Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Picks & Predictions

On September 13, 2026 our model has run Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jonah Tong Under 14.5 Pitcher - Outs (+118), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles: Jonah Tong Under 14.5 Pitcher - Outs (+118)

The New York Mets have been on a roll lately, scoring an average of 1.5 runs more than their opponents in the last twelve games. They've also won 7 out of their last 10 games, showing they know how to get the job done. Jonah Tong is pitching for the Mets, and against teams like the Baltimore Orioles, he'll want to keep their hitters in check. The Orioles have struggled more than the Mets, averaging 1.2 runs less than their opponents in their last twelve. Even though both teams have similar stats against lefties, there's a decent chance Tong can limit those runs. The risk here is that both teams can hit well against left-handed pitchers. Still, I'm feeling good about taking the under on 14.5 outs for Tong today.

New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles: Jonah Tong Under 5.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts (-119)

Jonah Tong has been solid on the mound, but the numbers show he might struggle here. The New York Mets are hitting well lately, scoring an average of 1.5 runs more than their opponents in the last 12 games. They've also won 7 out of their last 10, making it tough for pitchers like Tong to find their rhythm. On the other side, the Baltimore Orioles have not been doing as well, with only 3 wins in their last 10 games. While they hit decently against lefties, Tong might face challenges against the Mets' strong lineup. With the way things are trending, betting on Tong to get under 5.5 strikeouts makes sense, but just remember, he could surprise us all.

That is our read — no bet on this board is a sure thing. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

On September 14, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip LONG-SHOT confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Pete Alonso (NYM) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-164)

New York Mets play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Pete Alonso (NYM) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-164). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -164 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jared Young (NYM) Over 0.5 Hits (-159)

New York Mets play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jared Young (NYM) Over 0.5 Hits (-159). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits (-196)

New York Mets play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits (-196). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at -196 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.