Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Karl Amon is Over 17.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 64%, implied 62%, edge +18.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 4:37AM UTC
AFL

Karl Amon

Hawthorn

+18.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 17.5 -161 (1.62) · $100→$162
+18.8% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Thu 3 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
81 in 100
Predicted
22.2 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 80.6% · the book's price implies 61.7% · gap +18.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals80.6%64.0%61.7%1.56+18.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Karl Amon Over 17.5 Disposals (-161)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

At Optus Stadium, Fremantle will face Hawthorn in a matchup where both teams are in decent form, each winning 7 of their last 10 games. Karl Amon has been a consistent performer, and he's been getting plenty of opportunities to collect disposals. With Fremantle getting the ball inside 50 about 6.7 more times than Hawthorn on average, Amon should have plenty of chances to rack up his numbers. The biggest risk for this pick is that both teams tend to lose contested possessions, which can affect how much ball they get. Still, with Amon's strong showing and the number of entries into the forward line for Fremantle, betting over 17.5 disposals seems likely to pay off.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)

Season averages (2024)

Karl Amon averaged 22.1 disposals, 0.2 goals and 5.7 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

22.1
Disposals
0.2
Goals
5.7
Marks
2.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Karl Amon recorded 21 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide21032
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs22035
24 Aug 24North Melbourne14021
18 Aug 24Richmond26181
11 Aug 24Carlton21082
4 Aug 24GWS GIANTS30094
28 Jul 24Adelaide Crows21030
20 Jul 24Collingwood22042
13 Jul 24Fremantle21051
6 Jul 24Geelong Cats20042
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 16.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 15.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 14.5 Over -435 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Kicks Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Karl Amon (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Karl Amon is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.8% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers on Thursday 3 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.