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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Los Angeles Dodgers

St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 11, 6:09AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Outdoor
Fri 4 Sep 2026, 2:10AM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline +246

The model graded 70 markets for St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $346 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 4 Sep 2026, 2:10AM at Dodger Stadium.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win26.6%
The price says28.1%
Best price+246
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline St. Louis Cardinals Long-shot27% chance +246
Total Runs High67% chance —
Total Runs Long-shot28% chance —
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot16% chance —
Total Runs High73% chance —
Total Runs High67% chance —
Total Runs Long-shot11% chance —
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot11% chance —
Spread High76% chance —
Batter - Total Bases × 5 props Leanup to 46% —
Batter - Walks × 12 props Highup to 98% —
Batter - RBIs × 8 props Highup to 99% —
Batter - Home Runs × 3 props Long-shotup to 39% —
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 5 props Leanup to 41% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every MLB game on today's board →

St. Louis Cardinals and Los Angeles Dodgers last met on Fri 4 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 9.5 · $100 returned $730

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 26 of 140 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 10
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 0.5
Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $690
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals
+246
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,781+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
St. Louis CardinalsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Masyn Winn SSDay-to-day
  • Peter Strzelecki RPOut
  • JJ Wetherholt 2BOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Shohei Ohtani DHOut
  • Freddie Freeman 1BDay-to-day
  • Roki Sasaki SPOut
  • Andy Pages CFOut
  • Dalton Rushing COut
  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Eric Lauer SPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut
Availability updated Sep 10, 2:39PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 4 Sep

Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction and Picks, September 4, 2026

On September 4, 2026 our model has run St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals +3.5 (-238), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

Kyle Tucker (HOU) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Dodgers play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Kyle Tucker (HOU) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-130). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.69 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jose Fermin (STL) Over 0.5 Walks (+206)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Dodgers play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jose Fermin (STL) Over 0.5 Walks (+206). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at +206 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $30.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jose Fermin (STL) Over 0.5 Walks (+206)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Dodgers play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jose Fermin (STL) Over 0.5 Walks (+206). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at +206 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $30.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals +2.5 (-154)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Los Angeles Dodgers play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals +2.5 (-154). That is a alternate spreads bet. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.49 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals +3.5 (-238)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Los Angeles Dodgers play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals +3.5 (-238). That is a alternate spreads bet. It was priced at -238 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals +3 (-200)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Los Angeles Dodgers play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals +3 (-200). That is a alternate spreads bet. It was priced at -200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Same game parlay

Written 4 Sep

Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction and Same Game Parlay picks, September 4, 2026

On September 4, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip HIGH confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Miguel Rojas (MIA) Under 0.5 Walks (-357)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Dodgers play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Miguel Rojas (MIA) Under 0.5 Walks (-357). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -357 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jordan Walker Under 0.5 Walks (-400)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Dodgers play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jordan Walker Under 0.5 Walks (-400). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Pedro Pages Under 0.5 Walks (-714)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Dodgers play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Pedro Pages Under 0.5 Walks (-714). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Thomas Saggese Batter - Total Bases
Freddie Freeman ATL Batter - Walks
Thomas Saggese Batter - RBIs
Thomas Saggese Batter - Home Runs
Ramon Urias BAL Batter - Total Bases

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLos Angeles DodgersNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.0L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L54-1Free board13-11

Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline form: last five 2-3, 2.0 runs/gm.

Run LineLos Angeles Dodgers run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.0L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L54-1

Los Angeles Dodgers spread form: last five 2-3, 2.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Los Angeles Dodgers total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsLos Angeles Dodgers team totalNo line posted
2.0runs we expect
L5 RF2.0L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L54-1

Los Angeles Dodgers team total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.0 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent results

Los Angeles Dodgers have won 5 of their last 5 games; St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5.

Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W14–1CINHome
W3–2CINHome
W6–3CINHome
W7–5WSHHome
W6–5WSHHome
St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2SFAway
L6–7SFAway
L4–5SFAway
L7–10COLAway
W10–8COLAway

St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Los Angeles Dodgers are scoring 1.0 runs per game (2-3) while St. Louis Cardinals are at 2.6 (3-2); Los Angeles Dodgers pitchers are allowing 0.8 earned runs per game versus 1.4 for St. Louis Cardinals.

1.0
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
2.6
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
Last 5 gamesLos Angeles DodgersSt. Louis Cardinals
Runs / game1.02.6
Hits / game2.23.2
Home runs / game0.20.6
Walks drawn / game1.40.6
Batter K / game2.01.8
Earned runs allowed / game0.81.4
Pitching K / game1.82.2
Walks allowed / game0.80.8
L5 record2-33-2

St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Los Angeles Dodgers won 2, St. Louis Cardinals won 4.

DateLos Angeles DodgersSt. Louis CardinalsWinner
Sep 432Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 368St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 2813St. Louis Cardinals
May 341Los Angeles Dodgers
May 227St. Louis Cardinals
May 223St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Shohei Ohtani DHOUT
Freddie Freeman 1BDAY-TO-DAY
Roki Sasaki SPOUT
Andy Pages CFOUT
Dalton Rushing COUT
Edwin Diaz RPOUT
Jake Cousins RPOUT
St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Masyn Winn SSDAY-TO-DAY
Peter Strzelecki RPOUT
JJ Wetherholt 2BOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers — model preview

Our St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers prediction for September 4, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 4, 2026 our model has run St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals +3.5 (-238), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
04 Sep 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 1.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +2 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +4.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals 0.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +4 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +3.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals 1.5 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Dodgers, or as Dodgers vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Friday 4 September 2026 at Dodger Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 27 meetings on record
St. Louis Cardinals 14–13 across the last 27 meetings · these games average 9.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
4 Sep 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers3–2Los Angeles Dodgers
3 Sep 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers6–8St. Louis Cardinals
2 Sep 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers8–13St. Louis Cardinals
1 Sep 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers8–13St. Louis Cardinals
3 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals1–4Los Angeles Dodgers
2 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals3–2St. Louis Cardinals
1 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals7–2St. Louis Cardinals
6 Aug 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers3–5St. Louis Cardinals
5 Aug 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers12–6Los Angeles Dodgers
4 Aug 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–3St. Louis Cardinals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 27 meetings on file.

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