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The latest Bet Better model pick for Max Michalanney is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 81 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 81%, implied 88%, edge +2.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
AFL

Max Michalanney

Adelaide Crows

+2.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -769 (1.13) · $100→$113
+2.2% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
91 in 100
Predicted
15.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 90.7% · the book's price implies 88.5% · gap +2.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals90.7%80.8%88.5%1.24+2.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Max Michalanney Over 9.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions face off against Adelaide Crows, and Max Michalanney has a solid chance to shine. He has been getting more than 9.5 disposals in recent games, showing he can handle the pressure and get his hands on the ball. With the way our numbers look, Michalanney stands out as a strong favorite to hit that mark. The main risk here is that the game could be tightly contested, which might limit the chances for disposals. Still, if he keeps up his recent form, betting on over 9.5 disposals seems like a smart choice. Let's see if he can keep the momentum going!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Max Michalanney's lines for Sat 12 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Disposals 9.5
How many disposals does Max Michalanney average?

Max Michalanney's disposals line is 9.5.

Disposals 12.5
How many disposals does Max Michalanney average?

Max Michalanney's disposals line is 12.5.

Disposals 10.5
How many disposals does Max Michalanney average?

Max Michalanney's disposals line is 10.5.

Disposals 11.5
How many disposals does Max Michalanney average?

Max Michalanney's disposals line is 11.5.

Season averages (2024)

Max Michalanney averaged 14.9 disposals, 0.0 goals and 5.3 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

14.9
Disposals
0.0
Goals
5.3
Marks
2.9
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Max Michalanney has cleared 9.5 disposals in 90% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.590%
o10.590%
o11.580%
o12.570%
o13.550%
o14.520%
o16.510%
o17.50%
o18.50%
o19.510%
o20.50%
o21.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Max Michalanney is averaging 12.4 disposals per game over his last 5.

12.4
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), Max Michalanney recorded 11 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans11043
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide16044
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs18074
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats17083
28 Jul 24Hawthorn16074
19 Jul 24Essendon15061
13 Jul 24St Kilda10002
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions16063
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS11061
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans16043
Quick answers:How many disposals does Max Michalanney average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 9.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 12.5 Over -185 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 11.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Max Michalanney (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max Michalanney is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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