Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Amed Rosario is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 10 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 10%, implied 8%, edge -2.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 2.50 hits runs rbislanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:29AM UTC
MLB

Amed Rosario

TBR

-2.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Over 1.5 +1100 (12.00) · $100→$1,200
-2.1% Edge
New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 11:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
6 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 6.3% · the book's price implies 8.3% · gap -2.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored6.3%9.8%8.3%10.22-2.1%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/3
Last 10 games0/3

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees: Amed Rosario Over 1.5 Batter - Runs Scored (+1100)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Amed Rosario has been getting hits at about twice his usual rate lately, which is pretty exciting. The San Diego Padres have a solid home record this season, and Rosario seems to thrive against left-handed pitchers, which can give him a good chance to score runs. The Yankees are coming in strong, averaging 1.6 more runs than their opponents in their last 12 games. However, the Padres have only won 3 of their last 10, which shows they can be inconsistent. Still, if Rosario keeps up this hot streak, he could definitely get over 1.5 runs scored in this matchup.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Amed Rosario is averaging 0.4 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.4
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.2
Walks
0.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Amed Rosario has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 70% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.570%
o1.540%
o2.530%
o3.510%
o4.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Amed Rosario is averaging 0.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.4 in away games, including his recent form against NYY.

0.4
Hits · Overall
0.4
Hits · Away
1.2
Hits · vs NYY
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs NYY
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -204 ✗ MISS
03 Sep 26 New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -667 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Over +139 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Pending
03 Sep 26 New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Hits Pending
03 Sep 26 New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Singles Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Amed Rosario (TBR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Amed Rosario is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -2.1% on this pick. Their next game is New York Yankees vs San Diego Padres on Saturday 5 September at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.