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The latest Bet Better model pick for Cam Rayner is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 61%, implied 62%, edge +10.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:54AM UTC
AFL

Cam Rayner

Brisbane Lions

+10.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -164 (1.61) · $100→$161
+10.5% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
1.0 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.6% · the book's price implies 62.1% · gap +10.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals72.6%60.6%62.1%1.65+10.5%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Cam Rayner Over 0.5 Goals (-164)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Cam Rayner has been showing some great form lately, and he's ready to score at the Gabba. Our numbers suggest there's a good chance he will kick more than half a goal against the Adelaide Crows. The matchup looks promising, and Rayner has the skills to find the scoreboard. One thing to keep in mind is that both teams are closely matched, which could make things a bit tricky. Still, with Rayner's recent performances, betting on him to score over 0.5 goals seems like a solid choice. Just remember, there are no guarantees in sports, so it's worth keeping your expectations in check.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Cam Rayner's lines for Sat 12 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Goals 0.5
How many disposals does Cam Rayner average?

Cam Rayner's goals line is 0.5.

Disposals 10.5
How many disposals does Cam Rayner average?

Cam Rayner's disposals line is 10.5.

Disposals 13.5
How many disposals does Cam Rayner average?

Cam Rayner's disposals line is 13.5.

Disposals 12.5
How many disposals does Cam Rayner average?

Cam Rayner's disposals line is 12.5.

Disposals 11.5
How many disposals does Cam Rayner average?

Cam Rayner's disposals line is 11.5.

Season averages (2024)

Cam Rayner averaged 15.3 disposals, 1.1 goals and 3.5 marks per game across 27 games in 2024.

15.3
Disposals
1.1
Goals
3.5
Marks
3.1
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Cam Rayner has cleared 9.5 disposals in 90% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.590%
o10.5100%
o11.590%
o13.580%
o14.580%
o16.550%
o17.510%
o18.540%
o20.530%
o21.520%
o23.510%
o24.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Cam Rayner is averaging 16.4 disposals per game over his last 5.

16.4
Disp · Overall
0.8
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Cam Rayner recorded 16 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Sydney Swans16191
21 Sep 24Geelong Cats18255
14 Sep 24GWS GIANTS8004
7 Sep 24Carlton12362
24 Aug 24Essendon18041
17 Aug 24Collingwood15011
10 Aug 24GWS GIANTS17011
4 Aug 24St Kilda22352
27 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS25264
21 Jul 24Sydney Swans20247
Quick answers:How many disposals does Cam Rayner average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals — — — Pending
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Cam Rayner (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cam Rayner is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.5% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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