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The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaiah Dudley is Over 1.5 on Tackles.
On Tackles, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 62%, implied 70%, edge +3.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
AFL

Isaiah Dudley

Fremantle

+3.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tackles Over 1.5 -233 (1.43) · $100→$143
+3.8% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
2.8 Tackles
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.7% · the book's price implies 69.9% · gap +3.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tackles73.7%61.5%69.9%1.63+3.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Isaiah Dudley Over 1.5 Tackles (-233)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle has been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and finishing their recent matches with an average of 28.7 points ahead. They also start strong, scoring an average of 44.6 points before half-time. This means they often keep up the pressure, making it a tough day for their opponents. Geelong Cats have been decent too, but their average margin of victory is only 17.3 points, which shows how close this matchup can be. Isaiah Dudley is in a good spot to make an impact with over 1.5 tackles. Our numbers suggest he has a strong chance to hit that mark. The biggest risk here is how well Geelong starts, as they have been ahead by an average of 4.1 points at quarter-time. Still, with Fremantle's current form, Dudley should have plenty of opportunities to make those tackles.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Isaiah Dudley's lines for Fri 11 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Tackles 1.5
How many disposals does Isaiah Dudley average?

Isaiah Dudley's tackles line is 1.5.

Goals 0.5
How many disposals does Isaiah Dudley average?

Isaiah Dudley's goals line is 0.5.

Disposals 9.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 7 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Isaiah Dudley average?

Isaiah Dudley's disposals line is 9.5, best over price -116 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 7 of his last 10 games.

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Isaiah Dudley has cleared 9.5 disposals in 80% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.580%
o10.570%
o11.560%
o12.540%
o13.540%
o14.530%
o15.510%
o16.510%
o17.510%
o18.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Isaiah Dudley is averaging 11.4 disposals per game over his last 5, including his recent form against Geelong Cats.

11.4
Disp · Overall
8.5
Disp · vs Geelong Cats
1.4
Goals · Overall
2.0
Goals · vs Geelong Cats
Quick answers:How many disposals does Isaiah Dudley average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Marks 1.5 Over -122 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 9.5 Over -159 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -233 ✗ MISS
14 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Fremantle Dockers Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Isaiah Dudley (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Isaiah Dudley is Over 1.5 on Tackles. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.8% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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