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The latest Bet Better model pick for James Borlase is Over 3.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 59 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 59%, implied 58%, edge +13.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
AFL

James Borlase

Adelaide Crows

+13.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 3.5 -139 (1.72) · $100→$172
+13.0% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
4.5 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.1% · the book's price implies 58.1% · gap +13.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks71.1%59.4%58.1%1.68+13.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: James Borlase Over 3.5 Marks (-139)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for James Borlase to get over 3.5 marks are looking pretty good at -139. Our numbers suggest he has a solid chance, especially since he's been performing well lately. The Brisbane Lions face the Adelaide Crows, and Borlase's stats show he's been able to gather more than 3 marks often. One thing to watch out for is that the Crows have a strong defensive record, which could make it tougher for him. Still, with how he's been playing, this bet feels promising. If he stays in the game and gets the right opportunities, he could easily hit that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

James Borlase's lines for Sat 12 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Marks 3.5

James Borlase's marks line is 3.5.

Marks 2.5

James Borlase's marks line is 2.5.

Season averages (2024)

James Borlase averaged 10.5 disposals, 0.1 goals and 4.6 marks per game across 10 games in 2024.

10.5
Disposals
0.1
Goals
4.6
Marks
1.6
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

James Borlase has cleared 9.5 disposals in 60% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.560%
o10.550%
o11.530%
o12.520%
o13.510%
o14.520%
o15.50%
o16.50%
o17.50%
o18.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

James Borlase is averaging 9.0 disposals per game over his last 5.

9.0
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), James Borlase recorded 8 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans8001
28 Jul 24Hawthorn5024
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans5031
6 Jun 24Richmond13164
1 Jun 24Hawthorn160112
26 May 24West Coast Eagles10071
27 Apr 24North Melbourne12050
19 Apr 24Essendon14041
29 Mar 24Fremantle10061
16 Mar 24Gold Coast SUNS12021
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Marks 2.5 Over -417 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

James Borlase (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for James Borlase is Over 3.5 on Marks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.0% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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