Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alex Neal-Bullen is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 72%, edge +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:57AM UTC
AFL
Alex Neal-Bullen
Adelaide Crows
Latest Model Pick
Disposals
Over 13.5
-263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+0.1% Edge
Adelaide Crows
@
Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
73 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 72.6% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +0.1%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Disposals | 72.6% | — | 72.5% | 1.38 | +0.1% |
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Alex Neal-Bullen (Adelaide Crows) Over 13.5 Disposals (-263)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Brisbane Lions play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Alex Neal-Bullen (Adelaide Crows) Over 13.5 Disposals. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Alex Neal-Bullen's lines for Sat 12 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Disposals 13.5
Alex Neal-Bullen's disposals line is 13.5.
Season averages (2024)
Alex Neal-Bullen averaged 18.8 disposals, 0.4 goals and 3.3 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.
Hit-rate ladder: Disposals
Alex Neal-Bullen has cleared 10.5 disposals in 100% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.
o10.5100%
o11.5100%
o12.5100%
o14.580%
o15.580%
o17.540%
o18.520%
o19.50%
o21.50%
o22.50%
o24.50%
o25.50%
Home / away and opponent splits
Alex Neal-Bullen is averaging 18.0 disposals per game over his last 5.
Recent game log
In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Collingwood), Alex Neal-Bullen recorded 19 disposals and 0 goals.
| Date | Opp | Disp | Goals | Marks | Tackles |
|---|
| 23 Aug 24 | Collingwood | 19 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 17 Aug 24 | Gold Coast SUNS | 22 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 Aug 24 | Port Adelaide | 24 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 Aug 24 | Western Bulldogs | 13 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| 27 Jul 24 | GWS GIANTS | 15 | 1 | 2 | 11 |
| 21 Jul 24 | Fremantle | 16 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 Jul 24 | Essendon | 25 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 7 Jul 24 | West Coast Eagles | 20 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 28 Jun 24 | Brisbane Lions | 18 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| 22 Jun 24 | North Melbourne | 15 | 1 | 3 | 9 |
Alex Neal-Bullen (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alex Neal-Bullen is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
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