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The latest Bet Better model pick for Hugh McCluggage is Over 2.5 on Clearances.
On Clearances, our numbers say this bet wins about 59 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 59%, implied 56%, edge +13.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:56AM UTC
AFL

Hugh McCluggage

Brisbane Lions

+13.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Clearances Over 2.5 -130 (1.77) · $100→$177
+13.9% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
3.8 Clearances
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.4% · the book's price implies 56.5% · gap +13.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Clearances70.4%58.8%56.5%1.70+13.9%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Hugh McCluggage Over 2.5 Clearances (-130)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Tonight, Hugh McCluggage needs to get over 2.5 clearances against the Adelaide Crows. Our numbers show that he has a good chance of hitting that mark, especially since he averages well in this area. The Crows have been struggling with clearances lately, and McCluggage has the skill to take advantage of that. However, the Crows are known for their tight play, which could make it harder for him to rack up those clearances. Still, with the home advantage at the Gabba, McCluggage could shine. Expect him to step up, but remember, it's always a challenge to predict exact performance.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hugh McCluggage's lines for Sat 12 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Clearances 2.5

Hugh McCluggage's clearances line is 2.5.

Handballs 7.5

Hugh McCluggage's handballs line is 7.5.

Season averages (2024)

Hugh McCluggage averaged 24.7 disposals, 0.7 goals and 5.3 marks per game across 27 games in 2024.

24.7
Disposals
0.7
Goals
5.3
Marks
3.7
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Hugh McCluggage has cleared 12.5 disposals in 100% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o12.5100%
o13.580%
o15.580%
o16.550%
o18.550%
o19.540%
o21.540%
o23.530%
o24.530%
o26.510%
o27.510%
o29.530%

Home / away and opponent splits

Hugh McCluggage is averaging 18.4 disposals per game over his last 5.

18.4
Disp · Overall
0.6
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Hugh McCluggage recorded 21 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Sydney Swans21156
21 Sep 24Geelong Cats27157
14 Sep 24GWS GIANTS24045
7 Sep 24Carlton24068
24 Aug 24Essendon29063
17 Aug 24Collingwood26025
10 Aug 24GWS GIANTS15041
4 Aug 24St Kilda28136
27 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS22265
21 Jul 24Sydney Swans26381
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Clearances — — — Pending
07 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Hugh McCluggage is Over 2.5 on Clearances. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.9% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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