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Model picks & player props
Milwaukee Brewers
VS
Los Angeles Dodgers

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 5:26AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Outdoor
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 8:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 10 Total Runs +258

The model graded 70 markets for Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $358 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 16 Aug 2026, 8:10PM at Dodger Stadium.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win24.0%
The price says25.0%
Best price+258
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 10 Long-shot24% chance +258
Total Runs Long-shot29% chance
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Lean44% chance
Total Runs Lean42% chance
Total Runs Lean41% chance
Total Runs Long-shot27% chance
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Long-shot12% chance
Total Runs Long-shot14% chance
Total Runs High65% chance
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 11 props Highup to 88%
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 2 props Highup to 91%
Batter - Hits × 3 props Highup to 74%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 84%
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 81%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers last met on Sun 16 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Milwaukee Brewers -2 · $100 returned $443

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Corbin Burnes Under 2.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $240
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
10.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Jake Bauers 1BDay-to-day
  • Rob Zastryzny RPOut
  • Grant Anderson RPOut
  • Bryse Wilson RPOut
  • Brandon Woodruff SPOut
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

Probable pitcher

Logan Henderson SP

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Freddie Freeman 1BDay-to-day
  • Shohei Ohtani DHDay-to-day
  • Roki Sasaki SPOut
  • Andy Pages CFOut
  • Dalton Rushing COut
  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Eric Lauer SPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

Probable pitcher

Yoshinobu Yamamoto SP
Availability updated Sep 10, 2:10AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
William Contreras MIL Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Logan Henderson Pitcher - Earned Runs
Mookie Betts LAD Batter - Hits
Freddie Freeman ATL Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Tarik Skubal DET Pitcher - Hits Allowed

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLos Angeles DodgersNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.0L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs Milwaukee Brewers L54-1Free board13-11

Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline form: last five 2-3, 2.0 runs/gm.

Run LineLos Angeles Dodgers run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.0L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs Milwaukee Brewers L54-1

Los Angeles Dodgers spread form: last five 2-3, 2.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee BrewersNo line posted

Los Angeles Dodgers total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsLos Angeles Dodgers team totalNo line posted
1.7runs we expect
L5 RF2.0L5 RA1.4Home L52-3vs Milwaukee Brewers L54-1

Los Angeles Dodgers team total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.0 runs/gm.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent results

Los Angeles Dodgers have won 5 of their last 5 games; Milwaukee Brewers have won 3 of their last 5.

Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–2CINHome
W6–3CINHome
W7–5WSHHome
W6–5WSHHome
W5–3WSHHome
Milwaukee Brewers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W8–6CHCHome
W4–3CHCHome
W4–3CHCHome
L8–12CINAway
L3–5CINAway

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Los Angeles Dodgers are scoring 0.6 runs per game (1-4) while Milwaukee Brewers are at 1.0 (2-3); Los Angeles Dodgers pitchers are allowing 0.8 earned runs per game versus 1.0 for Milwaukee Brewers.

0.6
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
1.0
Milwaukee Brewers runs/G
Last 5 gamesLos Angeles DodgersMilwaukee Brewers
Runs / game0.61.0
Hits / game2.01.8
Home runs / game0.40.4
Walks drawn / game0.01.0
Batter K / game2.01.2
Earned runs allowed / game0.81.0
Pitching K / game1.81.8
Walks allowed / game0.60.8
L5 record1-42-3

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent meetings

These two have met 9 times recently: Los Angeles Dodgers won 4, Milwaukee Brewers won 5.

DateLos Angeles DodgersMilwaukee BrewersWinner
Aug 1626Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 1531Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 1514Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 1445Milwaukee Brewers
May 2451Los Angeles Dodgers
May 23113Los Angeles Dodgers
May 2215Milwaukee Brewers
Mar 16924Milwaukee Brewers
Mar 943Los Angeles Dodgers

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Freddie Freeman 1BDAY-TO-DAY
Shohei Ohtani DHDAY-TO-DAY
Roki Sasaki SPOUT
Andy Pages CFOUT
Dalton Rushing COUT
Edwin Diaz RPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Jake Cousins RPOUT
Milwaukee Brewers
PlayerStatus
Jake Bauers 1BDAY-TO-DAY
Rob Zastryzny RPOUT
Grant Anderson RPOUT
Bryse Wilson RPOUT
Brandon Woodruff SPOUT
Brian Fitzpatrick RPOUT
Quinn Priester SPOUT
Angel Zerpa RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers — model preview

Our Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers prediction for August 17, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 17, 2026 our model has run Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Freddie Freeman (ATL) Under 0.5 RBIs (-323), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
16 Aug 26 Moneyline Milwaukee Brewers ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 6 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers -1 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 1.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers -0.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 2.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Brewers vs Dodgers, or as Dodgers vs Brewers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 16 August 2026 at Dodger Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 35 meetings on record
Los Angeles Dodgers 19–15 across the last 35 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 8.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
16 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–6Milwaukee Brewers
15 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers3–1Los Angeles Dodgers
14 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–5Milwaukee Brewers
13 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–5Milwaukee Brewers
24 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers1–5Los Angeles Dodgers
23 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers3–11Los Angeles Dodgers
22 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers5–1Milwaukee Brewers
16 Mar 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers9–24Milwaukee Brewers
9 Mar 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers3–4Los Angeles Dodgers
17 Oct 2025Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers5–1Los Angeles Dodgers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 35 meetings on file.

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