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Model picks & player props
New York Yankees
VS
Minnesota Twins

New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 14, 8:12AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Target Field, Minneapolis
Outdoor
Mon 14 Sep 2026, 11:40PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
New York Yankees -1.5 Spread +123

The model graded 70 markets for New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $223 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 14 Sep 2026, 11:40PM at Target Field.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win45.0%
The price says42.8%
Best price+123
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread New York Yankees -1.5 Lean45% chance +123
Total Runs Lean50% chance
Total Runs Long-shot8% chance
Spread Long-shot11% chance
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot15% chance
Spread High82% chance
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Lean41% chance
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Lean49% chance
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot19% chance
Batter - Doubles × 2 props Highup to 76%
Batter - Total Bases × 9 props Highup to 67%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 5 props Leanup to 49%
Batter - Home Runs × 4 props Leanup to 42%
Batter - RBIs × 3 props Leanup to 51%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
New York Yankees are the model's favourite to beat Minnesota Twins, with a 92% chance to win. Predicted score: Minnesota Twins 1.8 – New York Yankees 7.4. Kick-off Mon 14 Sep, 11:40PM at Target Field. Best bet: New York Yankees -1.5 at +123.
How they've been scoring this season
New York YankeesMinnesota Twins
Won-lost86-6370-79
Runs scored per game4.54.6
Runs allowed per game3.75.0
On the road / at home44-31 away39-36 at home
Last 5 gamesWWWLWWLLWL
Their games average 8.9 total runs this season.
From the 149 New York Yankees and 149 Minnesota Twins games on our books this season.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 53 bookmakers compared
Winner
Yankees1.80-1251xBet
Twins2.22+122Kalshi
Total runs
Over8.52.00+100Kalshi
Under8.51.96-104Kalshi

New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins odds by bookmaker

53 books · best price in green
BookYankees winTwins winTwins +1.5Over 8.5Under 8.5
1xBet1.80-1252.15+1151.75-1331.97-1031.95-105
888sport1.71-1412.15+1151.67-1491.91-1101.85-118
Bally Bet1.73-1372.14+1141.68-1471.96-1041.85-118
BetAnySports1.72-1392.18+1181.69-1451.95-1051.87-115
BetOnline1.77-1302.18+1181.69-1451.95-1051.87-115
betPARX1.73-1372.14+1141.68-1471.96-1041.85-118
BetRivers1.73-1372.15+1151.68-1471.96-1041.85-118
Betsson1.72-1392.12+1121.66-1521.86-1161.90-111
BetUS1.76-1322.19+1191.69-1451.95-1051.87-115
Bovada1.76-1322.10+1101.67-1491.91-1101.91-110
Coolbet1.73-1372.12+1121.68-1471.95-1051.87-115
DraftKings1.74-1352.13+1131.67-1491.96-1041.87-115
ESPN BET1.74-1352.15+1151.67-1491.95-1051.87-115
Fanatics1.77-1302.10+1101.69-1451.95-1051.87-115

Since the market opened: Twins to win opened 2.16, best now 2.25; the over 8.5 opened 1.94, best now 2.02 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 32 of 182 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 13
Ben Rice Over 0.5
New York Mets @ New York Yankees
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $374
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
New York Yankees
+2.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Minnesota Twins on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Minnesota Twins
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Under
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Ryan Weathers SPOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2BOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Trent Grisham CFOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut

Probable pitcher

Cam Schlittler SP

Minnesota Twins

  • Royce Lewis 1BDay-to-day
  • Kaelen Culpepper SSDay-to-day
  • Byron Buxton CFOut
  • Mike Paredes SPOut
  • Cole Sands RPOut
  • David Festa SPOut
  • Mick Abel SPOut
  • Anthony Banda RPOut
  • Pablo Lopez SPOut

Probable pitcher

Joe Ryan SP
Availability updated Sep 13, 8:21PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 14 Sep

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Prediction and Picks, September 14, 2026

On September 13, 2026 our model has run New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Ben Rice Over 0.5 Batter - Singles (+105), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees: Ben Rice Over 0.5 Batter - Singles (+105)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Ben Rice has been pretty solid at the plate lately, especially at Yankee Stadium, where he averages 2.8 combined hits, runs, and RBIs over ten games. He's facing the Minnesota Twins, who have had their ups and downs, but Rice has been hitting well against left-handers this season. The Twins have allowed some good performances against batters, and Rice has a strong chance to get at least one single today. The risk here is that the Twins have been scoring well, and their pitching can be tricky. Still, Rice's stats show he can create opportunities, and with the odds at +105, he's worth a shot to get over 0.5 singles. Keep an eye on how he performs early in the game, but I like his chances here.

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees: Josh Bell Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (+153)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

For Josh Bell to get a hit tonight, he needs to break out of a slump where he's been getting hits less than usual. The New York Yankees' pitching has been solid lately, and they've been winning a lot of games, which makes things tougher for him. The Yankees have been strong against left-handed pitchers, and Josh Bell has not been hitting as well as he can. Plus, the wind is blowing out toward the outfield, which usually helps hitters, but Bell's recent performance means he might struggle.

