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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brayden Cook is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 61%, implied 72%, edge +2.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
AFL

Brayden Cook

Adelaide Crows

+2.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+2.7% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 14°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
16.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.1% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +2.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.1%60.6%72.5%1.65+2.7%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Brayden Cook Over 13.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Brayden Cook is going to be a key player when the Brisbane Lions take on the Adelaide Crows. The Lions' defense has shown some weaknesses, which could give Cook plenty of chances to rack up disposals. Our numbers show that he's likely to get over 13.5 disposals, as he's been on a roll lately. One risk to think about is that the Crows can be tough to break down at times. Still, Cook has been performing well, and the odds suggest he's a strong favorite to hit that mark. With the game at the Gabba, expect him to be ready to make an impact.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Brayden Cook's lines for Sat 12 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Disposals 13.5

Brayden Cook's disposals line is 13.5.

Disposals 12.5

Brayden Cook's disposals line is 12.5.

Season averages (2024)

Brayden Cook averaged 9.3 disposals, 0.8 goals and 2.2 marks per game across 15 games in 2024.

9.3
Disposals
0.8
Goals
2.2
Marks
1.5
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Brayden Cook has cleared 10.5 disposals in 80% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o10.580%
o11.570%
o12.570%
o14.560%
o15.560%
o17.540%
o18.540%
o19.530%
o21.510%
o22.510%
o24.50%
o25.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Brayden Cook is averaging 15.8 disposals per game over his last 5.

15.8
Disp · Overall
1.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Jul 24 vs Hawthorn), Brayden Cook recorded 8 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Jul 24Hawthorn8021
19 Jul 24Essendon11021
13 Jul 24St Kilda12022
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions13020
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS7010
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans6122
1 Jun 24Hawthorn6310
26 May 24West Coast Eagles9240
18 May 24Collingwood14134
12 May 24Brisbane Lions11011
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 13.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 12.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 14.5 Over -179 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Brayden Cook (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brayden Cook is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.7% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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