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Model picks & player props
San Francisco Giants
VS
St. Louis Cardinals

San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 14, 8:13AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Outdoor
Mon 14 Sep 2026, 11:45PM
20
Game markets graded
38
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
St. Louis Cardinals -0.5 Spread - 1st 5 Innings +116

The model graded 58 markets for San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $216 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 14 Sep 2026, 11:45PM at Busch Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win57.2%
The price says46.3%
Best price+116
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals -0.5 Lean57% chance +116
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot28% chance
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot21% chance
Spread - 1st 5 Innings High84% chance
Spread - 1st 5 Innings High80% chance
Spread - 1st 5 Innings High90% chance
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings High63% chance
Spread Long-shot14% chance
Total Runs Long-shot33% chance
Batter - Doubles × 3 props Highup to 75%
Batter - Total Bases × 5 props Leanup to 45%
Batter - Home Runs × 4 props Long-shotup to 38%
Batter - RBIs × 2 props Leanup to 51%
Batter - Hits × 6 props Long-shotup to 36%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
St. Louis Cardinals are the model's favourite to beat San Francisco Giants, with a 55% chance to win. Predicted score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.9 – San Francisco Giants 3.6. Kick-off Mon 14 Sep, 11:45PM at Busch Stadium. Best bet: St. Louis Cardinals -0.5 at +116.
How they've been scoring this season
San Francisco GiantsSt. Louis Cardinals
Won-lost62-8874-76
Runs scored per game4.24.6
Runs allowed per game4.74.6
On the road / at home26-49 away36-39 at home
Last 5 gamesWWLLLLLWLW
Their games average 9.0 total runs this season.
From the 150 San Francisco Giants and 150 St. Louis Cardinals games on our books this season.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 52 bookmakers compared
Winner
Giants2.28+128GTbets
Cardinals1.80-1251xBet
Total runs
Over82.03+103LowVig
Under81.88-114BetAnySports

San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals odds by bookmaker

52 books · best price in green
BookGiants winCardinals winCardinals -1.5Over 8Under 8
1xBet2.15+1151.80-1252.65+165
888sport2.10+1101.73-137
Bally Bet2.18+1181.70-1432.48+148
BetAnySports2.19+1191.72-1392.70+1701.93-1081.88-114
BetMGM2.18+1181.69-1452.65+1651.95-1051.87-115
BetOnline2.25+1251.72-1392.59+1592.00+1001.83-120
betPARX2.18+1181.70-1432.48+148
BetRivers2.18+1181.71-1412.48+1481.91-1101.77-130
Betsson2.12+1121.72-1392.42+1421.90-1111.86-116
BetUS2.25+1251.72-1392.56+1562.00+1001.83-120
Bovada2.11+1111.75-1332.80+1801.95-1051.87-115
Coolbet2.12+1121.73-1371.95-1051.87-115
DraftKings2.19+1191.69-1452.57+1571.99-1011.84-119
ESPN BET2.15+1151.74-1352.70+170

Since the market opened: Cardinals to win opened 1.75, best now 1.80; the over 8 opened 1.95, best now 2.03 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 32 of 182 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 13
Ben Rice Over 0.5
New York Mets @ New York Yankees
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $374
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread - 1st 5 Innings
St. Louis Cardinals
1.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from San Francisco Giants on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward San Francisco Giants
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Everygame
on San Francisco Giants
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

San Francisco Giants

  • Rafael Devers 1BOut
  • Victor Bericoto LFOut
  • Carson Whisenhunt SPOut
  • Marcelo Mayer 2BOut
  • JT Brubaker RPOut
  • Jesus Rodriguez COut
  • Keaton Winn RPOut
  • Adrian Houser SPOut
  • Matt Gage RPOut
  • Sam Hentges RPOut
  • Casey Schmitt LFOut
  • Willy Adames SSOut
  • Joel Peguero RPOut
  • Daniel Susac COut
  • Harrison Bader CFOut
  • Matt Chapman 3BOut
  • Trevor McDonald SPOut
  • Rowan Wick RPOut
  • Hayden Birdsong RPOut
  • Randy Rodriguez RPOut
  • Jose Butto RPOut

Probable pitcher

Logan Webb SP

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Jose Fermin LFDay-to-day
  • Peter Strzelecki RPOut
  • JJ Wetherholt 2BOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Michael McGreevy SP
Availability updated Sep 13, 11:20PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 28 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability28 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 14 Sep

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants Prediction and Picks, September 14, 2026

On September 13, 2026 our model has run San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs (-105), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs (-105)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

For Ivan Herrera to get over 1.5 hits, runs, or RBIs tonight, he just needs to have a solid game against the San Francisco Giants. The Cardinals have been doing well at home, scoring about 0.4 runs more than their opponents on average in their last 12 games. Herrera's team has a decent record against left-handed pitchers this year, matching the league's overall performance. On the other hand, the Giants have struggled against lefties, hitting lower than average. This makes it more likely that Herrera will get chances to contribute. However, the game is a toss-up since both teams are close in recent performance. If Herrera can find gaps in the Giants' lineup, he should be able to rack up the numbers we need.

