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The latest Bet Better model pick for Patrick Voss is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 68%, implied 62%, edge +18.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:54AM UTC
AFL

Patrick Voss

Fremantle

+18.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 2.5 -161 (1.62) · $100→$162
+18.8% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
81 in 100
Predicted
4.4 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 80.5% · the book's price implies 61.7% · gap +18.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks80.5%67.5%61.7%1.48+18.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Patrick Voss Over 2.5 Marks (-161)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle have been on a winning streak, taking home 7 victories from their last 10 games. They've been scoring impressively, averaging nearly 29 points more than their opponents in the last 12 matches. This strong form makes the bet of over 2.5 marks for Patrick Voss look promising, considering how well Fremantle has been playing. Geelong Cats have also been solid, but their average score at quarter-time shows they have only led by about 4 points early in their recent games. With Fremantle's players stepping up and Voss's chances to grab marks, this bet feels like a good opportunity. The main risk here is how closely matched the teams are at times, but Fremantle's momentum seems to give Voss a good chance to clear that number.

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Pick History & Track Record

Patrick Voss's lines for Fri 11 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Marks 2.5
How many disposals does Patrick Voss average?

Patrick Voss's marks line is 2.5.

Disposals 9.5
How many disposals does Patrick Voss average?

Patrick Voss's disposals line is 9.5.

Marks 1.5
How many disposals does Patrick Voss average?

Patrick Voss's marks line is 1.5.

Goals 0.5
How many disposals does Patrick Voss average?

Patrick Voss's goals line is 0.5.

Season averages (2024)

Patrick Voss averaged 8.0 disposals, 1.0 goals and 3.4 marks per game across 7 games in 2024.

8.0
Disposals
1.0
Goals
3.4
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Patrick Voss has cleared 9.5 disposals in 60% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.560%
o10.550%
o11.510%
o12.50%
o13.50%
o14.50%
o15.50%
o16.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Patrick Voss is averaging 8.4 disposals per game over his last 5.

8.4
Disp · Overall
1.4
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Patrick Voss recorded 7 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide7223
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS6232
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats6021
13 Jul 24Hawthorn8150
18 May 24St Kilda12142
10 May 24Sydney Swans6031
27 Apr 24Western Bulldogs11151
Quick answers:How many disposals does Patrick Voss average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 9.5 Over -111 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Goals 1.5 Over -133 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Goals — — — Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Marks — — — Pending
22 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Patrick Voss (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Patrick Voss is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.8% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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