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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
Arizona Diamondbacks

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 3:57AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Chase Field, Phoenix
Indoor
Wed 12 Aug 2026, 7:40PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Arizona Diamondbacks -5 Spread +420

The model graded 70 markets for Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $520 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 12 Aug 2026, 7:40PM at Chase Field.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win30.9%
The price says18.7%
Best price+420
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Arizona Diamondbacks -5 Long-shot31% chance +420
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Lean45% chance
Spread - 1st 5 Innings High67% chance
Spread Long-shot13% chance
Spread High85% chance
Spread - 1st 5 Innings High84% chance
Total Runs Lean46% chance
Total Runs Lean41% chance
Total Runs Lean52% chance
Batter - Total Bases × 8 props Highup to 89%
Batter - Hits × 8 props Highup to 96%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 3 props Highup to 83%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 10 props Highup to 99%
Batter - Singles × 7 props Highup to 86%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks last met on Wed 12 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Corbin Burnes Under 2.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $240
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Arizona Diamondbacks
-5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Willi Castro 2BOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Tomoyuki Sugano SP

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Corbin Carroll RFDay-to-day
  • Ryne Nelson SPOut
  • Ryan Thompson RPOut
  • A.J. Puk RPOut
  • Andrew Saalfrank RPOut
  • Cristian Mena RPOut

Probable pitcher

Zac Gallen SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 11:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Lars Nootbaar STL Batter - Total Bases
Nolan Arenado STL Batter - Hits
Geraldo Perdomo ARI Batter - Total Bases
Mickey Moniak LAA Batter - Hits
Mitch Bratt Pitcher - Hits Allowed

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineArizona DiamondbacksNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.0Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L51-4Free board13-12

Arizona Diamondbacks moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Run LineArizona Diamondbacks run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.0Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L51-4

Arizona Diamondbacks spread form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

Arizona Diamondbacks total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsArizona Diamondbacks team totalNo line posted
1.5runs we expect
L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.0Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L51-4

Arizona Diamondbacks team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks — recent results

Arizona Diamondbacks have won 4 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 2 of their last 5.

Arizona Diamondbacks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3KCAway
W5–4KCAway
W3–2HOUAway
L1–3HOUAway
W4–3HOUAway
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–5NYYAway
W10–7STLHome
L8–10STLHome
L6–7STLHome
W4–2BALHome

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 3.0 runs per game (4-1) while Colorado Rockies are at 0.6 (0-5); Arizona Diamondbacks pitchers are allowing 0.2 earned runs per game versus 2.0 for Colorado Rockies.

3.0
Arizona Diamondbacks runs/G
0.6
Colorado Rockies runs/G
Last 5 gamesArizona DiamondbacksColorado Rockies
Runs / game3.00.6
Hits / game3.42.8
Home runs / game0.80.0
Walks drawn / game0.80.4
Batter K / game2.61.4
Earned runs allowed / game0.22.0
Pitching K / game1.81.2
Walks allowed / game0.80.2
L5 record4-10-5

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Arizona Diamondbacks won 6, Colorado Rockies won 4.

DateArizona DiamondbacksColorado RockiesWinner
Aug 1223Colorado Rockies
Aug 1246Colorado Rockies
Aug 1190Arizona Diamondbacks
May 2454Arizona Diamondbacks
May 2491Arizona Diamondbacks
May 2323Colorado Rockies
May 2221Arizona Diamondbacks
May 1786Arizona Diamondbacks
May 1691Arizona Diamondbacks
May 1624Colorado Rockies

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Arizona Diamondbacks
PlayerStatus
Corbin Carroll RFDAY-TO-DAY
Ryne Nelson SPOUT
Ryan Thompson RPOUT
A.J. Puk RPOUT
Andrew Saalfrank RPOUT
Cristian Mena RPOUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Willi Castro 2BOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks — model preview

Our Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks prediction for August 13, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 13, 2026 our model has run Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies: Arizona Diamondbacks +2.5 (-526), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 10.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Arizona Diamondbacks -0.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Spread Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Arizona Diamondbacks 0.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 11 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 8.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 12 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 9.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Diamondbacks, or as Diamondbacks vs Rockies. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 12 August 2026 at Chase Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 62 meetings on record
Arizona Diamondbacks 41–21 across the last 62 meetings · these games average 10.2 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
12 Aug 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks2–3Colorado Rockies
11 Aug 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks9–0Arizona Diamondbacks
10 Aug 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks9–0Arizona Diamondbacks
24 May 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks5–4Arizona Diamondbacks
23 May 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks2–3Colorado Rockies
22 May 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks2–1Arizona Diamondbacks
21 May 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks2–1Arizona Diamondbacks
17 May 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies6–8Arizona Diamondbacks
16 May 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies4–2Colorado Rockies
15 May 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies1–9Arizona Diamondbacks

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 62 meetings on file.

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