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: Thomas Saggese Over 0.5 Batter - Hits (-179)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Thomas Saggese has been playing well at Busch Stadium, where he's had a solid number of chances to hit. In his last 10 games there, he gets about 2.6 plate appearances, which means he has plenty of opportunities to get a hit. The Cardinals are facing the Giants, and the Giants have struggled against left-handed pitchers this year. This might give Saggese a good opening to find a hit. While the Cardinals have come out ahead in their recent games, remember that Saggese could face tough moments too. The Giants have won five of their last ten, showing they can compete. Still, given his recent form and how the teams match up, Saggese getting over 0.5 hits looks like a smart bet.

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants: Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Batter - Hits (-196)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Tonight, Ivan Herrera needs to get at least one hit for the bet to win. The St. Louis Cardinals have been scoring well lately, averaging nearly half a run more than their opponents over the last 12 games. Herrera has a solid chance since the Giants' pitchers have struggled against left-handed batters this season, which is good news for him. The risk here is that the game can be tight, and both teams are fairly evenly matched lately. Still, Herrera has a decent chance to find a way on base, especially with the Cardinals' strong performance against lefties. If he gets the right pitch, he should be able to come through and help us out.

That is our read — no bet on this board is a sure thing. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Same game parlay

Written 14 Sep

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants Prediction and Same Game Parlay picks, September 14, 2026

On September 14, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip HIGH confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Thomas Saggese Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-238)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play San Francisco Giants in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Thomas Saggese Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-238). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -238 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Nathan Church Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-208)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play San Francisco Giants in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Nathan Church Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-208). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -208 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.81 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-294)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play San Francisco Giants in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-294). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -294 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Nathan Church Batter - Doubles
Ivan Herrera STL Batter - Doubles
Thomas Saggese Batter - Doubles
Nathan Church Batter - Total Bases
Thomas Saggese Batter - Total Bases

+ 38 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

3 markets live
Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run line+3.5 -625
88%cover %
+1.3proj. margin
L5 RF4.6L5 RA4.6Home L52-3vs San Francisco Giants L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals spread vs San Francisco Giants is live and our model makes it 88% (HIGH); proj. margin +1.3.

Total RunsGame total · St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco GiantsOver 11 +299
9.0proj. runs
L5 RF4.6L5 RA4.6Home L52-3vs San Francisco Giants L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals total runs vs San Francisco Giants is live and our model makes it 25% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 9.0.

MoneylineSt. Louis Cardinals to win-132
55%model win %
1-4L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA4.6Home L52-3vs San Francisco Giants L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals moneyline vs San Francisco Giants is live and our model makes it 55% (LEAN); L5 record 1-4.

Team Total RunsSt. Louis Cardinals team totalNo line posted
4.8runs we expect
L5 RF4.6L5 RA4.6Home L52-3vs San Francisco Giants L51-4

St. Louis Cardinals team total runs form: last five 1-4, 4.6 runs/gm.

San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals — what the model found

Our model graded 58 betting markets for San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals — 20 on the game itself and 38 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
38
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 58 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 57 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent results

St. Louis Cardinals have won 2 of their last 5 games; San Francisco Giants have won 2 of their last 5.

St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–1CHWHome
W7–3CHWHome
L5–6CHWHome
L1–2SFAway
L6–7SFAway
San Francisco Giants — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6SDHome
L5–7SDHome
L6–7SDHome
W2–1STLHome
W7–6STLHome

San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: St. Louis Cardinals won 0, San Francisco Giants won 3.

DateSt. Louis CardinalsSan Francisco GiantsWinner
Sep 912San Francisco Giants
Sep 967San Francisco Giants
Sep 845San Francisco Giants

Who’s out or in doubt

28 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Jose Fermin LFDAY-TO-DAY
Peter Strzelecki RPOUT
JJ Wetherholt 2BOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT
San Francisco Giants
PlayerStatus
Rafael Devers 1BOUT
Victor Bericoto LFOUT
Carson Whisenhunt SPOUT
Marcelo Mayer 2BOUT
JT Brubaker RPOUT
Jesus Rodriguez COUT
Keaton Winn RPOUT
Adrian Houser SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals — where the money went

Since betting opened on San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals, the market has moved away from San Francisco Giants across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — San Francisco Giants -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — St. Louis Cardinals -1▲ Money came for this
Spread — San Francisco Giants 1▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — St. Louis Cardinals 1.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — San Francisco Giants▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — St. Louis Cardinals▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 8▲ Money came for this
Spread — St. Louis Cardinals -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals — model preview

Our San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals prediction for September 14, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 13, 2026 our model has run San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs (-105), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Giants vs Cardinals, or as Cardinals vs Giants. The next scheduled game is Monday 14 September 2026 at Busch Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 38 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 22 meetings on record
San Francisco Giants 12–10 across the last 22 meetings · these games average 9.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
9 Sep 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants2–1San Francisco Giants
8 Sep 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants5–4San Francisco Giants
7 Sep 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants5–4San Francisco Giants
24 Sep 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants4–3San Francisco Giants
23 Sep 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants8–9St. Louis Cardinals
22 Sep 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants5–6St. Louis Cardinals
7 Sep 2025San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals4–3St. Louis Cardinals
6 Sep 2025San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals3–2St. Louis Cardinals
5 Sep 2025San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals2–8San Francisco Giants
29 Sep 2024St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants1–6St. Louis Cardinals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 22 meetings on file.

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