Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Elijah Arroyo is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 12 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 12%, implied 3%, edge +8.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+3500 (36.00) · $100→$3,600
+8.9% Edge
New England Patriots
@
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
Thu 10 Sep, 12:20AM
No injury designationSeason pending
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How often this wins
12 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 11.7% · the book's price implies 2.8% · gap +8.9%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 11.7% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 36.00 | +8.9% |
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Elijah Arroyo (SEA) Yes Player last td (+3500)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Seattle Seahawks play New England Patriots in the NFL on Thursday 10 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Elijah Arroyo (SEA) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +3500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $360 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
12%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1
Elijah Arroyo's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 12%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receiving Yards1 line trackedNo line posted 7.5typical line · receiving yds
tips tracked1
Elijah Arroyo's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 7.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions1 line trackedNo line posted 0.5typical line · receptions
tips tracked1
Elijah Arroyo's NFL receptions prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 0.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Elijah Arroyo (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Elijah Arroyo is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.9% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks on Thursday 10 September at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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