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Model picks & player props
Chicago Cubs
VS
Houston Astros

Chicago Cubs vs Houston Astros Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 11, 1:54AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Minute Maid Park, Houston
Indoor
Sun 29 Jun 2025, 6:10PM
0
Game markets graded
16
Props graded
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 26 of 140 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 10
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 0.5
Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Cubs

  • Gavin Hollowell RPOut
  • Edward Cabrera SPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Dansby Swanson SSOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut

Houston Astros

  • Mike Burrows SPOut
  • Steven Okert RPOut
  • Carlos Correa SSOut
  • Brice Matthews CFOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut

Probable pitcher

Cristian Javier SP
Availability updated Sep 10, 5:05PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Cubs vs Houston Astros: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC Batter - Stolen Bases
Colin Rea CHC Pitcher - Walks
Jose Altuve HOU Batter - Singles
Christian Walker HOU Batter - Singles
Seiya Suzuki CHC Batter - Singles

+ 16 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineHouston AstrosNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA0.8Home L54-1vs Chicago Cubs L53-2Free board19-15

Houston Astros moneyline form: last five 4-1, 3.0 runs/gm.

Run LineHouston Astros run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA0.8Home L54-1vs Chicago Cubs L53-2Free board19-17

Houston Astros spread form: last five 4-1, 3.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Houston Astros vs Chicago CubsNo line posted

Houston Astros total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsHouston Astros team totalNo line posted
2.0runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA0.8Home L54-1vs Chicago Cubs L53-2

Houston Astros team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.0 runs/gm.

Chicago Cubs @ Houston Astros — what the model found

Our model graded 16 betting markets for Chicago Cubs at Houston Astros — 0 on the game itself and 16 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

16
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 16 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 15 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago Cubs vs Houston Astros — recent results

Houston Astros have won 2 of their last 5 games; Chicago Cubs have won 1 of their last 5.

Houston Astros — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L7–11PHIAway
W6–5PHIAway
L2–3ARIHome
W3–1ARIHome
L3–4ARIHome
Chicago Cubs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L6–8MILAway
L3–4MILAway
L3–4MILAway
L3–10MIAAway
W6–5MIAAway

Chicago Cubs vs Houston Astros — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Houston Astros won 3, Chicago Cubs won 0.

DateHouston AstrosChicago CubsWinner
May 2485Houston Astros
May 2330Houston Astros
May 2242Houston Astros

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Houston Astros
PlayerStatus
Mike Burrows SPOUT
Steven Okert RPOUT
Carlos Correa SSOUT
Brice Matthews CFOUT
Brandon Walter SPOUT
Chicago Cubs
PlayerStatus
Gavin Hollowell RPOUT
Edward Cabrera SPOUT
Ben Brown RPOUT
Justin Steele SPOUT
Phil Maton RPOUT
Riley Martin RPOUT
Hunter Harvey RPOUT
Dansby Swanson SSOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago Cubs @ Houston Astros — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: Houston Astros vs Chicago Cubs. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Kyle Tucker. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Houston Astros vs Chicago Cubs stats and odds.

Kyle Tucker (CHC) Over 0.5 Hits (-208)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Kyle Tucker for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits market is driven by his recent performance data. Tucker's Last 5 (L5) overall hits average is 1.4, which indicates he's consistently making contact and getting on base. His L5 plate appearances (PA) average, both overall and away, stands at 4.6, suggesting he has ample opportunities to hit. Despite his current away hit streak being 0, the high PA average indicates a strong likelihood of a hit in the upcoming game. Moreover, his overall current hit streak is 1, showing he is not in a slump. Therefore, given Tucker's consistent hitting performance and high PA average, there is a strong statistical basis to bet Over 0.5 for Tucker in the Batter Hits market.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Cubs vs Houston Astros in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cubs vs Astros, or as Astros vs Cubs. The most recent game between them was Sunday 29 June 2025 at Minute Maid Park. The model has generated 16 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Houston Astros 8–4 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 8.6 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
24 May 2026Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs5–8Houston Astros
23 May 2026Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs0–3Houston Astros
22 May 2026Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs2–4Houston Astros
29 Jun 2025Chicago Cubs @ Houston Astros2–0Houston Astros
28 Jun 2025Chicago Cubs @ Houston Astros3–12Chicago Cubs
27 Jun 2025Chicago Cubs @ Houston Astros7–4Houston Astros
25 Apr 2024Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs3–1Chicago Cubs
24 Apr 2024Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs4–3Chicago Cubs
23 Apr 2024Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs7–2Chicago Cubs
17 May 2023Chicago Cubs @ Houston Astros7–6Houston Astros

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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