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AFL

Adelaide Crows

Today's best bet on this team, checked by our model — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Brisbane Lions (Away) Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM Gabba, Brisbane · Outdoor

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 14 bookmakers compared
Winner
Adelaide Crows3.70+270Kalshi
Brisbane Lions1.36-278Betfair Exchange

Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions odds by bookmaker

14 books · best price in green
BookAdelaide Crows winBrisbane Lions winBrisbane Lions -21.5
Betr3.50+2501.31-3231.90-111
BetRight3.35+2351.33-3031.90-111
Dabble3.40+2401.30-3331.90-111
PlayUp3.50+2501.30-3331.90-111
PointsBet3.30+2301.32-3121.90-111
Sportsbet3.35+2351.33-3031.90-111
TAB3.60+2601.29-3451.90-111
TABtouch3.55+2551.30-3331.89-112
Betfair Exchange3.70+2701.36-278—
Kalshi3.70+2701.33-300—
Ladbrokes3.35+2351.33-303—
Neds3.35+2351.33-303—
Polymarket3.45+2451.41-245—
Unibet3.40+2401.30-333—

Since the market opened: Brisbane Lions to win opened 1.36, best now 1.41 (decimal, best book).

Model updated Sep 10, 3:54AM UTC
Answer
The Adelaide Crows model is leaning the under in the Team Total Points H1 market vs Brisbane Lions.
33 tracked player props · the full numbers on every bet unlock with a subscription.

Scoring profile

Points scored per game103.2
Points allowed per game76.2

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Today's Game Pick

Our call
Team Total Points H1
Under 49.5
Odds: -122
Our numbers say this wins about 56 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $182 if it lands
+1.4%
Free pick — today's headline bet on this team

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Today's Player Props

Best value in green
PlayerStatModel output
Luke Nankervis Disposals With Pro
Sam Berry Disposals With Pro
Isaac Cumming Disposals With Pro
Daniel Curtin Marks With Pro
Sam Berry Fantasy With Pro
James Borlase Marks With Pro

Every player bet for this team — the line, the call and how much to put on — is ready for subscribers. Today's headline game pick above is free.

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Upcoming Games

Next 1
DateOpponentWhereVenuePrediction
Sat 12 SepBrisbane LionsAwayGabbaPreview →

Recent Results

8–2 in the last 10
DateOpponentWhereScoreResultRecap
5 SepWestern BulldogsHome90–68WRecap →
22 AugGWS GIANTSHome157–101WRecap →
14 AugFremantleAway88–112LRecap →
8 AugRichmondHome63–54WRecap →
2 AugEssendonAway145–73WRecap →
23 JulCollingwoodHome74–108LRecap →
17 JulSydney SwansAway87–71WRecap →
11 JulGold Coast SUNSHome128–49WRecap →
20 JunMelbourneHome79–62WRecap →
11 JunWestern BulldogsAway121–64WRecap →

Every Game Bet, Graded

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Spread Q3With Pro
Spread Q4With Pro
Team Total Points Q1With Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Team Total Points H1With Pro
SpreadWith Pro

The model has graded 6 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Typical conditions recorded at this team's matches:
Mostly Sunny
54% of games
Overcast
20% of games
Rain
14% of games
Sunny
5% of games
Mostly Clear
4% of games
Clear Night
3% of games
Average 18°C at these grounds
Historical ground conditions (not a live forecast).

Cashed picks for this team

All results →
DateOpponentMarketPickResult
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs Spread Q3 Adelaide Crows -4.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs Spread Q3 Adelaide Crows -3.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants Spread Adelaide Crows -16.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants Spread Q2 Greater Western Sydney Giants 6.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants Spread Q3 Adelaide Crows -6.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants Spread Q4 Adelaide Crows -6.5 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers Spread Q4 Fremantle Dockers -4.5 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers Spread Q2 Adelaide Crows 4.5 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers Spread Fremantle Dockers -17.5 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers Spread Q3 Adelaide Crows 4.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

Betting angles

4 markets live
Moneylinevs Brisbane Lions+235
+28.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickAdelaide Crows to winPF/G107.0PA/G78.8L50-5

Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Sep 12 - Moneyline: the model's pick is Adelaide Crows to win at +235, a 32% model win % (LONG-SHOT). Adelaide Crows are averaging 107.0 points for and 78.8 against over their last five games.

Linevs Brisbane Lions18.5 -111
54%cover %
+28.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickAdelaide Crows +18.5PF/G107.0PA/G78.8L50-5

Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Sep 12 - Line: the model's pick is Adelaide Crows +18.5 at -111, a 54% cover % (LEAN). Adelaide Crows are averaging 107.0 points for and 78.8 against over their last five games.

Line Q3vs Brisbane Lions-5.5 -118
74%cover %
+28.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickBrisbane Lions -5.5PF/G107.0PA/G78.8L50-5

Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Sep 12 - Line Q3: the model's pick is Brisbane Lions -5.5 at -118, a 74% cover % (HIGH). Adelaide Crows are averaging 107.0 points for and 78.8 against over their last five games.

Line Q4vs Brisbane Lions-5.5 -118
74%cover %
+28.2avg margin (L5)
Model pickBrisbane Lions -5.5PF/G107.0PA/G78.8L50-5

Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Sep 12 - Line Q4: the model's pick is Brisbane Lions -5.5 at -118, a 74% cover % (HIGH). Adelaide Crows are averaging 107.0 points for and 78.8 against over their last five games.

For & against (last 5 games)

Adelaide Crows are averaging 107.0 points for and 78.8 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.

0-5
Last 5
107.0
Points For / G
78.8
Points Against / G
+28.2
Margin / G
16.6
Goals / G
7.4
Behinds / G
53.4
Inside 50s / G

About This Team

Adelaide Crows are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. Their next game is against Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba. The model currently tracks 33 player props for Adelaide Crows in this game. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Adelaide Crows.

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