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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jeremy Cameron is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 75%, implied 85%, edge +2.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
AFL

Jeremy Cameron

Geelong Cats

+2.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -588 (1.17) · $100→$117
+2.5% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 16°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
88 in 100
Predicted
1.9 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 88.0% · the book's price implies 85.5% · gap +2.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals88.0%75.4%85.5%1.33+2.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Jeremy Cameron Over 0.5 Goals (-588)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle has been on a roll, winning 7 out of their last 10 games and scoring an average of 28.7 points more than their opponents. On the other hand, Geelong Cats are no slouches either, as they've been scoring well, averaging 55.7 points before halftime. This matchup could see plenty of scoring opportunities, especially with Fremantle's strong start and Jeremy Cameron's ability to find the goal. Betting on Jeremy Cameron to score at least one goal seems like a solid choice, given his scoring skills and the good form of both teams. The biggest risk here is that the match could be closer than expected, but Cameron has the talent to break through. Overall, this bet looks promising!

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Pick History & Track Record

Jeremy Cameron's lines for Fri 11 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Goals 0.5

Jeremy Cameron's goals line is 0.5.

Season averages (2024)

Jeremy Cameron averaged 16.3 disposals, 2.7 goals and 6.0 marks per game across 24 games in 2024.

16.3
Disposals
2.7
Goals
6.0
Marks
1.7
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Jeremy Cameron has cleared 9.5 disposals in 60% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.560%
o10.560%
o11.560%
o13.540%
o14.540%
o16.530%
o17.530%
o18.530%
o20.520%
o21.510%
o23.50%
o24.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jeremy Cameron is averaging 12.0 disposals per game over his last 5, including his recent form against Fremantle.

12.0
Disp · Overall
14.2
Disp · vs Fremantle
0.4
Goals · Overall
2.2
Goals · vs Fremantle

Recent game log

In his most recent game (21 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Jeremy Cameron recorded 17 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
21 Sep 24Brisbane Lions17231
5 Sep 24Port Adelaide19450
24 Aug 24West Coast Eagles14991
17 Aug 24St Kilda16371
10 Aug 24Fremantle14154
3 Aug 24Adelaide Crows17683
27 Jul 24North Melbourne19283
20 Jul 24Western Bulldogs6113
12 Jul 24Collingwood9344
6 Jul 24Hawthorn19482
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Jun 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Goals 1.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
12 Jun 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Disposals 12.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
11 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals — — — Pending
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals — — — Pending
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jeremy Cameron (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jeremy Cameron is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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