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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Martin is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 84%, implied 72%, edge +11.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 4:38AM UTC
AFL

Jack Martin

Geelong Cats

+11.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+11.9% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Collingwood Magpies
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 30 Jul, 9:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
84 in 100
Predicted
1.3 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 84.4% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +11.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals84.4%72.5%1.19+11.9%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Martin (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Goals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Jack Martin lining up for the Geelong Cats against Collingwood at the MCG, all signs point to a potential goal fest. Martin's recent form paints a vivid picture of a player hungry to hit the scoreboard. Averaging 1.2 goals in his last five away games, with a solid shot average of 2.2, his attacking prowess is undeniable. Facing Collingwood, a team he's historically bagged 2 goals against in their last five encounters, only adds fuel to the fire. With an impressive 41.7% goal accuracy and 2 marks inside 50 on average, Martin's presence in the forward line is a looming threat for the Magpies' defense. Bet confidently on Martin snagging at least one goal; the stats are in his favor for a standout performance under the Melbourne lights.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jack Martin averaged 6.7 disposals, 1.0 goals and 2.3 marks per game across 3 games in 2024.

6.7
Disposals
1.0
Goals
2.3
Marks
0.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (11 Aug 24 vs Hawthorn), Jack Martin recorded 1 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
11 Aug 24Hawthorn1010
3 Aug 24Collingwood13240
9 May 24Melbourne6122
23 Sep 23Brisbane Lions10224
8 Sep 23Sydney Swans12252
27 Aug 23GWS GIANTS7110
19 Aug 23Gold Coast SUNS14264
12 Aug 23Melbourne15134
6 Aug 23St Kilda15153
28 Jul 23Collingwood12352
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -345 ✓ HIT
11 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals Pending
12 Jun 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending

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About This Player

Jack Martin (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Martin is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.9% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Collingwood Magpies on Thursday 30 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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