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Model picks & player props
New York Mets
VS
Chicago White Sox

New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 3:57AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 6:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
New York Mets -3 Spread +306

The model graded 70 markets for New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $406 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 23 Aug 2026, 6:10PM at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win34.4%
The price says24.6%
Best price+306
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread New York Mets -3 Long-shot34% chance +306
Moneyline Lean52% chance
Spread Lean57% chance
Spread High79% chance
Spread Long-shot14% chance
Spread High89% chance
Spread High86% chance
Spread Long-shot9% chance
Total Runs Lean42% chance
Batter - Walks × 14 props Highup to 98%
Batter - Singles × 5 props Highup to 71%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 7 props Highup to 64%
Batter - Stolen Bases × 2 props Highup to 89%
Batter - Runs Scored × 5 props Highup to 74%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New York Mets and Chicago White Sox last met on Sun 23 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 8.5 · $100 returned $680

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Corbin Burnes Under 2.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $240
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
New York Mets
-5.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,727+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Mets

  • Brett Baty 3BDay-to-day
  • Cionel Perez RPOut
  • Devin Williams RPOut
  • Jorge Polanco DHOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut

Probable pitcher

Robert Stock SP

Chicago White Sox

  • Drew Thorpe SPOut
  • Tommy Pham LFOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Huascar Brazoban RPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Davis Martin SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 11:49PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Francisco Alvarez NYM Batter - Walks
Colson Montgomery Batter - Walks
Tristan Peters Batter - Walks
Francisco Lindor NYM Batter - Singles
Luis Robert Jr. NYM Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago White SoxNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs New York Mets L53-2Free board8-8

Chicago White Sox moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago White Sox run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs New York Mets L53-2

Chicago White Sox spread form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago White Sox vs New York MetsNo line posted

Chicago White Sox total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago White Sox team totalNo line posted
2.2runs we expect
L5 RF1.8L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs New York Mets L53-2

Chicago White Sox team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for New York Mets at Chicago White Sox — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox — recent results

Chicago White Sox have won 2 of their last 5 games; New York Mets have won 4 of their last 5.

Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–9PITHome
W10–1MINHome
L4–6MINHome
W4–1MINHome
L0–2HOUAway
New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–5MIAAway
W9–4MIAAway
W4–2SFHome
L5–9SFHome
W10–6SFHome

New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Chicago White Sox won 2, New York Mets won 1.

DateChicago White SoxNew York MetsWinner
Aug 2321Chicago White Sox
Aug 22510New York Mets
Aug 2164Chicago White Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Drew Thorpe SPOUT
Tommy Pham LFOUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT
Huascar Brazoban RPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Joey Bart COUT
Mike Vasil RPOUT
New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Brett Baty 3BDAY-TO-DAY
Cionel Perez RPOUT
Devin Williams RPOUT
Jorge Polanco DHOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox — model preview

Our New York Mets at Chicago White Sox prediction for August 24, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 24, 2026 our model has run New York Mets at Chicago White Sox and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Chase Meidroth Under 0.5 RBIs (-385), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
23 Aug 26 Spread New York Mets +2 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Spread New York Mets +1.5 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 1.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Mets vs Sox, or as Sox vs Mets. The most recent game between them was Sunday 23 August 2026 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
New York Mets 8–4 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 8.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox2–1Chicago White Sox
22 Aug 2026New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox5–10New York Mets
21 Aug 2026New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox6–4Chicago White Sox
28 May 2025Chicago White Sox @ New York Mets4–9Chicago White Sox
27 May 2025Chicago White Sox @ New York Mets6–4New York Mets
26 May 2025Chicago White Sox @ New York Mets2–1New York Mets
1 Sep 2024New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox0–2New York Mets
31 Aug 2024New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox3–5New York Mets
30 Aug 2024New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox1–5New York Mets
20 Jul 2023Chicago White Sox @ New York Mets2–6Chicago White Sox

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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