Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
AFL

Geelong Cats

Today's best bet on this team, checked by our model — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Fremantle Dockers (Away) Fri 11 Sep, 10:10AM Optus Stadium, Perth · Outdoor

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 14 bookmakers compared
Winner
Geelong Cats2.68+168Betfair Exchange
Dockers1.61-163Kalshi
Total points
Over175.51.90-111Sportsbet
Under175.51.90-111Sportsbet

Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers odds by bookmaker

14 books · best price in green
BookGeelong Cats winDockers winDockers -10.5Over 175.5Under 175.5
Dabble2.50+1501.55-1821.90-111——
PlayUp2.45+1451.55-1821.90-111——
PointsBet2.50+1501.54-1851.90-1111.90-1111.90-111
Sportsbet2.48+1481.54-1851.90-1111.90-1111.90-111
TAB2.45+1451.55-1821.90-111——
TABtouch2.50+1501.53-1891.89-112——
Betr2.45+1451.55-1821.90-111——
BetRight2.45+1451.55-1821.90-111——
Betfair Exchange2.68+1681.58-172———
Kalshi2.50+1501.61-163———
Ladbrokes2.45+1451.55-182———
Neds2.45+1451.55-182———
Polymarket2.56+1561.64-156———
Unibet2.38+1381.53-189———

Since the market opened: Dockers to win opened 1.59, best now 1.64 (decimal, best book).

Model updated Sep 10, 3:56AM UTC
Answer
The Geelong Cats model is leaning Fremantle Dockers on the spread in the Spread market vs Fremantle Dockers.
model hit rate 59.5% across 79 settled Geelong Cats picks · 34 tracked player props · the full numbers on every bet unlock with a subscription.

Scoring profile

Points scored per game102.3
Points allowed per game83.7

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Today's Game Pick

Our call
Spread
Fremantle Dockers -10.5
Odds: -111
Our numbers say this wins about 72 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $190 if it lands
+19.6%
Free pick — today's headline bet on this team

The model picked today's free one for you. Unlock its full write-up, every other game market and all player props for this team.

Bet Better Unlock full analysis

$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet. Cancel anytime.

Today's Player Props

Best value in green
PlayerStatModel output
Max Holmes Disposals With Pro
Oisin Mullin Disposals With Pro
Oliver Wiltshire Goals With Pro
Connor O'Sullivan Disposals With Pro
Tom Atkins Disposals With Pro
Lawson Humphries Disposals With Pro

Every player bet for this team — the line, the call and how much to put on — is ready for subscribers. Today's headline game pick above is free.

Bet Better Unlock all props

Cancel anytime.

Upcoming Games

Next 1
DateOpponentWhereVenuePrediction
Fri 11 SepFremantle DockersAwayOptus StadiumPreview →

Recent Results

6–4 in the last 10
DateOpponentWhereScoreResultRecap
4 SepCarltonHome107–74WRecap →
22 AugRichmondHome133–76WRecap →
15 AugNorth MelbourneAway125–110WRecap →
8 AugEssendonHome117–50WRecap →
16 JulSt KildaHome102–75WRecap →
11 JulGWS GIANTSAway73–86LRecap →
2 JulBrisbane LionsHome101–123LRecap →
4 JunAdelaide CrowsAway74–75LRecap →
29 MayCarltonAway84–88LRecap →
23 MaySydney SwansHome107–80WRecap →

Every Game Bet, Graded

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
SpreadWith Pro
Spread Q2With Pro
Spread Q3With Pro
Spread Q4With Pro
Team Total Points H1With Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
SpreadWith Pro

The model has graded 7 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

Bet Better Unlock full edge table

Cancel anytime.

Availability

Roster status
Player availability is not tracked for AFL. No injury/availability feed is available for this competition — absence of a listing here does not mean every player is fit.

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Typical conditions recorded at this team's matches:
Mostly Sunny
42% of games
Rain
26% of games
Overcast
18% of games
Mostly Clear
5% of games
Sunny
5% of games
Clear Night
3% of games
Average 17°C at these grounds
Historical ground conditions (not a live forecast).

Model Performance History

All results →
Recent form: won 8 of last 10 settled picks (80%).
79
Total Picks
59.5%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues Spread Q4 Geelong Cats -1.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues Spread Q3 Geelong Cats -2.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues Spread Q2 Geelong Cats -2.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues Spread Q2 Geelong Cats -1.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues Team Total Points H1 Over 43.5 ✗ MISS
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues Team Total Points Q1 Over 21.5 ✗ MISS
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues Spread Q3 Geelong Cats -1.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues Spread Geelong Cats -6.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues Spread Q4 Geelong Cats -2.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues Spread Geelong Cats -8.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues Moneyline Carlton Blues ✗ MISS
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues Spread Geelong Cats -7.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues Team Total Points H1 Over 42.5 ✗ MISS
15 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos Moneyline Geelong Cats ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos Moneyline North Melbourne Kangaroos ✗ MISS

Betting angles

5 markets live
Moneylinevs Fremantle Dockers+146
+37.6avg margin (L5)
Model pickGeelong Cats to winPF/G111.8PA/G74.2L50-5

Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Sep 11 - Moneyline: the model's pick is Geelong Cats to win at +146, a 42% model win % (LONG-SHOT). Geelong Cats are averaging 111.8 points for and 74.2 against over their last five games.

Linevs Fremantle Dockers8.5 -111
56%cover %
+37.6avg margin (L5)
Model pickGeelong Cats +8.5PF/G111.8PA/G74.2L50-5

Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Sep 11 - Line: the model's pick is Geelong Cats +8.5 at -111, a 56% cover % (LEAN). Geelong Cats are averaging 111.8 points for and 74.2 against over their last five games.

Line Q2vs Fremantle Dockers-2.5 -114
61%cover %
+37.6avg margin (L5)
Model pickFremantle Dockers -2.5PF/G111.8PA/G74.2L50-5

Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Sep 11 - Line Q2: the model's pick is Fremantle Dockers -2.5 at -114, a 61% cover % (LEAN). Geelong Cats are averaging 111.8 points for and 74.2 against over their last five games.

Line Q3vs Fremantle Dockers-2.5 -115
61%cover %
+37.6avg margin (L5)
Model pickFremantle Dockers -2.5PF/G111.8PA/G74.2L50-5

Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Sep 11 - Line Q3: the model's pick is Fremantle Dockers -2.5 at -115, a 61% cover % (LEAN). Geelong Cats are averaging 111.8 points for and 74.2 against over their last five games.

Line Q4vs Fremantle Dockers-2.5 -115
61%cover %
+37.6avg margin (L5)
Model pickFremantle Dockers -2.5PF/G111.8PA/G74.2L50-5

Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Sep 11 - Line Q4: the model's pick is Fremantle Dockers -2.5 at -115, a 61% cover % (LEAN). Geelong Cats are averaging 111.8 points for and 74.2 against over their last five games.

For & against (last 5 games)

Geelong Cats are averaging 111.8 points for and 74.2 points against over their last 5 games, holding a 0-5 record.

0-5
Last 5
111.8
Points For / G
74.2
Points Against / G
+37.6
Margin / G
17.0
Goals / G
9.8
Behinds / G
62.0
Inside 50s / G

About This Team

Geelong Cats are tracked by the Bet Better model across AFL games. The model has hit at a rate of 59.5% on tracked Geelong Cats picks. Their next game is against Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium. The model currently tracks 34 player props for Geelong Cats in this game. Use the data above to inform your AFL betting decisions for Geelong Cats.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.