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The latest Bet Better model pick for Judd McVee is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 66 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 66%, implied 76%, edge +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
AFL

Judd McVee

Fremantle

+2.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 2.5 -313 (1.32) · $100→$132
+2.6% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
4.4 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 78.4% · the book's price implies 75.8% · gap +2.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks78.4%65.5%75.8%1.53+2.6%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Judd McVee Over 2.5 Marks (-312)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Judd McVee to get over 2.5 marks are looking good at -312. Our numbers really believe he has a solid chance to hit this mark, especially since he's been a strong performer lately. In games like this, where he can shine, having a favorable matchup makes a difference. However, it's worth noting that McVee's stats show he hasn't been getting many contested marks lately, which could make this bet a bit risky. Still, with the way our numbers rate him as a strong favorite, it feels like a smart pick to back him to grab at least three marks today against the Geelong Cats at Optus Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Judd McVee's lines for Fri 11 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Marks 2.5

Judd McVee's marks line is 2.5.

Disposals 11.5

Judd McVee's disposals line is 11.5.

Season averages (2024)

Judd McVee averaged 16.6 disposals, 0.0 goals and 3.5 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

16.6
Disposals
0.0
Goals
3.5
Marks
1.0
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Judd McVee has cleared 9.5 disposals in 100% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.5100%
o10.590%
o11.590%
o12.590%
o13.560%
o14.560%
o16.520%
o17.510%
o18.510%
o19.510%
o20.50%
o21.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Judd McVee is averaging 13.8 disposals per game over his last 5.

13.8
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Collingwood), Judd McVee recorded 8 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Collingwood8013
17 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS12120
10 Aug 24Port Adelaide20021
2 Aug 24Western Bulldogs16024
27 Jul 24GWS GIANTS19071
21 Jul 24Fremantle21050
13 Jul 24Essendon23051
7 Jul 24West Coast Eagles22051
28 Jun 24Brisbane Lions17001
22 Jun 24North Melbourne14020
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 12.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Judd McVee (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Judd McVee is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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