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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Gryan Miers is Over 1.5 on Tackles.
On Tackles, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 60%, implied 63%, edge +8.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
AFL

Gryan Miers

Geelong Cats

+8.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tackles Over 1.5 -169 (1.59) · $100→$159
+8.4% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
2.5 Tackles
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.3% · the book's price implies 62.9% · gap +8.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tackles71.3%59.5%62.9%1.68+8.4%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Gryan Miers Over 1.5 Tackles (-169)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Gryan Miers to make over 1.5 tackles look promising. Fremantle has been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and dominating their opponents by an average of 28.7 points in their last 12 matches. Miers will likely be involved in plenty of action since Geelong Cats typically play at a fast pace, averaging 55.7 points before half-time in their last 12 games. However, there's a solid challenge here as Geelong has been pretty competitive, often leading by around 4 points at quarter-time. If the game stays tight, it could affect Miers' opportunities for tackles. Still, with his involvement in the game and Fremantle's recent form, the chance of him getting over 1.5 tackles seems good.

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Pick History & Track Record

Gryan Miers's lines for Fri 11 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Tackles 1.5

Gryan Miers's tackles line is 1.5.

Marks 2.5

Gryan Miers's marks line is 2.5.

Season averages (2024)

Gryan Miers averaged 20.2 disposals, 0.8 goals and 4.0 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

20.2
Disposals
0.8
Goals
4.0
Marks
4.2
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Gryan Miers has cleared 12.5 disposals in 90% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o12.590%
o13.580%
o15.580%
o16.570%
o18.560%
o19.560%
o21.550%
o23.540%
o24.520%
o26.50%
o27.50%
o29.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Gryan Miers is averaging 18.2 disposals per game over his last 5.

18.2
Disp · Overall
0.6
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (21 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Gryan Miers recorded 20 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
21 Sep 24Brisbane Lions20245
5 Sep 24Port Adelaide21366
24 Aug 24West Coast Eagles22126
17 Aug 24St Kilda14046
10 Aug 24Fremantle23163
3 Aug 24Adelaide Crows14023
27 Jul 24North Melbourne21077
20 Jul 24Western Bulldogs15031
12 Jul 24Collingwood27174
6 Jul 24Hawthorn15151
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Tackles Pending
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending
15 Aug 26 Geelong Cats @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals Pending

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About This Player

Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Gryan Miers is Over 1.5 on Tackles. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.4% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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