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The latest Bet Better model pick for Harris Andrews is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 58%, implied 73%, edge +2.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:56AM UTC
AFL

Harris Andrews

Brisbane Lions

+2.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -270 (1.37) · $100→$137
+2.8% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
15.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.8% · the book's price implies 73.0% · gap +2.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.8%58.4%73.0%1.71+2.8%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Harris Andrews Over 12.5 Disposals (-270)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Harris Andrews has been on a roll lately, showing impressive form in his recent games. He usually gets involved in the action quite a bit, and with his strong performance stats, betting on him to make over 12.5 disposals feels like a smart choice. His ability to win contests and make plays is highlighted by his average of 1.5 wins, which is way above normal. The Adelaide Crows might put up a fight, but the numbers show Harris tends to shine against tougher opponents. The biggest risk here is that the teams are closer than expected, and sometimes games can be more intense. Still, with his recent track record, this bet looks promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Harris Andrews's lines for Sat 12 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Disposals 12.5

Harris Andrews's disposals line is 12.5.

Disposals 11.5

Harris Andrews's disposals line is 11.5.

Disposals 10.5

Harris Andrews's disposals line is 10.5.

Season averages (2024)

Harris Andrews averaged 13.4 disposals, 0.0 goals and 7.5 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.

13.4
Disposals
0.0
Goals
7.5
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Harris Andrews has cleared 9.5 disposals in 90% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.590%
o10.580%
o11.570%
o13.550%
o14.530%
o16.530%
o17.530%
o18.510%
o20.520%
o21.510%
o23.50%
o24.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Harris Andrews is averaging 11.2 disposals per game over his last 5.

11.2
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Harris Andrews recorded 16 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Sydney Swans160100
21 Sep 24Geelong Cats12051
14 Sep 24GWS GIANTS13061
7 Sep 24Carlton13063
24 Aug 24Essendon15061
17 Aug 24Collingwood8053
10 Aug 24GWS GIANTS10070
4 Aug 24St Kilda180140
21 Jul 24Sydney Swans14081
14 Jul 24West Coast Eagles10072
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals 10.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals 9.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Harris Andrews (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harris Andrews is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.8% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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