetings · these games average 36.3 points (meetings on record since 2017)
DateGameScoreWinner
12 Jan 2026Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots16–3New England Patriots
11 Jan 2026Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots16–3New England Patriots
28 Dec 2024Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots7–40Los Angeles Chargers
3 Dec 2023Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots0–6Los Angeles Chargers
31 Oct 2021New England Patriots @ Los Angeles Chargers24–27New England Patriots
6 Dec 2020New England Patriots @ Los Angeles Chargers0–45New England Patriots
13 Jan 2019Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots41–28New England Patriots
29 Oct 2017Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots21–13New England Patriots

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