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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
Detroit Tigers

Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 11, 1:49AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Comerica Park, Detroit
Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep 2026, 10:40PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Detroit Tigers -2.5 Spread +200

The model graded 20 markets for Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $300 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 11 Sep 2026, 10:40PM at Comerica Park.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win44.6%
The price says33.3%
Best price+200
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Detroit Tigers -2.5 Lean45% chance +200
Spread High86% chance —
Spread High91% chance —
Spread Long-shot24% chance —
Spread High95% chance —
Spread High98% chance —
Spread Long-shot16% chance —
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot7% chance —
Spread Long-shot10% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every MLB game on today's board →
Detroit Tigers are the model's favourite to beat Colorado Rockies, with a 66% chance to win. Predicted score: Detroit Tigers 6 – Colorado Rockies 3.1. Kick-off Fri 11 Sep, 10:40PM at Comerica Park. Best bet: Detroit Tigers -2.5 at +200.
How they've been scoring this season
Colorado RockiesDetroit Tigers
Won-lost55-9067-79
Runs scored per game4.74.4
Runs allowed per game5.74.0
On the road / at home25-49 away36-36 at home
Last 5 gamesLWLLLWLWLW
Their games average 9.4 total runs this season.
From the 145 Colorado Rockies and 146 Detroit Tigers games on our books this season.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 2 bookmakers compared
Winner
Rockies2.63+163Kalshi
Detroit Tigers1.59-170Kalshi

Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers odds by bookmaker

2 books · best price in green
BookRockies winDetroit Tigers winDetroit Tigers -1.5
Kalshi2.63+1631.59-1702.33+133
Polymarket2.60+1601.63-1602.30+130

Since the market opened: Detroit Tigers to win opened 1.55, best now 1.63 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 26 of 140 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 10
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 0.5
Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $690
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Detroit Tigers
-2.5
+200
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit TigersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward Detroit Tigers on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward Detroit Tigers
Exact move size 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Willi Castro 2BOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Ryan Feltner SP

Detroit Tigers

  • Jack Flaherty SPOut
  • Matt Vierling CFOut
  • Kerry Carpenter RFOut
  • Wenceel Perez RFOut
  • Will Vest RPOut
  • Justin Verlander SPOut
  • Burch Smith RPOut
  • Bailey Horn RPOut
  • Parker Meadows CFOut
  • Trey Sweeney SSOut
  • Reese Olson SPOut
Availability updated Sep 10, 11:05PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The preview

Written 11 Sep

Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction and Picks, September 11, 2026

On September 11, 2026 our model has run Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies: Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-345), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies: Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-345)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Detroit Tigers play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies: Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-345). That is a alternate spreads bet. It was priced at -345 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies: Over 8 Total Runs (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Detroit Tigers play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies: Over 8 Total Runs (-110). That is a totals bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies: Over 9.5 Total Runs (+158)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Detroit Tigers play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies: Over 9.5 Total Runs (+158). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at +158 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $25.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies: Over 7.5 Total Runs (-143)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Detroit Tigers play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies: Over 7.5 Total Runs (-143). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at -143 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.99 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies: Over 8.5 Total Runs (-102)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Detroit Tigers play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies: Over 8.5 Total Runs (-102). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at -102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies: Detroit Tigers -1.5 (+142)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Detroit Tigers play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies: Detroit Tigers -1.5 (+142). That is a alternate spreads 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at +142 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Betting angles

3 markets live
Run LineDetroit Tigers run line-1.5 +126
57%cover %
+2.9proj. margin
L5 RF2.6L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L55-0

Detroit Tigers spread vs Colorado Rockies is live and our model makes it 57% (LEAN); proj. margin +2.9.

MoneylineDetroit Tigers to win-182
66%model win %
4-1L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L55-0

Detroit Tigers moneyline vs Colorado Rockies is live and our model makes it 66% (HIGH); L5 record 4-1.

Total RunsGame total · Detroit Tigers vs Colorado RockiesOver 9.5 +158
9.1proj. runs
L5 RF2.6L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L55-0

Detroit Tigers total runs vs Colorado Rockies is live and our model makes it 35% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 9.1.

Team Total RunsDetroit Tigers team totalNo line posted
2.0runs we expect
L5 RF2.6L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L55-0

Detroit Tigers team total runs form: last five 4-1, 2.6 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers — recent results

Detroit Tigers have won 3 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 1 of their last 5.

Detroit Tigers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–2MINHome
L2–3MINHome
W5–4MINHome
L2–3CLEAway
W6–0CLEAway
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–6NYYAway
L3–5NYYAway
W10–7STLHome
L8–10STLHome
L6–7STLHome

Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Detroit Tigers won 1, Colorado Rockies won 1.

DateDetroit TigersColorado RockiesWinner
Mar 2456Colorado Rockies
Mar 24118Detroit Tigers

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Detroit Tigers
PlayerStatus
Jack Flaherty SPOUT
Matt Vierling CFOUT
Kerry Carpenter RFOUT
Wenceel Perez RFOUT
Will Vest RPOUT
Justin Verlander SPOUT
Burch Smith RPOUT
Bailey Horn RPOUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Willi Castro 2BOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers — where the money went

Since betting opened on Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers, the market has moved toward Detroit Tigers across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Detroit Tigers -1.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Colorado Rockies 1.5▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers — model preview

Our Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers prediction for September 11, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 11, 2026 our model has run Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies: Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-345), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Tigers, or as Tigers vs Rockies. The next scheduled game is Friday 11 September 2026 at Comerica Park. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 10 meetings on record
Detroit Tigers 6–4 across the last 10 meetings · these games average 11.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
24 Mar 2026Detroit Tigers @ Colorado Rockies6–5Colorado Rockies
23 Mar 2026Detroit Tigers @ Colorado Rockies6–5Colorado Rockies
8 May 2025Detroit Tigers @ Colorado Rockies2–10Detroit Tigers
7 May 2025Detroit Tigers @ Colorado Rockies6–8Detroit Tigers
12 Sep 2024Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers2–4Colorado Rockies
11 Sep 2024Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers7–4Detroit Tigers
10 Sep 2024Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers11–0Detroit Tigers
2 Jul 2023Detroit Tigers @ Colorado Rockies9–14Detroit Tigers
1 Jul 2023Detroit Tigers @ Colorado Rockies2–4Detroit Tigers
30 Jun 2023Detroit Tigers @ Colorado Rockies8–5Colorado Rockies
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