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Model picks & player props
Boston Red Sox
VS
New York Yankees

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 4:43AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Sun 30 Aug 2026, 5:35PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
87.5%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
New York Yankees Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings -102

The model graded 70 markets for Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $198 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 87.5% across 24 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 30 Aug 2026, 5:35PM at Yankee Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win48.1%
The price says48.7%
Best price-102
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings New York Yankees Lean48% chance -102
Spread High76% chance —
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings High89% chance —
Spread High61% chance —
Spread Long-shot25% chance —
Spread Long-shot19% chance —
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Lean53% chance —
Spread Long-shot17% chance —
Spread Long-shot22% chance —
Batter - Total Bases × 3 props Highup to 64% —
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 10 props Leanup to 58% —
Batter - RBIs × 7 props —
Batter - Singles × 8 props —
Batter - Walks × 7 props —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every MLB game on today's board →

Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees last met on Sun 30 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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New York Yankees · $100 returned $198

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Corbin Burnes Under 2.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
New York Yankees
-102
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New York YankeesMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Boston Red Sox

  • Willson Contreras 1BOut
  • Adley Rutschman CDay-to-day
  • Tanner Houck SPOut
  • Garrett Crochet SPOut
  • Justin Slaten RPOut
  • Kutter Crawford SPOut
  • Johan Oviedo SPOut
  • Ceddanne Rafaela CFOut
  • Tyron Guerrero RPOut
  • Eduardo Rivera SPOut
  • Curtis Mead 3BOut
  • Masataka Yoshida DHOut
  • Triston Casas 1BOut
  • Zack Kelly RPOut

Probable pitcher

Jake Bennett SP

New York Yankees

  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2BOut
  • Ryan Weathers SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Trent Grisham CFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut

Probable pitcher

Will Warren SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 11:05PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The preview

Written 31 Aug

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction and Picks, August 31, 2026

On August 31, 2026 our model has run Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) Under 0.5 Singles (-208), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

Paul Goldschmidt (STL) Under 0.5 Walks (-200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Paul Goldschmidt (STL) Under 0.5 Walks (-200). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 RBIs (-204)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 RBIs (-204). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -204 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) Under 0.5 Singles (-208)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) Under 0.5 Singles (-208). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -208 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.81 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox: New York Yankees +1.5 (-141)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox: New York Yankees +1.5 (-141). That is a spreads bet. It was priced at -141 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.09 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox: New York Yankees +1.5 (-147)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox: New York Yankees +1.5 (-147). That is a alternate spreads bet. It was priced at -147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox: New York Yankees h2h 1st 5 innings (+116)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox: New York Yankees h2h 1st 5 innings (+116). That is a h2h 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at +116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Same game parlay

Written 31 Aug

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction and Same Game Parlay picks, August 31, 2026

On August 31, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip HIGH confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Caleb Durbin (BOS) Under 0.5 Walks (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Caleb Durbin (BOS) Under 0.5 Walks (-345). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -345 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jarren Duran (BOS) Under 0.5 Walks (-357)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jarren Duran (BOS) Under 0.5 Walks (-357). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -357 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Walks (-303)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Walks (-303). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -303 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Adley Rutschman BAL Batter - Total Bases
Amed Rosario CIN Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Jarren Duran BOS Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Trent Grisham SDP Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Heliot Ramos Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA0.8Home L51-4vs Boston Red Sox L54-1Free board21-20

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA0.8Home L51-4vs Boston Red Sox L54-1

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Boston Red SoxNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
0.9runs we expect
L5 RF1.6L5 RA0.8Home L51-4vs Boston Red Sox L54-1

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 games; Boston Red Sox have won 3 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–1COLHome
W5–3COLHome
L3–4SDAway
L2–3SDAway
W5–1SDAway
Boston Red Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6LAAHome
L1–6LAAHome
W5–2LAAHome
W3–1BALAway
W5–0BALAway

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 0.4 runs per game (1-4) while Boston Red Sox are at 2.0 (3-2); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 1.0 earned runs per game versus 0.6 for Boston Red Sox.

0.4
New York Yankees runs/G
2.0
Boston Red Sox runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesBoston Red Sox
Runs / game0.42.0
Hits / game1.42.6
Home runs / game0.20.4
Walks drawn / game0.21.2
Batter K / game1.22.4
Earned runs allowed / game1.00.6
Pitching K / game1.22.4
Walks allowed / game0.21.0
L5 record1-43-2

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: New York Yankees won 4, Boston Red Sox won 6.

DateNew York YankeesBoston Red SoxWinner
Aug 30161New York Yankees
Aug 2992New York Yankees
Aug 2906Boston Red Sox
Aug 2810New York Yankees
Jun 2845Boston Red Sox
Jun 2714Boston Red Sox
Jun 2616Boston Red Sox
Jun 2536Boston Red Sox
Jun 761New York Yankees
Jun 535Boston Red Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2BOUT
Ryan Weathers SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Trent Grisham CFOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Boston Red Sox
PlayerStatus
Willson Contreras 1BOUT
Adley Rutschman CDAY-TO-DAY
Tanner Houck SPOUT
Garrett Crochet SPOUT
Justin Slaten RPOUT
Kutter Crawford SPOUT
Johan Oviedo SPOUT
Ceddanne Rafaela CFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees — model preview

Our Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees prediction for August 31, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 31, 2026 our model has run Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) Under 0.5 Singles (-208), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 5 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
24
Total Picks
87.5%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
30 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 7.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings New York Yankees 1.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings New York Yankees 0.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings New York Yankees -1.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 6.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Spread New York Yankees -1 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Spread New York Yankees +1.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Spread New York Yankees +2 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings New York Yankees ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Spread New York Yankees +1 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Spread New York Yankees -2 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✗ MISS
30 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings New York Yankees -0.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings New York Yankees 2.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Moneyline New York Yankees ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Sox vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Sox. The most recent game between them was Sunday 30 August 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 87.5% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 58 meetings on record
Boston Red Sox 31–25 across the last 58 meetings · 2 draws · these games average 8.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
30 Aug 2026Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees16–1New York Yankees
29 Aug 2026Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees9–2New York Yankees
28 Aug 2026Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees1–0New York Yankees
28 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox5–4Boston Red Sox
27 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox4–1Boston Red Sox
26 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox6–1Boston Red Sox
25 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox6–3Boston Red Sox
7 Jun 2026Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees6–1New York Yankees
5 Jun 2026Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees3–5Boston Red Sox
23 Apr 2026New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox2–4New York Yankees

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 58 meetings on file.

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