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Model picks & player props
Pittsburgh Pirates
VS
St. Louis Cardinals

Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 3:58AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Outdoor
Sun 30 Aug 2026, 6:15PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 2.5 Total Runs +1400

The model graded 70 markets for Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $1,500 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 30 Aug 2026, 6:15PM at Busch Stadium.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win5.0%
The price says6.7%
Best price+1400
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Under 2.5 Long-shot5% chance +1400
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot7% chance —
Total Runs Long-shot16% chance —
Total Runs Long-shot11% chance —
Moneyline Lean47% chance —
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot16% chance —
Spread Long-shot16% chance —
Spread Long-shot23% chance —
Spread Long-shot19% chance —
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 6 props Leanup to 55% —
Batter - RBIs × 8 props —
Batter - Runs Scored × 4 props —
Batter - Stolen Bases × 5 props —
Batter - Total Bases × 6 props —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every MLB game on today's board →

Pittsburgh Pirates and St. Louis Cardinals last met on Sun 30 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Corbin Burnes Under 2.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $240
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Under
4.5
+450
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsMoneylineThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Isaac Mattson RPOut
  • Ryan O'Hearn RFOut
  • Kirby Yates RPOut
  • Endy Rodriguez COut
  • Mitch Keller SPOut

Probable pitcher

Lake Bachar SP

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Masyn Winn SSDay-to-day
  • Peter Strzelecki RPOut
  • JJ Wetherholt 2BOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Andre Pallante SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 11:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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The preview

Written 31 Aug

St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction and Picks, August 31, 2026

On August 31, 2026 our model has run Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Nick Yorke Under 0.5 RBIs (-345), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

Nick Yorke Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-270)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Nick Yorke Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-270). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -270 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Nick Yorke Under 0.5 RBIs (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Nick Yorke Under 0.5 RBIs (-345). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -345 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Alec Burleson (STL) Under 0.5 RBIs (-227)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Alec Burleson (STL) Under 0.5 RBIs (-227). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates: St. Louis Cardinals Win (+111)

Odds correct at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates: St. Louis Cardinals Win (+111). That is a h2h bet. It was priced at +111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates: St. Louis Cardinals +1 (-132)

Odds correct at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates: St. Louis Cardinals +1 (-132). That is a alternate spreads bet. It was priced at -132 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.58 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-161)

Odds correct at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-161). That is a spreads bet. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Same game parlay

Written 31 Aug

St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction and Same Game Parlay picks, August 31, 2026

On August 31, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip HIGH confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Bryan Torres Under 0.5 Walks (-357)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Bryan Torres Under 0.5 Walks (-357). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -357 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Nick Yorke Under 0.5 Walks (-556)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Nick Yorke Under 0.5 Walks (-556). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -556 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Bryan Torres Under 0.5 RBIs (-455)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Bryan Torres Under 0.5 RBIs (-455). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -455 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jake Mangum Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Jake Mangum Batter - RBIs
Jake Mangum Batter - Runs Scored
Jake Mangum Batter - Stolen Bases
Jake Mangum Batter - Total Bases

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSt. Louis CardinalsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.4Home L53-2vs Pittsburgh Pirates L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals moneyline form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.4Home L53-2vs Pittsburgh Pirates L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals spread form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh PiratesNo line posted

St. Louis Cardinals total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSt. Louis Cardinals team totalNo line posted
1.9runs we expect
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.4Home L53-2vs Pittsburgh Pirates L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent results

St. Louis Cardinals have won 2 of their last 5 games; Pittsburgh Pirates have won 4 of their last 5.

St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2SFAway
L4–5SFAway
L7–10COLAway
W10–8COLAway
W7–6COLAway
Pittsburgh Pirates — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W9–3CHWAway
W1–0LAAHome
L1–6LAAHome
W1–0LAAHome
W5–2SFHome

Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 3.2 runs per game (3-2) while Pittsburgh Pirates are at 1.0 (2-3); St. Louis Cardinals pitchers are allowing 2.0 earned runs per game versus 0.8 for Pittsburgh Pirates.

3.2
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
1.0
Pittsburgh Pirates runs/G
Last 5 gamesSt. Louis CardinalsPittsburgh Pirates
Runs / game3.21.0
Hits / game4.03.2
Home runs / game0.60.4
Walks drawn / game0.21.6
Batter K / game3.42.2
Earned runs allowed / game2.00.8
Pitching K / game3.02.8
Walks allowed / game1.00.6
L5 record3-22-3

Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: St. Louis Cardinals won 6, Pittsburgh Pirates won 4.

DateSt. Louis CardinalsPittsburgh PiratesWinner
Aug 3045Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 2941St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 2926Pittsburgh Pirates
May 2126Pittsburgh Pirates
May 2007Pittsburgh Pirates
May 1996St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 30105St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 2954St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 28117St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 2742St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Masyn Winn SSDAY-TO-DAY
Peter Strzelecki RPOUT
JJ Wetherholt 2BOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PlayerStatus
Isaac Mattson RPOUT
Ryan O'Hearn RFOUT
Kirby Yates RPOUT
Endy Rodriguez COUT
Mitch Keller SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals — model preview

Our Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals prediction for August 31, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 31, 2026 our model has run Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Nick Yorke Under 0.5 RBIs (-345), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
30 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +2.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 7.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Pittsburgh Pirates ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Pirates vs Cardinals, or as Cardinals vs Pirates. The most recent game between them was Sunday 30 August 2026 at Busch Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 51 meetings on record
Pittsburgh Pirates 26–25 across the last 51 meetings · these games average 7.5 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
30 Aug 2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals4–5Pittsburgh Pirates
29 Aug 2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals2–6Pittsburgh Pirates
28 Aug 2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals4–1St. Louis Cardinals
21 May 2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals2–6Pittsburgh Pirates
20 May 2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals0–7Pittsburgh Pirates
19 May 2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals9–6St. Louis Cardinals
30 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates5–10St. Louis Cardinals
29 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates4–5St. Louis Cardinals
28 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates7–11St. Louis Cardinals
27 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates2–4St. Louis Cardinals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 51 meetings on file.

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