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The latest Bet Better model pick for Francisco Lindor is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 56%, implied 60%, edge +1.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 5 of the last 8
Over 0.50 Hlanded 5 of the last 8
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:23AM UTC
MLB

Francisco Lindor

NYM

+1.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -149 (1.67) · $100→$167
+1.3% Edge
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
loanDepot Park, Miami, Florida · Indoor
Wed 9 Sep, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
0.9 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 61.2% · the book's price implies 59.9% · gap +1.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases61.2%55.6%59.9%1.78+1.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets: Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-149)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Francisco Lindor has been struggling a bit lately, with his hitting not matching his potential. His stats show that he averages about 1.1 ground outs at Citi Field and only 0.2 doubles in day games after a night game. That's a clear sign he might not be finding the gaps as easily as before. The Miami Marlins are tough on left-handed pitchers, but Lindor hasn't been hitting for power lately, which makes this bet on him getting under 1.5 total bases look solid. Both teams have been close in scoring lately, so it's not guaranteed he'll break out today. Still, with our numbers showing a good chance, it's worth a shot!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Francisco Lindor is averaging 0.0 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 3 games.

0.0
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
0.0
Runs
1.7
Walks
1.7
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Francisco Lindor has gone over 1.5 total bases in 38% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.538%
o2.512%
o3.512%
o4.50%
o5.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Francisco Lindor is averaging 0.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.0 in home games.

0.0
Hits · Overall
0.0
Hits · Home
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Home
Quick answers:How many home runs does Francisco Lindor hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -526 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -278 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -122 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Francisco Lindor (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Francisco Lindor is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Miami Marlins on Wednesday 9 September at loanDepot Park, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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