Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaac Cumming is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 70%, implied 70%, edge +11.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:56AM UTC
AFL

Isaac Cumming

Adelaide Crows

+11.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -238 (1.42) · $100→$142
+11.8% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
82 in 100
Predicted
15.9 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 82.2% · the book's price implies 70.4% · gap +11.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals82.2%70.1%70.4%1.43+11.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Isaac Cumming Over 11.5 Disposals (-238)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Isaac Cumming is playing at the Gabba, which is always a great place for players to shine. Our numbers really like him to get over 11.5 disposals in this game against the Adelaide Crows. He's been getting more chances lately, and his recent stats show he usually scores higher than this, which makes him a strong favorite in this matchup. One risk is that both teams are pretty evenly matched, so it could be a tight game with fewer opportunities. However, with Cumming's current form and the way he plays at home, he seems likely to hit this mark. Just remember, while the stats look good, nothing is guaranteed.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Isaac Cumming's lines for Sat 12 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Disposals 11.5

Isaac Cumming's disposals line is 11.5.

Disposals 10.5

Isaac Cumming's disposals line is 10.5.

Disposals 9.5

Isaac Cumming's disposals line is 9.5.

Disposals 12.5

Isaac Cumming's disposals line is 12.5.

Marks 2.5

Isaac Cumming's marks line is 2.5.

Season averages (2024)

Isaac Cumming averaged 14.0 disposals, 0.5 goals and 4.0 marks per game across 6 games in 2024.

14.0
Disposals
0.5
Goals
4.0
Marks
4.2
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Isaac Cumming has cleared 9.5 disposals in 90% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.590%
o10.580%
o11.570%
o13.570%
o14.550%
o16.520%
o17.50%
o18.50%
o20.50%
o21.50%
o23.50%
o24.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Isaac Cumming is averaging 12.6 disposals per game over his last 5.

12.6
Disp · Overall
0.4
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (14 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Isaac Cumming recorded 16 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
14 Sep 24Brisbane Lions16048
7 Sep 24Sydney Swans16034
20 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS6032
14 Jul 24Richmond13025
6 Jul 24Carlton19283
29 Jun 24Adelaide Crows14143
22 Sep 23Collingwood14172
16 Sep 23Port Adelaide11148
9 Sep 23St Kilda10023
27 Aug 23Carlton9143
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Marks 2.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 9.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 11.5 Over -169 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Isaac Cumming (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Isaac Cumming is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.8% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.