Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Taylor Walker is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 81 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 81%, implied 79%, edge +2.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:54AM UTC
AFL
Taylor Walker
Adelaide Crows
Latest Model Pick
Goals
Over 0.5
-385 (1.26) · $100→$126
+2.0% Edge
Adelaide Crows
@
Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
How often this wins
81 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 81.4% · the book's price implies 79.4% · gap +2.0%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Goals | 81.4% | — | 79.4% | 1.23 | +2.0% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 7/10 |
See his full recent form
Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.
Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime
Taylor Walker (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Goals (-385)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Brisbane Lions play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Taylor Walker (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Goals. It was priced at -385 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Taylor Walker's lines for Sat 12 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Goals 0.5
Taylor Walker's goals line is 0.5.
Season averages (2024)
Taylor Walker averaged 10.7 disposals, 1.6 goals and 5.6 marks per game across 18 games in 2024.
Hit-rate ladder: Disposals
Taylor Walker has cleared 9.5 disposals in 70% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.
o9.570%
o10.570%
o11.560%
o12.550%
o13.510%
o14.510%
o15.520%
o16.50%
o17.50%
o18.50%
o19.50%
Home / away and opponent splits
Taylor Walker is averaging 11.2 disposals per game over his last 5.
Recent game log
In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), Taylor Walker recorded 5 disposals and 2 goals.
| Date | Opp | Disp | Goals | Marks | Tackles |
|---|
| 24 Aug 24 | Sydney Swans | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug 24 | Western Bulldogs | 8 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
| 3 Aug 24 | Geelong Cats | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 28 Jul 24 | Hawthorn | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul 24 | St Kilda | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 Jul 24 | Brisbane Lions | 13 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 29 Jun 24 | GWS GIANTS | 9 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 Jun 24 | Hawthorn | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 26 May 24 | West Coast Eagles | 16 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May 24 | Collingwood | 15 | 1 | 7 | 5 |
Taylor Walker (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Taylor Walker is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.