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees: Josh Bell Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-189)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tonight, Josh Bell needs to keep his hits under 1.5 total bases against the New York Yankees. The Yankees have been strong against left-handed pitchers, which is a tough matchup for him. The Minnesota Twins have also been hitting well, but Bell's recent form raises a red flag. The wind blowing out could help hitters, but our numbers suggest he might only get around 0.8 total bases. It's a good chance for this bet, but Bell's recent struggles could make it close.

That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Same game parlay

Written 14 Sep

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Prediction and Same Game Parlay picks, September 14, 2026

On September 14, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip HIGH confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Ben Rice (NYY) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-370)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Minnesota Twins play New York Yankees in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ben Rice (NYY) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-370). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -370 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Spencer Jones (NYY) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-217)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Minnesota Twins play New York Yankees in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Spencer Jones (NYY) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-217). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -217 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.61 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Cody Bellinger (NYY) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-333)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Minnesota Twins play New York Yankees in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Cody Bellinger (NYY) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-333). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -333 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Ryan Kreidler Batter - Doubles
Cody Bellinger NYY Batter - Doubles
Ben Rice NYY Batter - Total Bases
Spencer Jones NYY Batter - Total Bases
Cody Bellinger NYY Batter - Total Bases

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

3 markets live
Total RunsGame total · Minnesota Twins vs New York YankeesOver 9.5 +162
79%over %
14.4proj. runs
L5 RF3.0L5 RA4.4Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L52-3

Minnesota Twins total runs vs New York Yankees is live and our model makes it 79% (HIGH); proj. runs 14.4.

Run LineNew York Yankees run line-3 +242
70%cover %
-5.6proj. margin
L5 RF5.8L5 RA4.6Away L53-2vs Minnesota Twins L53-2

New York Yankees spread vs Minnesota Twins is live and our model makes it 70% (HIGH); proj. margin -5.6.

MoneylineNew York Yankees to win-135
92%model win %
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.8L5 RA4.6Away L53-2vs Minnesota Twins L53-2Free board23-20

New York Yankees moneyline vs Minnesota Twins is live and our model makes it 92% (HIGH); L5 record 4-1.

Team Total RunsMinnesota Twins team totalNo line posted
3.8runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA4.4Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L52-3

Minnesota Twins team total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins — recent results

Minnesota Twins have won 2 of their last 5 games; New York Yankees have won 4 of their last 5.

Minnesota Twins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–9CLEHome
L2–5CLEHome
W4–3CLEHome
L2–7DETAway
W3–2DETAway
New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W2–0NYMHome
L2–12NYMHome
W6–4NYMHome
W10–3COLHome
W6–1COLHome

New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Minnesota Twins are scoring 3.0 runs per game (2-3) while New York Yankees are at 5.8 (4-1); Minnesota Twins pitchers are allowing 4.2 earned runs per game versus 4.2 for New York Yankees.

3.0
Minnesota Twins runs/G
5.8
New York Yankees runs/G
Last 5 gamesMinnesota TwinsNew York Yankees
Runs / game3.05.8
Hits / game6.29.2
Home runs / game1.01.8
Walks drawn / game3.02.6
Batter K / game7.66.8
Earned runs allowed / game4.24.2
Pitching K / game9.410.4
Walks allowed / game3.83.2
L5 record2-34-1

New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Minnesota Twins won 3, New York Yankees won 2.

DateMinnesota TwinsNew York YankeesWinner
Jul 561Minnesota Twins
Jul 4114Minnesota Twins
Jul 325New York Yankees
Mar 5150Minnesota Twins
Feb 27517New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Minnesota Twins
PlayerStatus
Royce Lewis 1BDAY-TO-DAY
Kaelen Culpepper SSDAY-TO-DAY
Byron Buxton CFOUT
Mike Paredes SPOUT
Cole Sands RPOUT
David Festa SPOUT
Mick Abel SPOUT
Anthony Banda RPOUT
New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Ryan Weathers SPOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2BOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Trent Grisham CFOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins — where the money went

Since betting opened on New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins, the market has moved away from Minnesota Twins across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Minnesota Twins -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — New York Yankees 1.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins — model preview

Our New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins prediction for September 14, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 13, 2026 our model has run New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Ben Rice Over 0.5 Batter - Singles (+105), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Yankees vs Twins, or as Twins vs Yankees. The next scheduled game is Monday 14 September 2026 at Target Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 30 meetings on record
New York Yankees 16–14 across the last 30 meetings · these games average 10.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
5 Jul 2026Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees1–6Minnesota Twins
4 Jul 2026Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees4–11Minnesota Twins
3 Jul 2026Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees5–2New York Yankees
5 Mar 2026Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees0–15Minnesota Twins
27 Feb 2026New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins5–17New York Yankees
17 Sep 2025New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins5–10New York Yankees
16 Sep 2025New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins9–10New York Yankees
15 Sep 2025New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins7–0Minnesota Twins
13 Aug 2025Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees1–4Minnesota Twins
12 Aug 2025Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees9–1New York Yankees

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 30 meetings on file.

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