Here are our AFL picks for Sunday 13 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Karl Worner (Fremantle) Over 17.5 Disposals, priced at -118 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Karl Worner (Fremantle) Over 17.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Sydney Swans play Fremantle Dockers in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Karl Worner (Fremantle) Over 17.5 Disposals. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Blake Hardwick (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals (-172)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Hawthorn Hawks play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Blake Hardwick (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals. It was priced at -172 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Karl Amon (Hawthorn) Over 15.5 Disposals (-227)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Hawthorn Hawks play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Karl Amon (Hawthorn) Over 15.5 Disposals. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Noah Answerth (Brisbane Lions) Over 11.5 Disposals (-110)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Hawthorn Hawks play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Noah Answerth (Brisbane Lions) Over 11.5 Disposals. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Bailey Macdonald (Hawthorn) Over 10.5 Disposals (-115)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Hawthorn Hawks play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Bailey Macdonald (Hawthorn) Over 10.5 Disposals. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Connor Macdonald (Hawthorn) Over 15.5 Disposals (-227)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Hawthorn Hawks play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Connor Macdonald (Hawthorn) Over 15.5 Disposals. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article