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Model picks & player props
Toronto Blue Jays
VS
New York Yankees

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 4:45AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 5:35PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 4.5 Total Runs +422

The model graded 70 markets for Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $522 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 23 Aug 2026, 5:35PM at Yankee Stadium.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win22.5%
The price says18.1%
Best price+422
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Under 4.5 Long-shot22% chance +422
Spread Long-shot7% chance
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Lean55% chance
Total Runs Lean44% chance
Spread Long-shot6% chance
Total Runs Lean44% chance
Spread Long-shot4% chance
Total Runs Long-shot33% chance
Spread Long-shot29% chance
Batter - Walks × 10 props Highup to 98%
Batter - Runs Scored × 8 props Highup to 73%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 8 props Highup to 61%
Batter - Singles × 8 props Highup to 66%
Batter - Total Bases × 2 props Highup to 67%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees last met on Sun 23 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
New York Yankees -3.5 · $100 returned $456

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Corbin Burnes Under 2.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $240
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Under
4.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Blue Jays

  • George Springer DHDay-to-day
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Trey Yesavage SPOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Patrick Corbin SPOut
  • Shane Bieber SPOut
  • Jameson Taillon SPOut
  • Jonatan Clase LFOut
  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Jake Bloss SPOut
  • Luis Urias 2BOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

Probable pitcher

Braydon Fisher SP

New York Yankees

  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2BOut
  • Ryan Weathers SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Trent Grisham CFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut

Probable pitcher

Will Warren SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 11:05PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Austin Wells Batter - Walks
Trent Grisham SDP Batter - Runs Scored
Kazuma Okamoto Batter - Runs Scored
Ben Rice Batter - Runs Scored
Charles McAdoo Batter - Walks

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA0.8Home L51-4vs Toronto Blue Jays L54-1Free board21-20

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA0.8Home L51-4vs Toronto Blue Jays L54-1

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue JaysNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
1.4runs we expect
L5 RF1.6L5 RA0.8Home L51-4vs Toronto Blue Jays L54-1

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 games; Toronto Blue Jays have won 2 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–1COLHome
W5–3COLHome
L3–4SDAway
L2–3SDAway
W5–1SDAway
Toronto Blue Jays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–2ATHAway
L0–2ATHAway
L5–6ATHAway
L1–6KCAway
W9–2KCAway

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 1.0 runs per game (2-3) while Toronto Blue Jays are at 2.8 (3-2); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 0.6 earned runs per game versus 1.4 for Toronto Blue Jays.

1.0
New York Yankees runs/G
2.8
Toronto Blue Jays runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesToronto Blue Jays
Runs / game1.02.8
Hits / game1.44.6
Home runs / game0.40.6
Walks drawn / game0.81.4
Batter K / game2.23.2
Earned runs allowed / game0.61.4
Pitching K / game1.42.4
Walks allowed / game0.81.2
L5 record2-33-2

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: New York Yankees won 5, Toronto Blue Jays won 5.

DateNew York YankeesToronto Blue JaysWinner
Aug 2383New York Yankees
Aug 2234Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 2131New York Yankees
Aug 1643New York Yankees
Aug 1514Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 1413Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 1483New York Yankees
Jun 1331New York Yankees
Jun 1258Toronto Blue Jays
May 2102Toronto Blue Jays

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2BOUT
Ryan Weathers SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Trent Grisham CFOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Toronto Blue Jays
PlayerStatus
George Springer DHDAY-TO-DAY
Anthony Santander RFOUT
Trey Yesavage SPOUT
Cody Ponce SPOUT
Patrick Corbin SPOUT
Shane Bieber SPOUT
Jameson Taillon SPOUT
Jonatan Clase LFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees — model preview

Our Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees prediction for August 24, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 24, 2026 our model has run Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Brett Bateman Under 0.5 RBIs (-500), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
23 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Spread New York Yankees -1.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Spread New York Yankees -3 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Spread New York Yankees -2 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Spread New York Yankees +1 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Spread New York Yankees -3.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Spread New York Yankees -1 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Spread New York Yankees -2.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings New York Yankees 0.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Moneyline New York Yankees ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Jays vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Jays. The most recent game between them was Sunday 23 August 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 71 meetings on record
New York Yankees 36–35 across the last 71 meetings · these games average 9.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees8–3New York Yankees
22 Aug 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees3–4Toronto Blue Jays
21 Aug 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees3–1New York Yankees
16 Aug 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays3–4New York Yankees
15 Aug 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays4–1Toronto Blue Jays
14 Aug 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays3–1Toronto Blue Jays
14 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays3–8New York Yankees
13 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays1–3New York Yankees
12 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays8–5Toronto Blue Jays
21 May 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees0–2Toronto Blue Jays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 71 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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