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The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Brayshaw is Over 22.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 56%, implied 71%, edge +1.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:56AM UTC
AFL

Andrew Brayshaw

Fremantle

+1.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 22.5 -250 (1.40) · $100→$140
+1.6% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
26.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.0% · the book's price implies 71.4% · gap +1.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.0%56.2%71.4%1.78+1.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Andrew Brayshaw Over 22.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Andrew Brayshaw has been playing really well lately, showing he can handle the pressure and rack up disposals. With the way he's been moving the ball, betting on him to get over 22.5 disposals looks promising. The numbers suggest he has a solid chance, and he's been a key player for Fremantle. One thing to keep in mind is that Geelong's defense has been tough, which could make it a challenge for Brayshaw to reach that number. Still, if he keeps up his recent form, he should be able to get there. Overall, it feels like a decent bet given how well he's been performing.

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Pick History & Track Record

Andrew Brayshaw's lines for Fri 11 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Disposals 22.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Andrew Brayshaw average?

Andrew Brayshaw's disposals line is 22.5, best over price -116 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 6 of his last 10 games.

Disposals 21.5
-116 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Andrew Brayshaw average?

Andrew Brayshaw's disposals line is 21.5, best over price -116 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 6 of his last 10 games.

Marks 2.5
How many disposals does Andrew Brayshaw average?

Andrew Brayshaw's marks line is 2.5.

Season averages (2024)

Andrew Brayshaw averaged 29.1 disposals, 0.3 goals and 4.3 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

29.1
Disposals
0.3
Goals
4.3
Marks
5.1
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Andrew Brayshaw has cleared 18.5 disposals in 100% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o18.5100%
o19.5100%
o21.580%
o23.560%
o25.540%
o27.530%
o29.520%
o30.50%
o32.50%
o34.50%
o36.50%
o38.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Andrew Brayshaw is averaging 24.2 disposals per game over his last 5.

24.2
Disp · Overall
0.6
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Andrew Brayshaw recorded 33 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide33077
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS41034
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats20063
4 Aug 24Essendon33065
27 Jul 24West Coast Eagles36127
21 Jul 24Melbourne41033
13 Jul 24Hawthorn23136
6 Jul 24Richmond35188
29 Jun 24Sydney Swans24043
23 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS32158
Quick answers:How many disposals does Andrew Brayshaw average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Marks 2.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Kicks 9.5 Over -179 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 22.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
22 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Carlton Blues Kicks — — — Pending
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Brayshaw is Over 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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